CoastalWx Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Nice storm as modeled. Man, it's a delicate balance as the nrn stream wants to kick it out, but the srn stream really develops a nice system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Skeletons with sweaters on swaying from chairlifts in VT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Needle hole getting a tiny bit bigger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Needle hole getting a tiny bit bigger. Threading needle. Very very delicate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 13 runs in a row the Euro has showed this..while the GFS has had every solution possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Skeletons with sweaters on swaying from chairlifts in VT Oh how you pray. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 When can we lock in? Tomorrow 12z? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Another week, another snow day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 I still like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Another week, another snow day?Woburn has used 4. It's going to get precarious. Still waiting for more consensus among the globals before biting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Woburn has used 4. It's going to get precarious. Still waiting for more consensus among the globals before biting. I believe burlington is at 4 also.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 I like the idea of a storm as modeled, but the track is very tough to determine. We'll see what the euro ensembles show, but this is one of those situations where if we wiggle a few features here or there..the outcome for New England is quite different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 I like the idea of a storm as modeled, but the track is very tough to determine. We'll see what the euro ensembles show, but this is one of those situations where if we wiggle a few features here or there..the outcome for New England is quite different. Yeah this is not set in stone. 500mb remains progressive, too. I'm not a huge fan of this set up personally, but could see SNE get in on the action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 I like the idea of a storm as modeled, but the track is very tough to determine. We'll see what the euro ensembles show, but this is one of those situations where if we wiggle a few features here or there..the outcome for New England is quite different. The individual GEFS members appeared absolutely all over the place. The mean probably ends up looking semi-decent but man there's everything from wound up rainstorms to literally nothing to coastal plain snowstorms. This seems like one of those precarious situations where ensemble means look one way but may be getting skewed by timing differences and members that have nothing or a huge wrapped up low with it being +3C at Montreal and snowing in North Carolina. It looks like a larger than normal spread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 The individual GEFS members appeared absolutely all over the place. The mean probably ends up looking semi-decent but man there's everything from wound up rainstorms to literally nothing to coastal plain snowstorms. This seems like one of those precarious situations where ensemble means look one way but may be getting skewed by timing differences and members that have nothing or a huge wrapped up low with it being +3C at Montreal and snowing in North Carolina. It looks like a larger than normal spread. Yes which is why I won't worry about it, spend much time on it or begin to plan for it until later Monday night. This is the window where threats have morphed a couple of times in the drop from 5 towards 3-4 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 The antecedent airmass is absolutely putrid. While confidence in some kind of storm is higher... boy... it would have to be a perfect bomb to bring snow to many. A lot of the GEFS that have a good look are absolute furnaces aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 The euro qpf looks stingy for such a robust storm. Is this lack of isentropic lift due to the tepid antecedent airmass? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 I like the idea of a moderate event for the interior, but a deep phase like the GGEM would, in reality, probably cut too close to SNE for a big snow. NNE would do awesome of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 The antecedent airmass is absolutely putrid. While confidence in some kind of storm is higher... boy... it would have to be a perfect bomb to bring snow to many. A lot of the GEFS that have a good look are absolute furnaces aloft. A lot of the members that have the coastal storm and precip seem to do it with 850s above 0C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Blue tippy bomb, plenty cold aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 A lot of the members that have the coastal storm and precip seem to do it with 850s above 0C. Yup exactly. A lot working aginst this one... it woul dbe nice to thread the needle though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Out snowmobiling just took a look at the 12z euro nice hit the positive trends continue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 GFS GEFS have and continue to be behind the eight ball, good luck using them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Every op run of every major model has snow to the coast. Take notice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Every op run of every major model has snow to the coast. Take noticeSo, not elevation only? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 So, not elevation only?More for elevated areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 So, not elevation only?It could certainly end up that way but as of now the ops bring snow to the coast to various degrees. Plus we're now 3 days away from start time Wed nite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 The antecedent airmass is absolutely putrid. While confidence in some kind of storm is higher... boy... it would have to be a perfect bomb to bring snow to many. A lot of the GEFS that have a good look are absolute furnaces aloft. This is what's worrisome and no model is showing strong HP to magically appear over Quebec/Ontario. We'll be relying on a near perfect storm and track to bring much of SNE the goods. Still nice to see a storm modeled and better than a slowly eroding pack under clear skies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Inches and inches for hours and hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Euro op as is, is definitely cold enough aloft away from cape cod. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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