BrianP Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Lightning!!!! One big flash... Faint thunder. Pretty awesome to be outside and see it!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reb Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Lightning!!!! One big flash... Faint thunder. Pretty awesome to be outside and see it!! WHERE?!@!!@?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwagner88 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I saw a flash about 10 minutes ago. Wasn't sure if it was lightning or a transformer popping. I did not hear anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tennessee Gal Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 5 inches and counting imby. Just slightly NE of Crossville. Still coming down pretty good! NWS still says 1 to 3 for my neck of the woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seabeejason Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 This is the latest from MRX. 000FXUS64 KMRX 130221AFDMRXAREA FORECAST DISCUSSIONNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN920 PM EST WED FEB 12 2014.DISCUSSION...CURRENT SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVERTHE FL PANHANDLE...WITH AN INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING NORTHOF IT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. AREA RADARS REVEAL THAT SNOWHAS INCREASED IN INTENSITY AND AREAL COVERAGE OVER THE FORECAST AREATHIS EVENING...AS DIVERGENCE ALOFT INCREASES WITH A DEFORMATION ZONEOVER THE FORECAST AREA. IN ADDITION...SNOW HAS INCREASED FURTHERUPSTREAM OVER MIDDLE TN AND NORTHERN AL...WHERE SATELLITE IMAGERYREVEALS COLDER CLOUD TOPS IN THE BASE OF THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVERTHE TN RIVER VALLEY. THIS UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLYDRIFT EASTWARD OVER THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT...WITH MODERATE TOHEAVY SNOW CONTINUING FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS OVERNIGHT.AS A RESULT...WILL KEEP THE SNOWFALL FORECAST UNCHANGED THISEVENING...AND WILL CONTINUE THE WINTER STORM WARNINGS/ADVISORIESWITHOUT ANY CHANGES. HOWEVER...WILL PLAN TO UPDATE THE ZONEFORECASTS THIS EVENING TO LOWER TEMPS A LITTLE...ESPECIALLY OVER THENORTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA WHERE DRIER AIR HAS CREATED MOREEVAPORATIVE COOLING THIS EVENING.&& Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chattownsnow Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 we are getting clobbered in Chattanooga (Soddy Daisy more specifically). Since about 4-5pm have seen about 2 small lulls in the snow that lasted maybe 10 minutes. Other than that, moderate to heavy snow at times since then. a little over 5 inches now here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzbyrd Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 4 inches on the ground in Greene County, TN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Wow is all I've got to say: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianP Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 WHERE?!@!!@?! Cleveland... 1 other report too... So I know I wasn't crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valkhorn Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Looks like Townsend and Cades Cove will be eclipsing a foot out of this if this continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 4.5" at my location near the south fork of the Holston, south of Bristol in Sullivan Co. Moderate snow right now. I'm thinking the best snowfall rates here will be after midnight. Perhaps the heaviest around 1-3 am. The abundant moisture feed will still be in place and the northern side of the 500 mb upper low will be closing in over the ridge and valley by then. I must say, we're really lucking out here. The temperature at my location is 22º and as such is producing a snow that isn't the heavy wet variety. The tree limbs and lines may be spared and counter widespread outages. On the other hand, we may end up with higher totals than forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianP Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Right now the flakes are enormous and it's being poured out of a dump truck. Never seen snow this heavy and large. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seabeejason Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I just pulled this post by a met from the Southeast Mountain thread. This is coming our way. All I got to say is WOW!!! I have NEVER witnessed 6" per hour snow fall rates. I've been through 3"-4" rates when we got caught in a blizzard in Missouri in late December 2012. I thought THAT was impressive. But this? Just wow. Edit: It seems to have lost that strength it had over in Alabama. Hopefully we see some redevelopment of those super heavy deformation bands. HurricaneTracker, on 12 Feb 2014 - 9:37 PM, said: Winner winner!Radar loops and models all show the upper low moving due east over the southern Apps. This was well forecast! Low has closed off and you can see why it's so important to have that in winter storms for heavy snows.Robert is excellent. Birmingham had 6" PER HOUR this evening and it's moving east.We should have a lull between midnight and 4am, and then boom! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vol Man Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Is there any concern about the huge dry hole coming NE out of Georgia right now? Will it fill in as the overall system moves? