Thunder Road Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Anyway, a big ol' "Little or no snow accumulation expected." in my grid for Monday. Inconsistent with the AFD and likely to bust pretty hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 I move to make "Taint is taint" the new forum motto. I preferred "wagons of snow", but that'll work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 I move to make "Taint is taint" the new forum motto. I literally lol'd and put it in my signature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 16, 2014 Author Share Posted February 16, 2014 Actually, "lol" doesn't correct anything. But since you mentioned it, what other way should "super juiced" be interpreted (relative to the other model solutions)? Please explain. It's not nitpicking to ensure something isn't made bigger or smaller than what it is. Actually I did correct you at first, as seen below. And he did not say compared to other guidance. Just "super juiced"...thus wet, which it is. Actually it is... 0.50-0.70" QPF across a good portion of the LOT CWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 -SN here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 -SN here I'd call it a solid SN here, pouring small flakes right now. Some quality returns moving into the area: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 I wasn't watching the ARX radar today so I didn't realize there was another good band of snow up there that dropped 3-4+". There are also several 3" reports from just west of me through southeast IA, so if this system underperformed(like I suggested earlier) it was solely a flake size/ratio issue. My precip was actually toward the higher end of what the models were spitting out. My final ratio was only 12 to 1, though, so the snow total could have been higher. My backyard, especially, has a fairly deep snowpack now. The piles along the driveway and sidewalk are the biggest since February '08. It's going to take a while to melt all this stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Virga so far here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 21z SREF mean down slightly to 5" for DTW. Lowest member is showing 1.5" and Highest member is showing 11.3" Still a reasonable spread, but the lower amounts are somewhat favored this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Some micro flakes falling now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Probably about a half inch here. Our Monday wave on the 0z NAM strongest than any of the last several runs at 18hr moving across northern NV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 And the 00z NAM takes a step towards the GFS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Well, that was anti-climactic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Damn, that is a marked change from the 18z, and even the less impressive 12z run. S/w is still over the PAC. Wondering if it's a RAOB problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Damn, that is a marked change from the 18z, and even the less impressive 12z run. S/w is still over the PAC. Wondering if it's a RAOB problem. Definitely a far cry from the kick-ass solutions the models had Thursday and Friday. I guess we'll see with the other models. Otherwise, it would be a decent coup by the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 I'm at a solid inch here. Still lightly snowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 0z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 I hate these. Bring back the guarantee of a 3" fluff snow with 18:1 ratios. This Monday system will be a jack in the box one way or the other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 RGEM through 36 looks more impressive than the NAM. Trough more amplified over the northern Plains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Ka-blam-o Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Probably end up with 0.3" or so with tonight's DAB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Ka-blam-o lol, whats your preliminary call? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 lol, whats your preliminary call? 3-5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 NWS upped us to 5-7...higher amts north ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 3-5". I'm going with 2-4" atm. Would like to see more consistency but I think its a good call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 LSE just issued WSW's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Been snowing decently here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 RGEM snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Judging from the lack of discussion about it, I assume the GFS continues to suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Judging from the lack of discussion about it, I assume the GFS continues to suck. It's better for southern Ontario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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