michsnowfreak Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 2.0" exactly. Looks like another 2" at best. Will lose 40- 50% of our snow pack at least 50% is a decent wager...but then again...we are talking snowDEPTH not snowpack. It will be really interesting to see how much water is in the remaining snowpack once everything is frozen up Friday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 The convective nature of this event has been interesting. Go from near whiteouts, to very light snow, to near whiteouts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 First underperformer in a long time. Still got 3" or so of snow though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 One thing I WILL say though...this is a powerball special. This storm is ALL about the rates. We actually didn't get the epic snowfall rates that the models suggested, like what they saw across IL/IN. That's part of the reason this storm underachieved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Didn't get teh epic snowfall rates that some of the models suggested. We actually didn't get the epic snowfall rates that the models suggested, like what they saw across IL/IN. What rates did they suggest? We had 1-2"/hr...and I dont think any models had more than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 We actually didn't get the epic snowfall rates that the models suggested, like what they saw across IL/IN. That's part of the reason this storm underachieved. Looks like Intense band moving though right now. 2" hr rates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Looks like Intense band moving though right now. 2" hr rates I havent measured but i would say the initial band was nearly 2" in the first hour. This next band is heavy, not as heavy as the initial burst here, but a good 1/4 mile visib. However...looks like just spotty snow showers afterwards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 What rates did they suggest? We had 1-2"/hr...and I dont think any models had more than that. If I recall, many models had us getting about 5-6" with this burst of snow. Obviously that's not going to happen. The average DBZs were about 20-25. That translates to about 1/2" to 1" per hour rates assuming good ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 I havent measured but i would say the initial band was nearly 2" in the first hour. This next band is heavy, not as heavy as the initial burst here, but a good 1/4 mile visib. However...looks like just spotty snow showers afterwards. It would have been cool to see TSSN have NOT seen it since NYD 08 storm. Remember that storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Under 0dBZ radar echo, and light snow continues to fall at a decent clip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 I'll stick a ruler in the snow and take a before and after pic. Tomorrow through Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 If I recall, many models had us getting about 5-6" with this burst of snow. Obviously that's not going to happen. The average DBZs were about 20-25. That translates to about 1/2" to 1" per hour rates assuming good ratios. As I recall...the models were steadfast in 0.25-0.40" qpf and everyone was assuming "this storm is ripe to overperform". Oh, and DTW ASOS (and ASOS is notorious for underdoing liquid in snowfall) had 0.13" liquid between 8-9pm. I cannot believe you are trying to say we had 0.5-1" per hour. It didnt snow a flake here til about 7:30 and by 8:30 we were near 2 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 mostly shaded areas wont lose but maybeee 10% or so next two days... even sunny and 40 in mostly exposed areas wont do much damage to a dense pack... only day to sweat is the possible rainer. If jonger has 20" or so I bet he will have 10-12 worst case min left after friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 It would have been cool to see TSSN have NOT seen it since NYD 08 storm. Remember that storm? Gee no...never heard of it....can you elaborate . I have seen thundersnow since then in Mar 2008, Feb 2011 (both the Feb 1st and Feb 20th storms) and up north in Mar 2012. Think I may have seen it another time in between but Id have to think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Gee no...never heard of it....can you elaborate . I have seen thundersnow since then in Mar 2008, Feb 2011 (both the Feb 1st and Feb 20th storms) and up north in Mar 2012. Think I may have seen it another time in between but Id have to think. The only times I have actually seen it. Is when I was kid staring out bedroom window was that Jan 1992 storm and of course the NYD08. So only twice. The first intense band that came through tonight I was outside to see and notta. So I will just move on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 18, 2014 Author Share Posted February 18, 2014 Finished with 5.3" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 This event underperforming is kind of sad for me because starting tomorrow I have to watch this amazing snowpack quickly vanish away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 This event underperforming is kind of sad for me because starting tomorrow I have to watch this amazing snowpack quickly vanish away. Don't look. Don't go outside until Saturday. Ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Don't look. Don't go outside until Saturday. Ok That will be kind of hard. I just wish it could stick around until spring was actually here...not this weaksauce pseudotorch that will do nothing but cause misery with flooding and crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 At 1045 I had 3.7 with avg depth 20. Snow is dry but heavy, looks like there may have even been a few snow pellets. Gorgeous out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 At 1045 I had 3.7 with avg depth 20. Snow is dry but heavy, looks like there may have even been a few snow pellets. Gorgeous out. Are you in that deeper band of snow pack between Det and Flint? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Are you in that deeper band of snow pack between Det and Flint? ssm_depth_2014021804_0_600_450__13208_5011__12534_5911_dem_shading_ilm_m_1_0_0_0_0_0.png My area. Measured 18" (on average) OTG yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 At 1045 I had 3.7 with avg depth 20. Snow is dry but heavy, looks like there may have even been a few snow pellets. Gorgeous out. There definitely were some snow pellets during that dry slot that moved in, I was out shoveling during it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 About 7" on the ground here, there was already an inch to inch and a half in the middle of the driveway and somebody drove in and out compacting down where i walked at. might squeak another inch out yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Ended up with 5.7" here in Racine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Are you in that deeper band of snow pack between Det and Flint? ssm_depth_2014021804_0_600_450__13208_5011__12534_5911_dem_shading_ilm_m_1_0_0_0_0_0.png No I am further southeast...due east of DTW on the river. Those maps are decent but not necessarily perfect. Im aligned with I-94...snow depth at 7am this morning were 15" ARB, 16" DTW, 16" mby. At midnight I was at 3.9" snow here with 0.34" liquid. DTW had 3.5" snow on 0.29" liquid. Downriver got slightly higher totals from thundersnow and the intense burst, and of course the highest totals are near FNT/MBS. Much of the rest of the greater Detroit area appears to be 3-3.5". However, once the last band of snow moves through overnight, most should be in the 4-5" range I suspect, so in the end it will probably be right in the forecast range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 No I am further southeast...due east of DTW on the river. Those maps are decent but not necessarily perfect. Im aligned with I-94...snow depth at 7am this morning were 15" ARB, 16" DTW, 16" mby. At midnight I was at 3.9" snow here with 0.34" liquid. DTW had 3.5" snow on 0.29" liquid. Downriver got slightly higher totals from thundersnow and the intense burst, and of course the highest totals are near FNT/MBS. Much of the rest of the greater Detroit area appears to be 3-3.5". However, once the last band of snow moves through overnight, most should be in the 4-5" range I suspect, so in the end it will probably be right in the forecast range. 4-5" seems pretty good. Already about at 4" here, might be able to sneak out 5. So quiet outside tonight. Really peaceful to look around at the neighborhoods all buried with snow. Winter at its finest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 18, 2014 Author Share Posted February 18, 2014 ORD finished with 5.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 TOL had 4.1" on .3" of QPF thru midnight and will end up around 4.5" Cracked 70" today and now sit less than an inch away from the record Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 In the end it turned out OK with a good 5". Getting that early band helped. Now sitting at a good 85"+ for the year. FYI ... I don't keep measurement records as I travel too much (it would always end up incomplete). Current snow pack is >20". This winter I have seen ~100" fall with my ski trips to West MI and Northern MI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.