colonel717 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 UKMET is west also. Looks like its US vs the world. One time I am rooting for the world.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Come west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I can't seem to realize a storm that has mixing problems in Philly. Will not give pittsburgh anything. It seems the precip shield is always smaller on models than it is in now casting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I'm thinking we are in good position for something. Even if it's 1 inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I can't seem to realize a storm that has mixing problems in Philly. Will not give pittsburgh anything. It seems the precip shield is always smaller on models than it is in now casting The kicker over Minnesota/Wisconsin is what is shearing the precip shield on this storm. Without that there it would most likely be more expansive. At this point it seems the kicker is set, so it just deepens how deep the main low gets. I'm amazed the GFS is still so apart from every other model. If nothing else, we get a couple clippers almost back-to-back as a consolation prize. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Looking about 2-4 inches for me in the South Hills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Euro came a little west but I am still not sold. Lets see what the ENS say and the 00z models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 11, 2014 Author Share Posted February 11, 2014 Look at that gradient across Allegheny county again... Looks like a C-1 on the western side and 2-4 on the eastern side. The track is ok, just loosen that gradient and we are good for at least an advisory snow fall I would think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Yeah, not sure what was going on there lol. The gfs is probably the worst solution for us at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tsteel Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-video/video-southeast-ice-storm-snowstorm-northeast/2430839568001 Euro is being favored over GFS, but still not far west enough for western PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 That is a good. Explanation. But he says he doesnt know either. He keeps saying if this is the case. This will happen. But he really explains a lot of diffrent things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I like that guy. I like mad man Mateo. Better. I know they hype a lot. That's there job. A milkman isn't going to tell you coke is better than millk. and so on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I just couldnt stay away. Studying got boring. Anyway 18z RGEM fwiw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 So at least SWPa got in on the warnings.... too bad its for Air Quality Alert.. This whole storm does stink for us... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psunate1977 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Air Quality Alert is strange huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 If only this could verify but its probably not right. But some eye candy for everyone sitting in rush hour traffic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SirSonic Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 So it's all the World Models vs the US Models. The westward shift seems to be continuing. The precip shield will likely much larger and further west then the models are depicting. I think there's a good chance that areas along I-28 could get some heavier snows, with a sharp cutoff over the city and west. It's going to be such a tricky call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 If only this could verify but its probably not right. But some eye candy for everyone sitting in rush hour traffic. There would be mass suicides on I-95 corridor if that were to verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I really hope it does verify but it seems like the consensus is that is just a 18z off run. Who knows though maybe its on to something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 One last thing a pro met on midatlantic forum regarding the RGEM Basically, we have a maturing cyclone along the Mid Atlantic coast that will occlude somewhere off the Northeast coastline. The way this thing gets captured and the way the surface-500mb tilted structure becomes vertical will never be ironed out correctly today. Low static stability/bombogenesis with a capture can send a low quickly west for a while; the rgem solution is not crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tsteel Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 18z GFS furthest west yet. Its looking better and better for Central PA, but still sharp gradient of precip keeps most of Western PA out of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 11, 2014 Author Share Posted February 11, 2014 18z GFS furthest west yet. Its looking better and better for Central PA, but still sharp gradient of precip keeps most of Western PA out of it. That cutoff sucks.... Any other time you see a 980 low running up into Eastern PA like that 18z RGEM shows we would be golden. Its encouraging to see the models keep going West, give hope for 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 At least we still have some time to get into the action. Either that precip field can expand or it comes more west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 How reliable is the CRAS? lol. http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/cras/cras45_NA/12/index_pcp_l_loop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 How reliable is the CRAS? lol. http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/cras/cras45_NA/12/index_pcp_l_loop.html What does it show. Doesn't work on my phone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 What does it show. Doesn't work on my phone. 850 line comes up through central PA. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tsteel Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 What does it show. Doesn't work on my phone. it has the surface low basically moving right over Philadelphia.. and precip shield over all of PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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