Nor Easter Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 you dont want to be bullseye and now we have somewhere to go instead of being perfectly modeled 8 days out Wow what a monster H (1053) pressing in with a strong LP off the SE coast (996). If that can amplify quicker the SE and Mid Atl get crushed. Also if the incoming trough over the West Coast continues to come in more impressive that will pump up that ridge even more and allow the s/w to really amplify BUT at the same time may not allow this to run the entire EC. Very impressive signal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 Euro looks March 1980ish. I know that was an analog showing up a few days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 Euro has consistently overdone big hp's dropping into the plains at long leads all season. This is a good run. The storm is still there and it isn't cutting or miller b'ing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 Lol at how different the runs are...It's like 100 years away still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 It's like 100 years away still they should rebuild the european model from scratch after this afternoons fiasco Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 It's like 100 years away still I was waiting for a run like this. I'm sure it'll come back soon. And then go back SE... BTW I like your "storm after the storm" logic. You're probably right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siberian-Snowcover-Myth Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 The PV is overdone IMO. If it is, the storm will trend northward. I guess we wait and see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 This will be like the feb 8-10 event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 for the 20 euro analogs (6-10/11-15), about half had snowstorms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 This will be like the feb 8-10 event I like the April 11-15 period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nor Easter Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 This will be like the feb 8-10 event I can see some wild solutions in the coming days with the western ridge coming in so pumped up causing the s/w out infront to really amplify at the same time having the wall of confluence to the north not allowing a northward push. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 NAO improved this run despite the useless details of storm at this range. Let's see how EPS go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 I like the April 11-15 period When the sun angle scorches the flakes as fast as they fall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 When the sun angle scorches the flakes as fast as they fall That's been proven false OVER and over. (as long as it's REALLY cold and snowing hard) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 Hopefully when we finish an unimpressive -0.8 for the winter, people remember days like today and don't prattle on how this was the coldest winter they ever remember in the last 20 years..it will probably finish 7th coldest since 2000,...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 Hopefully when we finish an unimpressive -0.8 for the winter, people remember days like today and don't prattle on how this was the coldest winter they ever remember in the last 20 years..it will probably finish 7th coldest since 2000,...lol This will be the coldest since 93/94. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 This will be the coldest since 93/94. Sent from my iPhone not here...and not even remotely close...good chance it is the 4th coldest in the last 7 winters....not sure about Lancaster PA... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 not here...and not even remotely close...good chance it is the 4th coldest in the last 7 winters....not sure about Lancaster PA... On the means it's not going to be cold but we definitely had some memorable stretches of very cold air. Bay and river ice is a testament to that. I skated on 5" thick ice on ponds this winter. Haven't seen it that thick in 10+ years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 20, 2014 Author Share Posted February 20, 2014 not here...and not even remotely close...good chance it is the 4th coldest in the last 7 winters....not sure about Lancaster PA... Winchester is running at -2.3 to -2.5 for the November through today period. I don't know how it ranks, but its pretty impressive, and is even more so when you consider just how far above normal we were during the december warm up. December was around a +2.8, and that was driven completely by about 4 days worth of temps. It's been a cold and snowy winter in most places. DC is just DC. Hard to compare it to anything else, or even another time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 not here...and not even remotely close...good chance it is the 4th coldest in the last 7 winters....not sure about Lancaster PA... 09-10 had consistent cold, this one was had a more impressive bottom. Even with Dec being a +3 here, people complained it was colder than normal. And, to me it felt that way too. On the means it's not going to be cold but we definitely had some memorable stretches of very cold air. Bay and river ice is a testament to that. I skated on 5" thick ice on ponds this winter. Haven't seen it that thick in 10+ years. Exactly. Longer lasting cold-- December had a few really warm days that messed the means up, especially 2-3 days with LOWS in the 50's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 not here...and not even remotely close...good chance it is the 4th coldest in the last 7 winters....not sure about Lancaster PA... For Millersville: Dec...+0.42 Jan...-7.65 Feb...-6.43 (through yesterday) Pretty cold for two consecutive months. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 20, 2014 Author Share Posted February 20, 2014 It's also interesting that today would be considered a "warm" day when it probably is barely a +10 in most places. Another testament to the cold. 55 feels like a heat wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 if you go back to NOV, you have to admit the cold has been impressive, especially for DC DCA was: NOV: -3.0 DEC: +2.6 JAN: -3.8 FEB thru 2/19: -1.7 DEC is the odd month out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 Every day has been a blowtorch and warmer than Forecasted when we didn't have arctic air in place Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 if you go back to NOV, you have to admit the cold has been impressive, especially for DC DCA was: NOV: -3.0 DEC: +2.6 JAN: -3.8 FEB thru 2/19: -1.7 DEC is the odd month out If winter ended today with no more snow or cold I'd consider this winter good. Super cold January with 2 decent events. Cold February with 1 good/awesome event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 On the means it's not going to be cold but we definitely had some memorable stretches of very cold air. Bay and river ice is a testament to that. I skated on 5" thick ice on ponds this winter. Haven't seen it that thick in 10+ years. yeah...we had one impressive and long lasting cold shot....last 10 days of January Winchester is running at -2.3 to -2.5 for the November through today period. I don't know how it ranks, but its pretty impressive, and is even more so when you consider just how far above normal we were during the december warm up. December was around a +2.8, and that was driven completely by about 4 days worth of temps. It's been a cold and snowy winter in most places. DC is just DC. Hard to compare it to anything else, or even another time. November is a fall month 09-10 had consistent cold, this one was had a more impressive bottom. Even with Dec being a +3 here, people complained it was colder than normal. And, to me it felt that way too. Exactly. Longer lasting cold-- December had a few really warm days that messed the means up, especially 2-3 days with LOWS in the 50's. December had 16 above normal days and 15 below normal days here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 For Millersville: Dec...+0.42 Jan...-7.65 Feb...-6.43 (through yesterday) Pretty cold for two consecutive months. Sent from my iPhone I dont doubt that it was cold in PA and Maine and Upstate New York and Michigan and other places that arent around here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 if you go back to NOV, you have to admit the cold has been impressive, especially for DC DCA was: NOV: -3.0 DEC: +2.6 JAN: -3.8 FEB thru 2/19: -1.7 DEC is the odd month out February will probably be normal by the end of the weekend and then finish a little below... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 Every day has been a blowtorch and warmer than Forecasted when we didn't have arctic air in place people have recalibrated to think that 61/37 is normal....and then when it is 47 and windy in the evening they complain how cold it is and how they cant wait for winter to end since this has been the worst winter since the 1960s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 I can't wait to tell my grandkids about the winter of 2013-14 when I got 19" of snow and it was -0.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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