Chicago WX Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 It's quite funny that the GFS is one of the wetter models now. Best model. One thing's for sure...whatever falls is going to be cement. In a weird way, I'm almost hoping for all freezing rain and [expletive]...to put a crust on top of the snow pack. Maybe give it a couple more hours of shelf life before it's all torched/washed away later this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 6" area wide on GFS here. I'd bet LOT upgrades to warnings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 0z UKie a near carbon copy of its 12z run. 0z Tuesday map... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 6" area wide on GFS here. I'd bet LOT upgrades to warnings My only question would be how big of a holiday is Presidents' Day in Chicago. If it's more like any other work day, then yes, they should, given the effect this will have on the evening commute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 GFS with a nice 8"+ bullseye over VPZ. I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 FWIW, the 03z RAP gets the mixing line pretty far north. Right up to around the tip of Lake Michigan. Wet bulbing from the precipitation knocks it back southward though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 My only question would be how big of a holiday is Presidents' Day in Chicago. If it's more like any other work day, then yes, they should, given the effect this will have on the evening commute. Really don't think that will matter. 6" in 8hrs is possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Really don't think that will matter. 6" in 8hrs is possible True. If they're confident enough (I think the threshold is 80% confidence?) of 6" in 8 hours then they don't even need to fudge it with some other reason. Edit: Although I thought 6" in 12 hours is all they needed for the WSW? Even though 6" in 8 looks plenty likely enough anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 0z RGEM clown. Congrats Bloomington-Normal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 They were going 2-4" all day until the last hour or so. they have been going between 3-5" for a few days and still are. failing to see your caving? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Schwarz upped his totals to 3-5. Microcast really lowballing it with 1-3 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MadTown Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 was 2-4 ou thtis way bow until about 2 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 GFS, the best model in the world , caved pretty damn hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 se wind to start yuck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 was 2-4 ou thtis way bow until about 2 hours ago and it still is and always has been 3-5" jfc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 they have been going between 3-5" for a few days and still are. failing to see your caving? Geos doesn't like winter anymore. He's moved into the pool house at DD Lane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Geos doesn't like winter anymore. He's moved into the pool house at DD Lane. he's gone tropical on temps now even too. normally he finds the coldest temp he can post. poor guy, wait until the glacier finally melts off late march and the moldy grass appears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 The GFS keeps getting better, actually closes this thing off at 850mb over Lake Michigan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 he's gone tropical on temps now even too. normally he finds the coldest temp he can post. poor guy, wait until the glacier finally melts off late march and the moldy grass appears. I don't know, he reports big melting everyday. Is there anything left up there on Mt Geos? Hell, he may be mowing grass soon... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 they have been going between 3-5" for a few days and still are. failing to see your caving? I was referring to the low ball 2-4" in the grids in Kenosha and Racine. 0z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 I don't know, he reports big melting everyday. Is there anything left up there on Mt Geos? Hell, he may be mowing grass soon... Probably installed heaters underground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 he's gone tropical on temps now even too. normally he finds the coldest temp he can post. poor guy, wait until the glacier finally melts off late march and the moldy grass appears. Moldy grass?... I hope not, I put down sod in October! As long as the sub 0° lows stay away I won't have anything to complain about. On a side note I saw people playing volleyball on Saturday near Kenosha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Figured the NCEPs would catchup a little considering how wet the Euro was. 4.2" call for here still looking golden, but wouldn't be surprised to see a bit more considering the convective look on some of the higher res models. Gonna give 6" a go, but not sure if we'll make it or not. That's what she said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Figured the NCEPs would catchup a little considering how wet the Euro was. 4.2" call for here still looking golden, but wouldn't be surprised to see a bit more considering the convective look on some of the higher res models. Gonna give 6" a go, but not sure if we'll make it or not. That's what she said. Good luck man. Would be awesome to see you hit 6". Long overdue... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Good luck man. Would be awesome to see you hit 6". Long overdue... Thanks bud, we'll see how it goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 I was referring to the low ball 2-4" in the grids in Kenosha and Racine. 0z GFS 0zGFS_021714.png its been 3-5 from kenosha to MKE in the zone forecast since sat morning when the mix was nixed from the far south... caving to nothing except colder for the far south and no mix since in came apparent friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Moldy grass?... I hope not, I put down sod in October! As long as the sub 0° lows stay away I won't have anything to complain about. On a side note I saw people playing volleyball on Saturday near Kenosha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 its been 3-5 from kenosha to MKE in the zone forecast since sat morning when the mix was nixed from the far south... caving to nothing except colder for the far south and no mix since in came apparent friday. Quote for Kenosha: Washington's Birthday Snow, mainly after 10am. High near 26. Southeast wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. Doesn't really matter though what the grid says. Time to quit watching models anyways. Where is that picture from? I haven't ever heard of grass molding before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 4km NAM at 18z. It's gonna go from nothing to heavy snow in a matter of minutes from the looks of things. Should make for fun times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Quote for Kenosha: sat AM zone for kenosha.. WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY SNOW. SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 4 INCHES. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SNOW 90 PERCENT. This sun morning forecast - Kenoaha WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY LIGHT SNOW. SNOW ACCUMULATION AROUND 4 INCHES. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW NEAR 100 PERCENT now its 4.3" on the map.. caving that extra .3" with more model data.. lmao.. this is so foolish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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