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2/9 - 2/10 light snow observations


Zelocita Weather

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All I did was eyeball it via my source. Thanks for calling me out, as if I'm the only one here that ever makes a mistake.

Dude you were off by .06+ lol..who cares.

Anyway a C-2" with isolated 3" looks like a good call for this event...The isolated 3" maybe not happen. Started to lean towards an 1"

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This was always a 1"-2" event.

Nothing has changed.

Not sure what people were expecting.

Yeah, this was and always was a very light event. A few runs showed about 2 inches, MAYBE 3....but for the most part, the majority of model runs showed 1/2" to 1" of snow. Being that I was expecting 1/2", up to 1" for the last couple days, if we get that...I'm happy !

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This was always a 1"-2" event.

Nothing has changed.

Not sure what people were expecting.

People were probably hoping for 2-4"...except Mike hobbyist thinking a general 12-18" is 80% likely. I don't think anyone else was thinking big. I was hoping just to freshening up my snow pack a little
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People were probably hoping for 2-4"...except Mike hobbyist thinking a general 12-18" is 80% likely. I don't think anyone else was thinking big. I was hoping just to freshening up my snow pack a little

I think there were several people who were. A few who kept insisting that since the intensity of other storms this season weren't really picked up until we were within 24-48 hours, this would do the same. Neither here nor there at this point, but ...

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The system that should bring us snow early this evening and a portion of tonight dropped a general 1"-3" across the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley areas yesterday.

 

The models are in good agreement with the system in terms of its impact here. Light snow should move into the NYC Metro Area between 5 pm and 8 pm and continue for 6-9 hours. In some places, the snow will likely fall intermittently. Nevertheless, by the time the system departs a general 0.5" to 1.5" with a few somewhat higher amounts should have fallen across the area. The light accumulation will add to this winter's above normal figures, which are as follows to date:

 

Bridgeport: 38.5"

Islip:  42.4"

New York City: 40.3"

Newark: 42.5"

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The system that should bring us snow early this evening and a portion of tonight dropped a general 1"-3" across the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley areas yesterday.

The models are in good agreement with the system in terms of its impact here. Light snow should move into the NYC Metro Area between 5 pm and 8 pm and continue for 6-9 hours. In some places, the snow will likely fall intermittently. Nevertheless, by the time the system departs a general 0.5" to 1.5" with a few somewhat higher amounts should have fallen across the area. The light accumulation will add to this winter's above normal figures, which are as follows to date:

Bridgeport: 38.5"

Islip: 42.4"

New York City: 40.3"

Newark: 42.5"

This minor event should put a nice coating on the snow we have before our next storm system arrives late Wednesday night.

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I enjoy one system at a time...You can't appreciate it if the next storm looks like rain or ots...

I actually feel good about this giving us a couple of inches for a nice snowpack (more like ice pack) refresher. The one next week could easily be rain or very little, but these minor events are always nice to see and just add on to an already well above normal snowfall winter. 

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Yes, ratios have been very high with this one....prob will b 15 - 20 to 1. If we can can get just .1" qpf the 1-2" will occur

 

 

i think high ratios are overrated. the "extra depth" disappears quickly from settling and sublimation.

 

they are also less visually impressive as the snow falls, as compared to higher water content snows, imo.

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i think high ratios are overrated. the "extra depth" disappears quickly from settling and sublimation.

 

they are also less visually impressive as the snow falls, as compared to higher water content snows, imo.

 

Can you clarify your first sentence?  It's a contradiction.

 

I'll take a high ratio this storm, even if it is only 1-3" storm.  I'm tired of picking up branches. 

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Agree with this. High ratio snows pad ones snowfall total but when all is said and done the wetter snows provide for a more beautiful landscape and stays around longer.

i think high ratios are overrated. the "extra depth" disappears quickly from settling and sublimation.

they are also less visually impressive as the snow falls, as compared to higher water content snows, imo.

Sent from my SCH-I535 using Tapatalk

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Can you clarify your first sentence?  It's a contradiction.

 

I'll take a high ratio this storm, even if it is only 1-3" storm.  I'm tired of picking up branches. 

 

i'll rephrase it:  everyone loves higher ratio events.  but i think it's an empty thrill.   if 5" of dry snow turns to 2.5" inches within 12 hours from settling, sublimation, etc, what good was the high ratio?  --that's my argument.  in addition to that, when moderate+ wet snow is falling, it's visually more impressive than when moderate+ dry snow is falling (imo).  in other words, the feb 3rd storm was visually more impressive than the jan 21 storm, even though they produced the same snow depth imby.  i fully realize this is all subjective... but for me, it's definitive.

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Can you clarify your first sentence?  It's a contradiction.

 

I'll take a high ratio this storm, even if it is only 1-3" storm.  I'm tired of picking up branches. 

 

No contradiction there.  I agree with what he said.  High ratio snowfall is a way of saying its nearly all air.  The depth is an illusion that quickly disappears.  That's why us coastal types jokingly call LES "fake snow".

 

That said, I'll take whatever grade of snow falls.

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i'll rephrase it: everyone loves higher ratio events. but i think it's an empty thrill. if 5" of dry snow turns to 2.5" inches within 12 hours from settling, sublimation, etc, what good was the high ratio? --that's my argument. in addition to that, when moderate+ wet snow is falling, it's visually more impressive than when moderate+ dry snow is falling (imo). in other words, the feb 3rd storm was visually more impressive than the jan 21 storm, even though they produced the same snow depth imby. i fully realize this is all subjective... but for me, it's definitive.

Yep its been 6+ days and I've lost very little of my snowpack from last Monday. Even trees rooftops and non shoveled pavement is still snow covered

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No contradiction there.  I agree with what he said.  High ratio snowfall is a way of saying its nearly all air.  The depth is an illusion that quickly disappears.  That's why us coastal types jokingly call LES "fake snow".

 

That said, I'll take whatever grade of snow falls.

 

yes. thanks.

when i walked thru the 9" of freshly fallen wet snow on feb 3rd, it felt much more substantial and meaningful than the 9" of fluff on january 21.   and of course once you get a solid freeze, the wet snow is preserved.  there's a lot to be said for a basic 10 to 1 ratio snowfall.

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