40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 GGEM is a complete nuke for SNE...up into CNE and Maine. Looks like a track between ACK/BM. I think it Scooter and Wes that were saying that the GEM wasn't a bad compromise.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Can we get some rationale behind this? Peronally thinking the Euro is too slow with the kicker, but probably has a good handle on the southern stream energy. 75/25 Euro/GFS compromise right now IMO. FWIW, that was the blend to produce our QPF/snowfall from last night's mid shift. Who knows what tonight will bring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 FWIW, that was the blend to produce our QPF/snowfall from last night's mid shift. Who knows what tonight will bring. Probably some heftier snowfall totals would be a starting point.............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 GGEM is a complete nuke for SNE...up into CNE and Maine. Looks like a track between ACK/BM. Looks S&E from the 12z. Consensus closes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Wow. Canadian. FWIW, that was the blend to produce our QPF/snowfall from last night's mid shift. Who knows what tonight will bring. Yeah, I'm still leaning that way. Canadian is a nice compromise. PWM gets crushed while the mountains see much less. Meh. haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Looks S&E from the 12z. Consensus closes. Looks dead on to me. Nice CCB signature and stronger with a tighter center lowest pressure. 982 it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 11, 2014 Author Share Posted February 11, 2014 I think it Scooter and Wes that were saying that the GEM wasn't a bad compromise.... @12z it was... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 This is great. I like where I sit for what will likely be the biggest storm of the year. Like the runs so far tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Looks dead on to me. Nice CCB signature and stronger with a tighter center lowest pressure. 982 it looks like. Just going by the 72 hour panel I think it's S&E but also stronger. Old run on the collaboration site was near ACK, this one seems to be elongated but centered further S&E Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I'd feel mighty fine if I was in interior CT/MA outside 495/southern NH/ southern ME. Woof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 just as a comparison (uploaded 1 hour short but it's just as clear in the next frame. I like this "trend") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Just going by the 72 hour panel I think it's S&E but also stronger. Old run on the collaboration site was near ACK, this one seems to be elongated but centered further S&E Yeah maybe a tad. Trivial really. CMC has been really good this winter. Lots of snow incoming for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 GEFS mean is basically right over the benchmark...not much change from 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 GEFS mean is basically right over the benchmark...not much change from 18z. Rolling through the CMC there's that hitch west with the actual x being drawn out by the BM. Perhaps that's the stumbling block for the GFS, or maybe what'll lead it across the finish line. Can see how the UKMET goes bonkers with the trailing energy rolling in and phasing everything. Seems kind of ridic at that point but I doubt we're through with the surprises given this years pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 11, 2014 Author Share Posted February 11, 2014 Blizzard D7+ on the GGEM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Blizzard D7+ on the GGEM?GGEM was hammering that last night too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I'd feel mighty fine if I was in interior CT/MA outside 495/southern NH/ southern ME. Woof. i accept your invitation to feel that. euro holds firm perhaps a hair west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Can we maintain this for the next two days though? A Lot of moving parts.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Have a good night, bro. No worries. Yea, def. Your gonna be pumped in a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Oh my sweet jesus, just got home from the Beanpot to see the 0z GFS. You guys weren't kidding, it decimates me lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Here's there ever been a run when the GGEM doesn't have a D6 or 7 blizzard? BTW does the administration know there's no access to the forums or models from the homepage even for those logged in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I'd feel good right now if I was in Maine, someone up there's gonna get smoked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Jay, I think we'll get at least a good mod event, but don't forget that I saw that subsidence $hitshow a mile away in Jan. Took you to school, son. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 11, 2014 Author Share Posted February 11, 2014 GGEM was hammering that last night too Actually... that signal for the 17th -20th has been there in lot of runs. The Euro had it as 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thomasnh Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Will what would this be for Amherst, NH our mets say some snow then converting to ice and then sleet/rain and then changing back over to snow at the end maybe 4inches? Sound about right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I'd feel good right now if I was in Maine, someone up there's gonna get smoked. Theres been solutions that occulde in mid atl and some in gom so who gets jacked is still up in the air imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Will what would this be for Amherst, NH our mets say some snow then converting to ice and then sleet/rain and then changing back over to snow at the end maybe 4inches? Sound about right? Too early to get that specific IMHO. That sounds a bit skimpy on the snow...4 inches total? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Jay, I think we'll get at least a good mod event, but don't forget that I saw that subsidence $hitshow a mile away in Jan. Took you to school, son. I'd feel a lot more confident if I was on Rt 2 in Tippy Land. Euro will have better idea. Consensus right this minute suggests we are double digits. Do not waver mi amigo. That storm was a totally different beast. The mid levels weren't beautiful and it wasn't going kaboom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Is the light system that snows overnight friday the kicker? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Is the light system that snows overnight friday the kicker? Yes, The euro brought it here as a clipper on saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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