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seabeejason Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Is there any concern about the huge dry hole coming NE out of Georgia right now? Will it fill in as the overall system moves? It concerns me a tiny bit. My concerns are being quelled by that big area of snow coming out of Alabama. Looks like it is moving directly toward East Tennessee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Is there any concern about the huge dry hole coming NE out of Georgia right now? Will it fill in as the overall system moves? No guarantees there won't be a lull, but all indications are as the upper low continues to amp up, we're in for a blasting. EDIT: latest from Robert WXSOUTH @WxSouth 1m Looking at latest trends. East TN, west NC, north GA and southwest VA will be in for a good clocking tonight and tomorrow AM. #thundersnow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On WBIR's futurecast radar, it looks like it quits at ~1 a.m. maybe & then starts back until 7ish. I can't tell how hard it's snowing though. The color looks similar to now. See if anyone else has faster eyes than I do. When I pause, it goes back to start which is no help. http://www.wbir.com/story/weather/2013/09/12/interactive-radar/2807273/ edit: It stops sometime between 1 & 3, but I can't tell when for sure. It all depends on how the bands set up and if you get under one or not. No model will get that exactly right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On WBIR's futurecast radar, it looks like it quits at ~1 a.m. maybe & then starts back until 7ish. I can't tell how hard it's snowing though. The color looks similar to now. See if anyone else has faster eyes than I do. When I pause, it goes back to start which is no help. http://www.wbir.com/story/weather/2013/09/12/interactive-radar/2807273/ edit: It stops sometime between 1 & 3, but I can't tell when for sure. Prediction radar disseminated for public use has its limitations. As I understand, it essentially is a user-friendly display of the in-house model output. It's a useful tool for garnering a general feel, but does not capture dynamic events such as this very well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tabbycat Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Thanks guys. I was just wanting a general direction regarding the Alabama snow. I think it's coming this way, but I've been reading the SE Forum and trying to guess from them what will happen here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 11 pm update. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Thanks guys. I was just wanting a general direction regarding the Alabama snow. I think it's coming this way, but I've been reading the SE Forum and trying to guess from them what will happen here. MRX said that will keep snow here until mid-morning tomorrow. Maybe not at the terrific rates we've saw though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jed33 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Yep john I just got to 7 here myself at the house! Amazing it's been a long time since I've seen this much snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Is there any concern about the huge dry hole coming NE out of Georgia right now? Will it fill in as the overall system moves? That dry slot will mostly miss East TN to the east over Western NC has the moisture axis stays put over us. We have probably seen the heaviest of the snow of the event in most places as everything gradually weakens. But this is still a long duration event so it will pile up. RAP does show everything winding down by 3-5 a.m. but it is tracking the 500mb low right up against the mountains and has precip breaking out again after the sun rises. This is quite an interesting storm to track and to look back on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vol Man Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Latest from the man: WXSOUTH @WxSouth 6m Writing is clearly on the wall. Models were too fast on upper low. Will pound East TN, SW VA, west NC all night long . Huge snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 David Aldrich said 3-5 more from now til noon tomorrow from the Plateau East towards 1-81, 7-9 more from 1-81 east. He said heavy rates for at least 3 more hours, then steady snow through morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 That dry slot will mostly miss East TN to the east over Western NC has the moisture axis stays put over us. We have probably seen the heaviest of the snow of the event in most places as everything gradually weakens. But this is still a long duration event so it will pile up. RAP does show everything winding down by 3-5 a.m. but it is tracking the 500mb low right up against the mountains and has precip breaking out again after the sun rises. This is quite an interesting storm to track and to look back on. That 500mb low track is I believe why MRX said thundersnow was possible in the southern mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 What am I missing here? Looks like KTRI will dry slot for a while as this precip dries up, and then we wait for redevelopment tomorrow morning. Thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vol Man Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 And one more: WXSOUTH @WxSouth · 7m precip in west NC should redevelop overnight . #tnwx eastern is in for slamming all night. Quite a bit more to come. some 18" totals likely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greyhound Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Clinton.....about 15 minutes ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vol Man Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Nut, that's what I was wondering also when I noticed that on radar a while ago...that upper low in NE Al is showing quite a rotation now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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