N. OF PIKE Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Gfs is coming a bit west-per earthlight . Need a nice ccv or it will be warm-need ccb dynamic cooling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I think its the typial 75/25 compromise in favor of the ECMWF right now. It's been overamped at 84 hours quite often in the past. Now if it ends up being something outside of the benchmark, then that is a total fail on the Euro. We'll see how it looks tonight. My guess is less amped but not by a lot. JMHO in this case if the low runs outside of ACK or worse even towards the BM it's a pretty significant fail for the once King. It and all of its ensembles were glued to the western track and in the old days when it had that much support we never would have even questioned it. It's a predictable issue...it'll be too slow to eject energy out of the sw...but this winter many of the other models are having the same issue and the GFS's ridiculous speed bias down south is actually helping it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 GFS looks significantly more amplified through 54 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 BTW the administration needs to figure out what to do during storms. People are paying for the models now. They should work when we need them the most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 GFS looks significantly more amplified through 54 hours. Still pretty far S&E from the 12z Euro at 72 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Negative tilt slow moving snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Def stronger and further NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 R/S line up to about BOS/PVD at 72 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Nice hit, NE tilt low track further NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Thats a nice event to say the least. Just as it mixes it goes back to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Pretty big hit for ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 H5 closes off and tries to mini nuke ern areas as it heads to Maine. Downeast ME sniffs ozone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 What a crush job up here 976mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 The 5H is digging for oil. The last 4 runs have sharpened the trough, big-time. This is going to be precariously close! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 988 s of LI at 72hr to 980 at 78hr east of cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Sapling Snapper for many...even BOS goes back to snow after a relatively brief taint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Once the Euro comes east later we'll have pretty good consensus after these runs. PF ain't going to be happy if the consensus does shift S&E. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Long duration. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 What a crush job up here 976mb Your longitude FTW. Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Nice hit, NE tilt low track further NW This was the run we needed. I can sleep now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Crusher Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Long duration. due to closing off near us, or due to upper low coming in and prolonging preceip aka tippy 40 hour deal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Sapling Snapper for many...even BOS goes back to snow after a relatively brief taint.Interior ne ma? I'm mobile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 GFS would signal a good 1-2' from Berkshire East N/E through Sunday River and Sugarloaf. Lots of lowland winter places will be tap dancing in the morning finally. If that track can hold I'll have a chance of a 2-3" slop job before rain and then a flip back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Lets get the euro to a track like that...you know the temp profile would be colder as modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 00z Ukie is a coastal hugger...almost looks like the 12z Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Lets get the euro to a track like that...you know the temp profile would be colder as modeled.exactly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Uncle goes berserk. 981 almost over NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Lets get the euro to a track like that...you know the temp profile would be colder as modeled. No thanks...lets not. GFS a step in the right direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 looks pretty windy also 40-50 knots at coast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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