Cold Rain Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Could it really be?!? *wipes eyes to make sure I'm seeing right* 1-3" near Rocky Mount NC Wow. Thats resembling the RAP a good bit. You have a link for the 500mb? PGV ftw....AGAIN?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 We will no doubt see precip! Radar is way overproducing!! Any knowledgable people tell me what 850s look like around here? I know it can snow with ground temps In low 40s. Thanks, on mobile temp 44/22. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted February 6, 2014 Author Share Posted February 6, 2014 Trust me when I say this, look at the 1km simulated radar over composite. That will give you a much better idea of what will reach the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted February 6, 2014 Author Share Posted February 6, 2014 Ironically what is coming through my area tonight is better than the last two winters ever saw... I would be drooling over this in 2012 or 2013. After snowjam it just lost a little bit of shininess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Anybody very familiar with the RUC? The projected reflectivity loop of the 20Z run just goes bonkers!! http://ruc.noaa.gov/RUC/jsloopLocalDiskDateDomainZip.cgi?dsKeys=ruc_jet:&runTime=2014020620&plotName=cref_t6sfc&fcstInc=60&numFcsts=25&model=ruc&ptitle=RUC%20Model%20Fields&maxFcstLen=24&fcstStrLen=-1&resizePlot=1&domain=t6 Looks good for the I-85 corridor... even brings some yellows through with 0.1-0.25" QPF. I'll hug it, haha.It is down to 40 here. I really dont expect anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Anything you want on the RUC is right here:http://ruc.noaa.gov/RUC/Welcome.cgi RAP: http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/RAP/ HRRR: http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/ Change the domains to SE for a close-up view. Thanks. Does what the rap, hires nam, hrrr does. It strengthens the 500mb vorticity. PGV ftw....AGAIN?? IKR... and Sky.... your 850s look ok. What is below that might the problem. At 925mb there is a strong warm bubble tucked against the lee side of the apps. Temps looks 35-37 range at 925 around simpsonville. But if precip can develop overtop of you evap cooling should take place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Thanks. Does what the rap, hires nam, hrrr does. It strengthens the 500mb vorticity. IKR... and Sky.... your 850s look ok. What is below that might the problem. At 925mb there is a strong warm bubble tucked against the lee side of the apps. Temps looks 35-37 range at 925 around simpsonville. But if precip can develop overtop of you evap cooling should take place. Yeah....I'm not expecting much, so anything is a win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
max100 Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 It has dropped 7 degrees in an hour here at my house in NE ATL. Very windy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 I think the radar is very deceiving. Quite a bit of that isn't reaching the ground. Like if I look at the BMX radar it doesn't show anything just west of the city. But the FFC radar shows moderate returns there. That is a classic signal of precip not getting to the surface. Edit: RAP confirms the system looks juicy on the composite simulated reflectivity but not much shows up on the 1km Yeah quite a lot of it is not reaching the ground. When the strongest of returns went over rome, it doesn't look like it made it to the ground. It's a shame because temps/dewpoints/wetbulbs are quite low over most of the area, especially north and west of i-85. With temps around 35 to 37 and dewpoints in the 22 to 24 range...both of which is a bit lower than models were showing. So I think if anything does reach the ground there is a decent shot of seeing something frozen for a little bit. Not sure if there will be enough to the north as reflectivity is really low but further to the south it's not so bad. Will be interesting to see if that primary band from eastern alabama toward atlanta ends up reaching the ground eventually. I think there is decent enough rates to probably do so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted February 6, 2014 Author Share Posted February 6, 2014 Looks like a high chance of shaft is headed my way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Thanks. Does what the rap, hires nam, hrrr does. It strengthens the 500mb vorticity. IKR... and Sky.... your 850s look ok. What is below that might the problem. At 925mb there is a strong warm bubble tucked against the lee side of the apps. Temps looks 35-37 range at 925 around simpsonville. But if precip can develop overtop of you evap cooling should take place. Thanks! I gonna keep one eye outside and the other on next weeks threat. It looks like alot of precip on radar.! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted February 6, 2014 Author Share Posted February 6, 2014 Yep, shaft. That thin line developed like 3 miles from me. I wonder if douglasville or Smyrna are getting some flakes now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 34/27, expecting 0, will probably end up with a dusting given PGV climo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 There is snow reaching the ground with that main band southwest/west of atlanta per ken cook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GAdawg Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 I am currently at 38 so far nothing getting to the ground here rain or other. Looks as if there may be less moisture now than earlier per radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Extremely heavy snow in Carrollton. Heaviest snow I've ever seen in my life Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GAdawg Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Wow, hope we get some of that but if the temps do not shift down more soon.... well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wild Weather Monger Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Extremely heavy snow in Carrollton. Heaviest snow I've ever seen in my life Really? That's what I've been waiting to read here this evening. Based on radar, I'm sitting in a pretty good spot then it would seem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GAdawg Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Really? That's what I've been waiting to read here this evening. Based on radar, I'm sitting in a pretty good spot then it would seem. I'm with you it would be nice we see so little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Grass completely covered in snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Why is there not an advisory ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GAdawg Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 It was not to be an issue as it was suppose to melt. I take it that is just the opposite of what you have. What is your temp? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Why is there not an advisory ? Because you are getting more snow than anyone else, and that is only going to add up to a dusting. I think think the NWS requires at least an inch of snow to warrant a WWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
timnc910 Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 39f with a 25f dewpoint dropped 4 degrees the last hour here in se nc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 there have been decent echos overhead for a while now imby, but so far nary a flake to be seen lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Squat in dahlonega despite 30dbz returns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
timnc910 Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Just in from mhx 706 PM EST THU FEB 6 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE, TONIGHT. EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA WILL BE ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF AN AREA OF MOISTURE STREAKING NORTHEAST ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES THIS EVENING. THIS MOISTURE WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION LATE THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND WILL FALL IN THE FORM OF RAIN, MIXED AT TIMES WITH LIGHT SNOW. SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST REMAIN JUST ABOVE FREEZING WHEN THE PRECIPITATION FALLS, SO NO ACCUMULATIONS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 If you look at the SE radar. The northern(ATL ne) band has faded some but I think its re organizing. Appears to be trying to form one long band from AL to Roanoke. Also there was a snow hole over ATL and its filling in... So downtown should be getting in on the action ne towards gainsville and athens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted February 7, 2014 Author Share Posted February 7, 2014 Just a short flizzard here... It's over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 I was at a soccer game all evening. Very cold lol and we had about a 2 minute bout of light flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.