Deck Pic Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 majorly amped with a track too far west....most of us flip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Inland runner per southern forum? Don't know if it is up this way..sounds warm though and wrapped up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 majorly amped with a track too far west....most of us flip I can you give us a QPF and snowfall map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Turn away after 108... don't even look at it farther... you know what happens after Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 New England Blizzard. I'm shocked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Low tracks up inland . Rain storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Let's split it down the middle GFS/Euro compromise and say we get a major snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 All the other models are too east though...maybe a nice compromise at the end ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 New England Blizzard. I'm shocked. it's not....it's a binghamton blizzard....for what its worth we do start as some snow before we get deluged Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Blend the guidance and we're ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 it's not....it's a binghamton blizzard....for what its worth we do start as some snow before we get deluged For some reason, I'm not all that discouraged by this run. It's probably too amped. But I don't doubt that we will flip regardless of the track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 it's not....it's a binghamton blizzard....for what its worth we do start as some snow before we get deluged Now it has room to go east again but it looks like there will be some kind of storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 All the other models are too east though...maybe a nice compromise at the end ? it's not that bad for you...you probably get thumped 4-5" before you flip...then another 0.5" rain..lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Now it has room to go east again but it looks like there will be some kind of storm That's what I take away from it. It's now "believable". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Now it has room to go east again but it looks like there will be some kind of storm as far as i am concerned it doubled down and dug in its heels....a 992mb low over the bay bridge is a big FU to the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 it's not that bad for you...you probably get thumped 4-5" before you flip...then another 0.5" rain..lol When is the last time Any of us got 4-5 inches and then it turned to heavy rain in same storm . March 1994 ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 as far as i am concerned it doubled down and dug in its heels....a 992mb low over the bay bridge is a big FU to the GFS It does give some credence to tonight's UKIE as well... UKIE at 96 had almost same placement and strength of SLP as the EURO... but the UKIE is a tad further east WRT SLP at 120 than the EURO is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 When is the last time Any of us got 4-5 inches and then it turned to heavy rain in same storm . March 1994 ? jan 2008 sort of Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Euro is probably too west but encouraging that it has a big storm. Maybe weaker storm is more east? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Not sure what Carolina's are happy about. Low rates with 33 and snow. Not going to stick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Euro is probably too west but encouraging that it has a big storm. Maybe weaker storm is more east? it has like 1.5" east of Pittsburgh....lol....we cant ever win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 it has like 1.5" east of Pittsburgh....lol....we cant ever win Ok next ...anything for this weekend ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Ok next ...anything for this weekend ? yes....one of those 0.02" snow events with a low over Lake Ontario Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Hagerstown gets pummeled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Move it 50-100 east and we got something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Hagerstown gets pummeled They do well before the flip.....I think all options are on the table...now that it looks like a late wednesday event, I don't think we might really have a clue before Monday night or so, and then assuming rain/snow issues we will be parsing the details until game time... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Is this still a time to pay more attention to the ensembles than the ops or should focus start shifting more toward the op runs? I think it is still useful to look at the ensembles...especially the individual members for at least 1 more day...by Monday, hopefully the operational runs will start to coaslesce Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Move it 50-100 east and we got something Move it 50-100 east and we got something you would get like 12-18" if it was 75 miles east or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 I am going to guess Maue doesn't buy the inland Euro track with his tweets and instead wants to see what the EPS members do Ryan Maue @RyanMaue 25m Don't look at ECMWF 5-day forecast. Repeat, do not look at that storm. Ryan Maue @RyanMaue 17m 00z coastal low from ECMWF is 15 mb deeper compared to 12z yet tracks completely over land +5 days (Thursday) ... will see ensembles in morn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 you would get like 12-18" if it was 75 miles east or so It will be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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