Deck Pic Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 No. It's forced underneath with the nasty confluence. It's pretty beautiful. Fantasy totals in a minute too bad it cuts off...It is about to switch back to snow and shellack us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 3-5" snow to ZR...complete moisture BOMB miserable trough on the west coast ain't helping us any Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 lol...1.2" of liquid and not done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Winter isn't going anywhere either based on that 240hr map...fun times ahead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 3-5" snow to ZR...complete moisture BOMB Given the lead this is a pretty awesome look. There's a brick wall above us. Could easily be all snow but verbatim there is no way it's cutting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 lol...1.2" of liquid and not doneIt would be a complete destruction. definitely back to snow at hr 246. lol1040+ hp anchored to the north. It would be quite sandwich of snow and ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 It would be a complete destruction. definitely back to snow at hr 246. lol love the 1040mb high the size of Russia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 miserable trough on the west coast ain't helping us any it's fine...it is causing the streams to split... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 love the 1040mb high the size of Russia GEFS had some monster solutions for the same period. Monday is a writeoff at this point. Midweek is a maybe and would prob be light either way. Next weekend is starting to look the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 might be better than the last hecs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 It would be a complete destruction. definitely back to snow at hr 246. lol 1040+ hp anchored to the north. It would be quite sandwich of snow and ice. the trough is trying to go negative...QPF would be biblical if we had hour 246 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 might be better than the last hecs ecmwf_snow_24_washdc_41.png lol...even SV maps have 12-16" at 10:1 though we clearly mix and flip....but whatever..it's fun porn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 might be better than the last hecstoo bad wxbell doesn't use 850's in it's snow calc. It would be about 5" for most of us then crippling ice. Then an extrapolated blizzard hrs 246-252 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 too bad wxbell doesn't use 850's in it's snow calc. It would be about 5" for most of us then crippling ice. Then an extrapolated blizzard hrs 246-252 they do as long as the prior panel is -0.1 at 850, the maps assume the next 6 hours are ripping snow..lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 This is one of the sickest fantasy panels of the season. I would pay $20 to see 246. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 too bad wxbell doesn't use 850's in it's snow calc. It would be about 5" for most of us then crippling ice. Then an extrapolated blizzard hrs 246-252 repeat sort of pattern we've seen all winter.....a 39.55N winter but at least we haven't been left with nothing like so many previous 40N winters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 PD2 is the 2nd analog for the 11-15 day period for the OP euro run from last night this makes sense now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 This is one of the sickest fantasy panels of the season. I would pay $20 to see 246. eurostorm.JPG 988 off ACY? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 This is one of the sickest fantasy panels of the season. I would pay $20 to see 246. eurostorm.JPG Accuwx will have the control run, which extends to 360 hrs though not identical to operational, it would be close both operational and control run has the storm on last night's run, but the operational ended before it hit us....control had it cut, but was no where near the size of today's version Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 repeat sort of pattern we've seen all winter.....a 39.55N winter but at least we haven't been left with nothing like so many previous 40N winters idk if I agree there. The se got hit solid. We got a pretty flush hit last week. Yes, north has done well but without a block ala 09/10 style we'll never be the only big winners. It's been a great year. If that moisture bomb in Jan wasn't rain we would be on fire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 988 off ACY? Something like that....we would definitely get destroyed with the comma... Sure looks like a decent signal for a big storm late next week. Analogs, ops, and ensembles are starting to all point to it. I wish I had a fast forward button.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 idk if I agree there. The se got hit solid. We got a pretty flush hit last week. Yes, north has done well but without a block ala 09/10 style we'll never be the only big winners. It's been a great year. If that moisture bomb in Jan wasn't rain we would be on fire. well, I was referring to how just to my north has done sooo much better, as in an additional 15+ inches on the north side of the Baltimore Beltway (and not event that far for those to the NW of me) I ain't complaining though.....well, not like usual at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 .....and, it's a weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 .....and, it's a weekend I'm already worried about mixing and the BL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 well, I was referring to how just to my north has done sooo much better, as in an additional 15+ inches on the north side of the Baltimore Beltway (and not event that far for those to the NW of me) I ain't complaining though.....well, not like usual at least I am...we've gotten screwed down here...plus I am still bitter over 12/10...I need another storm or 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Too bad it's day 10. That is just a classic ku setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 I am...we've gotten screwed down here...plus I am still bitter over 12/10...I need another storm or 2 hey, I'm right with you on more snow....and if I was where you were, he!! yeah I'd be complaining Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 hey, I'm right with you on more snow....and if I was where you were, he!! yeah I'd be complaining why? we've had a good winter. complaining doesn't make any sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Too bad it's day 10. That is just a classic ku setup. we did it once this year (more or less), why not again patterns repeat cancel all sleep the rest of the month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 sickest run Ive ever seen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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