weathafella Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Actually located over asbury park, nj. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Uncle goes berserk. 981 almost over NYC. whats the link? Wanna add it to my bookmarks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 LOL ukie is amped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 no real east trend tonight, at least on the models that matter. everything caving towards the euro ens? the envelope is now inside the bm it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 very jan 2011-esque...back dat a$$ to my porch baby! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 whats the link? Wanna add it to my bookmarks. vortex.plymouth.edu/make.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Nice run. Looks somewhat similar to it's previous evolutions...but taps into a bit more moisture...or perhaps just lingers a bit more? Introduces the 1" QPF line into southern and eastern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 no real east trend tonight, at least on the models that matter. everything caving towards the euro ens? the envelope is now inside the bm it seems. So far AWT. Ukie is definitely way amped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 no real east trend tonight, at least on the models that matter. everything caving towards the euro ens? the envelope is now inside the bm it seems. Not really. Gfs is over the bm. Nam is worthless. Ukmet is most likely overdone and if it's not many folks are going to taint including possibly you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 The QPF not that it means a whole lot a this juncture does not match the features as is. I don't know but should there not be more? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Uncle goes berserk. 981 almost over NYC. Uncle goes berserk. 981 almost over NYC. UKIE being west and amped is like the JMA being on your side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 unfortunately, coastal areas should be concerned now lol...gfs being a hit this far out with its usual se bias when two streams involved, it is getting dicey. such a long ways to go, tomorrow will be a slow work day boss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Game over for heavy snow east. I said earlier that I had a feeling the one time that the EURO would absolutely, positively NAIL it on one of its amped solutions would be this one. Of course....none of the blizzards. No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Ukmet closes off too far west to not taint but when that vort swings by late in the system fun will be had, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 minor break friday afternoon and back it with some light snows over the weekend....super Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Yeah the Ukie isn't called Crazy Uncle for nothing...it has wild swings. But seeing it amped does give the Euro solution a bit more credence. I do think the Euro will eventually tick east...whether that's tonight or tomorrow I'm not sure. If it doesn't by tomorrow's 12z though, then it might have it nailed down. However, the pattern, the other guidance, and biases all tell me that this will want to try and kick east at some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Not really. Gfs is over the bm. Nam is worthless. Ukmet is most likely overdone and if it's not many folks are going to taint including possibly you. The bottom line is that the EURO may very well not be too far west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 looks like with the increased moisture comes some tainting. eyeballing it off the maps looks like some tainting as far west as HVN on that run. looks like BOS-PVD-HVN may be the R/S line at the warmest point of the event. wouldn't mind a slight jog east in that for MBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Not really. Gfs is over the bm. Nam is worthless. Ukmet is most likely overdone and if it's not many folks are going to taint including possibly you. Sometimes the GGEM doesn't follow the RGEM, but if it does it'll be east of it's earlier runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Yeah the Ukie isn't called Crazy Uncle for nothing...it has wild swings. But seeing it amped does give the Euro solution a bit more credence. I do think the Euro will eventually tick east...whether that's tonight or tomorrow I'm not sure. If it doesn't by tomorrow's 12z though, then it might have it nailed down. However, the pattern, the other guidance, and biases all tell me that this will want to try and kick east at some point. I dunno, Will....I'm not sure it comes east much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Not really. Gfs is over the bm. Nam is worthless. Ukmet is most likely overdone and if it's not many folks are going to taint including possibly you. the trend though is inside the bm, no? the gfs was the holdout and it has made a decent jump nw. As Will and Scott said, 75% to the Euro. It seems the bm is east outlier now. ggem? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Ray? Before the Euro runs? GFS looks great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Game over for heavy snow east. I said earlier that I had a feeling the one time that the EURO would absolutely, positively NAIL it on one of its amped solutions would be this one. Of course....none of the blizzards. No. Bold statement given the front ender on ALL guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Can the Euro go west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Bold statement given the front ender on ALL guidance. Yeah even the Ukie is probably a paste bomb for the first 6 hours in BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Bold statement given the front ender on ALL guidance.dumbfounded, really Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 taint dont worry...cut down on some snow totals but in the end, its an awesome event to watch unfold and experience. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 GFS further W now. Ukmet amped and W. I don't see the Euro caving too far E tonight. We'll see but I'm liking my house being 100mi from the coast an 12mi from VT border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Bold statement given the front ender on ALL guidance. I meant a heavy snowfall...ie 10"+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 SnJ to inside BM outside ACK seems likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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