Deck Pic Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Yeah, I'm late to the party...GFS pretty respectable Wednesday and like Bob said, it's been getting better and better. I wish the Euro was interested....what are the chances the GFS leads... The euro has been showing a mid week event for like 4 days now and it now has the Tuesday morning event and the Wednesday morning event... so I would say the euro is interested Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 The euro has been showing a mid week event for like 4 days now and it now has the Tuesday morning event and the Wednesday morning event... so I would say the euro is interested It has and has always been just a bit less organized than the gfs. Last night it caught up and now the gfs took it a step further. 12z euro will probably improve from last night imo. Interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 It has and has always been just a bit less organized than the gfs. Last night it caught up and now the gfs took it a step further. 12z euro will probably improve from last night imo. Interesting. It doesn't really matter to me...It is Friday and the events are next Tuesday/Wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
welbane Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 I definitely prefer a cold 4" event to a mixy 14" one. I'll consider this winter a major win if Wednesday verifies as advertised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 I definitely prefer a cold 4" event to a mixy 14" one. I'll consider this winter a major win if Wednesday verifies as advertised. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 21, 2014 Author Share Posted February 21, 2014 I wonder if the GFS's 0 degrees at DCA FRiday morning will come to fruition Money Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 21, 2014 Author Share Posted February 21, 2014 I definitely prefer a cold 4" event to a mixy 14" one. I'll consider this winter a major win if Wednesday verifies as advertised. I'll go on record and say I don't want to ever see another snow above 10". They are too much work. This winter has been great with so many spread out events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 GEM not so impressed with Tuesday but likes Wednesday a little better .2--.3" is my conservative guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 12z GGEM likes Tues night into Wed morning... ~10mm or .4" QPF at DCA... quick glance at meteogram would suggest it is snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Kinda wish we had a 132 panel for the UKIE... at 120 1003 L in NW SC and then 144 its a 964 L up in the Nova Scotia/NF area... so we have no idea what happened Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 I'll go on record and say I don't want to ever see another snow above 10". They are too much work. This winter has been great with so many spread out events. This winter or ever again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 12z GGEM likes Tues night into Wed morning... ~10mm or .4" QPF at DCA... quick glance at meteogram would suggest it is snow yep, it's snow. Temps aren't even close to marginal. Temps in the 20's and cold 850's. 4"+/- region wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Hope the Tuesday Wed event comes to fruition as the models are no longer liking the 1st and then have a low going up to the lakes before the next cold shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Hope the Tuesday Wed event comes to fruition as the models are no longer liking the 1st and then have a low going up to the lakes before the next cold shot. yes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Hope the Tuesday Wed event comes to fruition as the models are no longer liking the 1st and then have a low going up to the lakes before the next cold shot. yea, energy out west kept getting pushed back the last couple days. Bad sign for trying to time a good h5 pattern. Maybe it ends up as a front end dealie. Way to far out to worry either way. Ian's storm after the storm is looking like a better call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 It has and has always been just a bit less organized than the gfs. Last night it caught up and now the gfs took it a step further. 12z euro will probably improve from last night imo. Interesting. This is more or less what I meant. I would say a lot less organized. Anxious to see 12z Euro....guess we'll know in 10 mins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 This is more or less what I meant. I would say a lot less organized. Anxious to see 12z Euro....guess we'll know in 10 mins GEFS looks pretty solid for wed considering the lead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Sunday night is a little sneaky for a cartopper or more NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Cartoppers are fine, but I want to see the Euro wake up to mid-week potential. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Hmmm... 998 off the coast directly east of the VA/NC border coast Wed 12z by like 100-150 miles or so... 850s -6 to -10 across the area... Zwyts and Bob... that looks good from what I can see, what do you see re QPF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 euro is 2-3" for DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Hmmm... 998 off the coast directly east of the VA/NC border coast Wed 12z by like 100-150 miles or so... 850s -6 to -10 across the area... hmmmm is right http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1280x1024&mo=ecmwf≤=700&va=rhum&in=5&pl=cf&ft=h120&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 euro is 2-3" for DC Nice... fits in well with the GFS/GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 euro is 2-3" for DC I know it's moving off the coast, but I would have figured more qpf with this surface and the 7H RH map I posted http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1280x1024&mo=ecmwf≤=sfc&va=slp&in=2&pl=cf&ft=h120&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Hmmm... 998 off the coast directly east of the VA/NC border coast Wed 12z by like 100-150 miles or so... 850s -6 to -10 across the area... Zwyts and Bob... that looks good from what I can see, what do you see re QPF? I'd guess QPF is 0.3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 euro doing what it does best. Nice graceful shift. Don't think we're done yet either... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 euro doing what it does best. Nice graceful shift. Don't think we're done yet either... me either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 I know it's moving off the coast, but I would have figured more qpf with this surface and the 7H RH map I posted http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1280x1024&mo=ecmwf≤=sfc&va=slp&in=2&pl=cf&ft=h120&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest it looks really good...even with its current track I could see it trending wetter It's probably more like 3-4" for Baltimore-Westminster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 I appear to be stuck at 126. Storm precip though 126 is .27 dca and .30 balt city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 I appear to be stuck at 126. Storm precip though 126 is .27 dca and .30 balt city thanks...no precip after 126 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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