Ginx snewx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 3:32 PM, powderfreak said: Well to be honest there's not a ton to be optimistic about up here except the one ECM run, is there? I mean it is what it is, not necessarily swinging from the rafters haha.that clipper follow up has some big NNE analogs, check out the CIPS site Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 3:37 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Jan 26-27 2011was awesome..That dropped 16 inches in a short overnight period of time,including 4 inch per hour rates here. That storm had a colder airmass to work with thoughnumber 2 on CIPS analog Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 3:36 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: This reminds me of Feb 2001 a bit....a few different ones from that season, really... On 2/10/2014 at 3:36 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: This reminds me of Feb 2001 a bit....a few different ones from that season, really... On 2/10/2014 at 3:36 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: This reminds me of Feb 2001 a bit....a few different ones from that season, really... On 2/10/2014 at 3:36 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: This reminds me of Feb 2001 a bit....a few different ones from that season, really... Tailtpipe time with that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Roof issues? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Glad its mid Feb, heading toward the back nine of a cold winter, and not Decemeber. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 3:44 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Glad its mid Feb, heading toward the back nine of a cold winter, and not Decemeber.exactly, Pickles needs to add that to his equation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 3:44 PM, CoastalWx said: Tailtpipe time with that one. Yup...it was ok for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 3:43 PM, Ginxy said: number 2 on CIPS analog That was the night my neighbor went into labor and couldn't get out of her driveway, so the FD had to come plow her out and get her to hosp. But that was a cold storm..powder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 3:37 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Jan 26-27 2011was awesome..That dropped 16 inches in a short overnight period of time,including 4 inch per hour rates here. That storm had a colder airmass to work with though if i remember correctly, that one had anyone north of MA border smoking cirrus. suppression city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 3:43 PM, Ginxy said: that clipper follow up has some big NNE analogs, check out the CIPS site Yeah that one is much more interesting to me...there's some long-lead time signals for a modest upslope response with that one, too. I like that one, of course we'll have to see what the first system does as that'll have some effect on it, but I don't think its unreasonable for NW New England to be skeptical of the coastal storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 12z GFS catching on, Troff digging further south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 3:37 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Jan 26-27 2011was awesome..That dropped 16 inches in a short overnight period of time,including 4 inch per hour rates here. That storm had a colder airmass to work with though That's actually sort of the evolution I see with this one regarding precipitation and location of banding...although I think this one would be a wetter snow or more marginal at least. That's the I-84 corridor to 495 type band I've been envisioning this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 3:48 PM, SJonesWX said: if i remember correctly, that one had anyone north of MA border smoking cirrus. suppression city No..Ray had 12.5 in Wilmington Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Kicker seems weaker than 06z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Nam shows nice 5h deform sw maine nh to n orh hills And nice 7H lift ct ri to bos area It absolutely crushes earthlight and Philly earlier in day, just brutal banding there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 GFS is kinf of meh. Still fast flow over nrn tier. sub 1000mb low 80 miles or so east of Wallops island 18z Thursday, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 However it is better than 06z, just nothing prolific like the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Final result not a heck of a lot different vs 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Ukie at 72h looks like it would be a huge hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Really gets going near the GOM as H5 closes off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 3:59 PM, CoastalWx said: Really gets going near the GOM as H5 closes off. 42/67 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 3:57 PM, ORH_wxman said: Ukie at 72h looks like it would be a huge hit. That looks like a doozy at hr 72. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 turns into a beast Seems like its trending towards the euro On 2/10/2014 at 3:59 PM, CoastalWx said: Really gets going near the GOM as H5 closes off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Is Ukie east of Euro/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 LOL, this GFS run is weird...a massive QPF bomb now over Eastport ME. I dunno..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 4:01 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Is Ukie east of Euro/ Maybe a hair east and south. Pretty close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 3:57 PM, CoastalWx said: Final result not a heck of a lot different vs 06z. Another thing of note on the kicker, if it weakens that would also lend itself to a warmer scenario such as the GFS is showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 So the GFS bombs it, just north of our latitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 4:06 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Another thing of note on the kicker, if it weakens that would also lend itself to a warmer scenario such as the GFS is showing. Bob what are your thoughts on the PVD-BOS corridor needs to see evolution wise for warning snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 4:06 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Another thing of note on the kicker, if it weakens that would also lend itself to a warmer scenario such as the GFS is showing. The GFS is pretty pedestrian until it gets SW of Nova Scotia. Gets those euro VVs involved and it would lead to dynamical cooling too. Thats part of the reason. The GFS looks weird to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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