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February 11-19th Clippers/Hybrids


Chicago Storm

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Around 6" here. Starting to blow and drift pretty bad.

A few more from earlier.

Looks great, nice photos.

I went out for a walk tonight, to soak up the scenes, and the winds are blowing today's snow around here too. Probably a nasty night to be driving around in rural areas.

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000
NWUS53 KDTX 180200
LSRDTX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
859 PM EST MON FEB 17 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0805 PM SNOW MARLETTE 43.33N 83.08W
02/17/2014 M2.6 INCH SANILAC MI TRAINED SPOTTER

2 1/2 HOUR TOTAL.

0830 PM SNOW GROSSE ILE 42.13N 83.15W
02/17/2014 E2.0 INCH WAYNE MI PUBLIC

2 HOUR TOTAL.

0858 PM SNOW OIL CITY 43.61N 84.59W
02/17/2014 M5.0 INCH MIDLAND MI CO-OP OBSERVER

4 1/2 HOUR TOTAL.


&&

$$

MOSTEIKO

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Looks great, nice photos.

I went out for a walk tonight, to soak up the scenes, and the winds are blowing today's snow around here too. Probably a nasty night to be driving around in rural areas.

Thanks.  What did you end up with?

Yeah roads are horrible in rural areas.

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Sure will miss all this snowpack when it's gone. I hope the torch doesnt take all of it, though with an inch of rain and foggy 40's on the horizon it'll be close.

 

I don't know the situation in Detroit, but I don't think I'll even lose 10% of it here.

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I don't know the situation in Detroit, but I don't think I'll even lose 10% of it here.

 

I think we'll lose more to the late February sun over the next 2 days than perhaps the rain event itself. A dreary day socked with clouds and rain falling in the 30's with a brief spike into the low 40's is just limited to what it can do. DTX has lows dipping below freezing for at least some time every day too, which will limit melting.

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With an inch of rain possible, and dewpoints near the same as the air temp, I'd definitely say you're going to lose more than 10% of your snowpack imo.

Agree...but also...as it stands now...anyone saying that an inch of rain and temps briefly spiking into the 40s would deplete the entire snowpack is equally incorrect.

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10% is probably an under exaggeration, but it won't be that significant... Models have a local QPF of .25 for the entire rain event.

 

That is bound to change, and more likely than not will increase rainfall than decrease.  Unless you stay near freezing the next two days, there is very little chance that you will retain 90% or more of your snowpack.

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I thought the forecast for your area was 3-5 inches?

Anything that doesnt overachieve is underachieving to powerball :lol:

 

For once it looks like we will hit the low end of a DTX forecast (for like, the first time this winter haha) but still 3+ is a lock for all. What did I say earlier...if DTX goes bullish, its cause for worry. Otherwise...all hell may break loose from the heavens.

 

One thing I WILL say though...this is a powerball special. This storm is ALL about the rates.

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I thought the forecast for your area was 3-5 inches?

 

Latest update was 4-6".

 

An underachievement is still an underachievement, whether it's by a little or a lot. 

 

http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=dtx&wwa=winter%20weather%20advisory

 

MIZ055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-180815-

/O.CON.KDTX.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-140218T0900Z/

SANILAC-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-LAPEER-ST. CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-

MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SANDUSKY...OWOSSO...FLINT...LAPEER...

PORT HURON...HOWELL...PONTIAC...WARREN...ANN ARBOR...DETROIT...

ADRIAN...MONROE

703 PM EST MON FEB 17 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST

TUESDAY...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

* BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW WILL PERSIST OVER THE REGION BETWEEN 7 PM

AND MIDNIGHT.

* SNOWFALL RATES NEAR 1 PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE. SNOW PELLETS

AND A RUMBLE OF THUNDER WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE CLOSER TO THE

OHIO BORDER.

* SNOW GRADUALLY TAPERS OFF BEFORE SUNRISE TUESDAY MORNING.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 6 INCHES IS EXPECTED.

IMPACTS...

* UNTREATED ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY.

* VISIBILITY WILL DROP TO ONE QUARTER OF A MILE OR LESS AT

TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

* A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL

CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND

LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

* PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED.

VISIT WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT

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