Powerball Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Impressive 12z NAM run for many of us with the Monday/Tuesday. It's all snow too for Chicago and Detroit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 On 2/14/2014 at 3:01 PM, Chicago WX said: 12z NAM with a whacky solution for Monday. Looks like a decent thump of freezing rain to snow for LAF. Not counting on that happening. NAM needs to pass that around. That's whacky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 On 2/14/2014 at 3:15 PM, blue60007 said: Radar and obs trends look reasonable for a dusting to an inch, especially south parts of town. Yeah...maybe. I'm just expecting a few mood flakes at best...but probably don't have to go too far south to see accumulating snow. On 2/14/2014 at 3:18 PM, blue60007 said: NAM needs to pass that around. That's whacky It's quite the solution. And no doubt totally wrong. But it is in its fantasy range. lol, the text output is great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 On 2/14/2014 at 3:22 PM, Chicago WX said: Yeah...maybe. I'm just expecting a few mood flakes at best...but probably don't have to go too far south to see accumulating snow. It's quite the solution. And no doubt totally wrong. But it is in its fantasy range. A number of sites in central IL reporting +SN. Looks quality for points south of here. Was really hoping to get down to Indy tonight to visit some friends but I'm not sure venturing out onto the 65 death trap will be happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Chicago WX said: It's quite the solution. And no doubt totally wrong. But it is in its fantasy range. The 00z GGEM (which has been running laps around the other models this season) had a similar solution, just with a somewhat deeper low/further north track. So it's not a totally whacky solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 On 2/14/2014 at 3:24 PM, blue60007 said: A number of sites in central IL reporting +SN. Looks quality for points south of here. Was really hoping to get down to Indy tonight to visit some friends but I'm not sure venturing out onto the 65 death trap will be happening. Might be tough sledding once you get out of LAF. If you do go, drive safely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 On 2/14/2014 at 3:26 PM, Chicago WX said: Might be tough sledding once you get out of LAF. If you do go, drive safely. Yeah... One can hope it will quick hit around noon and melt by later. Otherwise, will try again tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 On 2/14/2014 at 3:25 PM, Powerball said: 00z GGEM had a similar solution, just with a somewhat deeper low/further north track. So it's not a totally whacky solution. Sorry, I was talking about the actual output for LAF...thus calling it whacky. No chance we see any wintry precip with that storm. Better chances for you all up north I hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 The NAM is nice for Monday, I would like to continue seeing less interaction between that northern wave however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 On 2/14/2014 at 3:27 PM, Chicago WX said: Sorry, I was talking about the actual output for LAF...thus calling it whacky. No chance we see any wintry precip with that storm. Better chances for you all up north I hope. I wouldn't rule anything out just yet. Models always struggle with these systems preceeding a major pattern change. This is especially given the deep snowpack in place and the fact that this system is still out in the Pacific (and hasn't been sampled). The trend has been south/stronger with this system since Wednesday night though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Looks like the 12z GFS boosted amounts for today. 3"+ for Indy and south. Nice. Whiff city for LAF, but don't have to drive too far south to see snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 +SN here wouldn't be surprised to have 4-5" once this is over on top of the 5" we still have on the ground from last week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 On 2/14/2014 at 3:43 PM, Central Illinois said: +SN here wouldn't be surprised to have 4-5" once this is over on top of the 5" we already still had on the ground from last storm Very nice, enjoy it. I'm jealous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Lol 12z NAM drops 2-3" tomorrow here then 3-6" on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 On 2/14/2014 at 3:45 PM, Chicago WX said: Very nice, enjoy it. I'm jealous. This should get my area only about a inch away from the 40" mark this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 12z NAM for the system today and on Saturday night. NAM hires a bit further south. Dries it up as it comes SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 at the 12z GFS. The anti-NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Lol. That's one of the biggest differences I've seen inside 90 hours! Would be the mix to rain here with Pacific air screaming in under the low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 On 2/14/2014 at 3:55 PM, Central Illinois said: This should get my area only about a inch away from the 40" mark this year Fantastic. What a great winter. Got a few flakes falling right now, so not a total shutout here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 5" reports popping up in the southern DVN area now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 On 2/14/2014 at 4:08 PM, Chicago WX said: Fantastic. What a great winter. Got a few flakes falling right now, so not a total shutout here. nice looks like you should be a lock for 60" this year especially if it goes cold again at the end of the month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Thinking we're looking good for an inch... maybe two here. IND calling for 2 inches in the last SWS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 GFS is now completely northern wave dominant Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 On 2/14/2014 at 3:28 PM, Brewers said: The NAM is nice for Monday, I would like to continue seeing less interaction between that northern wave however. Gem removed any mixing...mainly snow event atm... not bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GordoFabulous Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Pure rippage on the southwest side of Indy. I'd guess half-mile visibility and about one inch down already, though that's just doing the finger test for depth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 On 2/14/2014 at 5:02 PM, Ajdos said: Gem removed any mixing...mainly snow event atm... not bad Compared to the 00z run, what's the precipitation amounts like? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Snowing very nicely here right now. SPECI KLAF 141727Z 23003KT 1/2SM SN FZFG VV012 M09/M11 A2976 RMK AO2 P0002 T10941111 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Even better. SPECI KLAF 141734Z 25004KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG VV010 M09/M11 A2977 RMK AO2 P0003 T10941111 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 GGEM is definitely different looking. Main low does stay north, but the bulk of the moisture staying south of the low. WAA driven completely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 On 2/14/2014 at 5:38 PM, Chicago WX said: Even better. SPECI KLAF 141734Z 25004KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG VV010 M09/M11 A2977 RMK AO2 P0003 T10941111 Wow, was getting plastered coming back from lunch. Looks like a nice band setting up over LAF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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