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2/9 - 2/10 light snow observations


Zelocita Weather

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Wow the models are having a very tough time at handling these three short waves. It I trying to decide which one will be the stronger one. It seems like the 12Z run was way different from the 18Z run and now the 00Z run is looking different too. A forecast looked easy just a few flurries , then a 1"-4" storm Sunday night, now a possible snow event sometime Monday. I do not trust these runs very much. It would like to see more consistency with the upcoming runs.

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It's not Gona b easy for any model to lock onto one SW and stick with it just think there's too much movement in the flow . If the spacing is bad then non will deepen .

I think if it's Gona happen it has the models will sneak up on u . I would just look for the SW with the best height rises on the west coast and see which one has the best ridge axis

Good luck putting together a 3 day forecast.

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Guys, this is the same wave that the Euro is focused on.  It is correct and most likely will trend further north and stronger.  Haven't we seen this before?

I agree I like the 3rd wave. Just think it comes back when we get closer

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Holding onto faint snow hopes and always emphasizing the snowiest potential, even if you try to use meteorological terms, is wishcasting.  If it was once in awhile, I don't think anyone would care, but almost 1400 posts in 60 days is almost 25 posts per day and between you and some of the other wishcasters, it simply clutters these threads up.  Maybe read a little more and post a little less - that's my approach, since I much prefer to read what the experts have to say (and I'm certain I know more about meteorological fundamentals than most; see the last paragraph of my profile if interested in why I say that). Just some friendly advice. 

 

 

I'd rather have a wishcaster than a troll.

Wasn't trying to troll - was trying to provide honest, constructive feedback to a poster who's only been here a few months. Love his enthusiasm, but I just think he needs to dial it down and observe more/post less. 

 

agree 100 %

thanks...

 

Point taken and im not offended btw i just try and participate no matter what. Its what we're all here to do. Am i good at forecasting? No but i do try and post some stuff that is constructive and it is.

What I don't understand is, if you acknowledge you're not good at forecasting, then why not leave the forecasting to those who are?  Learn from them, improve your own understanding and then start to add in your forecasting thoughts.  Again, just my two cents.  I'm not going to tell you what you can/can't do.   

 

Happy to see a fellow Ru grad who can write such an erudite bio ( yes I was insane enough to read it all Dr. ) who enjoys RU Footbll & the melody. Rock on & Snow on!

Wow, you read that - not sure whether to offer you congratulations or condolences, lol.  Thanks, though - are you an RU grad and old Melody-ite also?

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