Bob Chill Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 How about some actual model analysis in here? Good grief. It's ugly. GFS is disorganized with the midweek southern vort. The ns low passes north of us but sucks in all the southern moisture and phases. A coastal low forms but our column is ruined by the return flow from the northern low. We get a lot of rain as does the whole coast up to cape cod. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 here is my analysis...you're not getting snow But....YOU'RE snow sometimes...??? He's not getting you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 We need the EURO to stand tall and spit in the face of the GFS. And we need it in less than two hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheesyPoofs Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 How were the ECMWF ensembles at 0z for the midweek event? Either they don't support the OP at all, or everyone is so fed up and just waiting for the inevitable (the operational bowing to the GFS) that no one even bothered to post about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 How were the ECMWF ensembles at 0z for the midweek event? Either they don't support the OP at all, or everyone is so fed up and just waiting for the inevitable (the operational bowing to the GFS) that no one even bothered to post about it. EPS was a step down like the op. Weaker/dryer. What we need now is a brand new solution from globals. I really wish the overrunning portion that teased us a few days ago didn't slip away. There is time for that to change but quite unlikely. I'm not sure how we can get anything from the main event. The ns vort would need to dig and phase way early to keep our column alive. Another very unlikely scenario but weenies have to dream right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheesyPoofs Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 EPS was a step down like the op. Weaker/dryer. What we need now is a brand new solution from globals. I really wish the overrunning portion that teased us a few days ago didn't slip away. There is time for that to change but quite unlikely. I'm not sure how we can get anything from the main event. The ns vort would need to dig and phase way early to keep our column alive. Another very unlikely scenario but weenies have to dream right? Thanks, Bob. I think we all know the end result, but like you said, weenies have to dream. Here's to hoping that in an hour we can still ask "so when will the Euro cave?" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 ok, back on topic...moving the off topic stuff, including mine to the banter thread. sorry folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 I remember when the gfs didn't beat the euro up and take its lunch money. I miss those days. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 fat lady prepping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Just goes to show you that without blocking, it's tough to get good snow here. Bring on a nino and a block please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 canadian now a whiff....euro should cave in 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 euro holds in the high pressure a bit longer.......around 0.50"..mostly snow, but likely mixing DC south and east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Sounds like the Euro is a huge hit for our southern friends, so I'm guess we're cooked. I hope so..it's the only thing that's holding me in by the thinnest of threads. anybody? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 euro holds in the high pressure a bit longer.......around 0.50"..mostly snow, but likely mixing DC south and east just fold already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 euro holds in the high pressure a bit longer.......around 0.50"..mostly snow, but likely mixing DC south and east more like 0.65"? or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 just fold already Dang....another late night . Awful. Sounds like QPF keeps going down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 looks like a 3-7" event for DC metro...with higher end NW burbs and lower end/mixing DC south and east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Dang....another late night . Awful. Sounds like QPF keeps going down you probably only get 6-7" all snow with temps in the 20s this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Dang....another late night . Awful. Sounds like QPF keeps going down Apparently, the UKMET is similar. This is one of the more divided model wars I've seen. I hope you're joking with the "awful" @ 5-8" comment. At least it's not a weeknight. It'll fold tonight..it has to. Of course, I said that last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 looks like a 3-7" event for DC metro...with higher end NW burbs and lower end/mixing DC south and east temporary winter uncancel? we need something to fold one way or the other for a verdict. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Dang....another late night . Awful. Sounds like QPF keeps going down looks better than last night's run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 No it's awful that it hasn't folded yet....and keeping me up till 1:30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 looks better than last night's run Stop it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 it's still 3.5 days away, the overrunning part....man, it's hard to believe that it won't shift north to give us at least a little bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Stop it. track is similar it's just stronger.. track is worse than 12z yday but not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 I love where we stand. Im all in. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 temporary winter uncancel? we need something to fold one way or the other for a verdict. it holds in high pressure longer, long enough to hold in cold air and get a nice track, perhaps because the core low to our NW is out in the plains and doesn't really affect us until the event is over....to be honest the margin of error on the euro is bigger than it has been....that is assuming there is a storm at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 it's still 3.5 days away, the overrunning part....man, it's hard to believe that it won't shift north to give us at least a little bit there is snow entering DC at 90 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 I love where we stand. Im all in. Sent from my iPhone I'll throw a few chips, no way all in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Great to see Euro hold (actually improve from last night). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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