Thunderhead Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 We are still some 42 or so hours out from significant precip beginning. Thus, there is still time for model forecasts to change. Latest 12z Euro ensembles still show significant spread for 12z Mon. I expect by tomorrow evening we should have a solid handle on what actually will occur. On another note, Verszyla just posted 8-11" for the metro area: https://twitter.com/verz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 28, 2014 Author Share Posted February 28, 2014 I don't see anything wrong with your map psu. Every option is still on the table. 6-10 is a good call at this point if you ask me. Don't let one poster discourage you, we all appreciate the effort. I agree, your map is pretty close to the PITT NWS Maximum Case map, which they said they are leaning towards in the facebook post. I think its a good map given current guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Jeff v. Wow. I don't know if I ever seen him forcast double digit accumulation predictions. I hope he bust. Low. on that 11 inches. Lol. That means 18 inches. But. His forcast looks good to me. So far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Gfs rolling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Dosnt look that good. Of hour run. I don't know what to think. Here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Gfs is not only suppressed but a lot weaker. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 I think it is time to blow up the gfs. How does it go from on the 6z to potential mixing issues to so surpressed that we get advisory level snow at best? A 200 mile shift inside 3 days out? That is absolute garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Were is ltg124. Nothing is set in stone. Psu. Map looking like money now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Were is ltg124. Nothing is set in stone. Psu. Map looking like money now. image.jpg Umm, could you please speak in correct sentences. You are impossible to read. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Dude if you can't comprehend what I write because I leave some punctuations out don't read it. Lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psunate1977 Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Umm, could you please speak in correct sentences. You are impossible to read. He is asking where is LTG after he made a mockery of the map I made. Saying after the last GFS my map looks decent. I'm new here and got to ask, why do a few members have such hostility on here? None of us are pros or getting paid this is a hobby we all enjoy and we should help each other out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 This is why Joe Denardo and Bob Kudzma always waited until 24 hours before the storm to give snow totals. This thing can come back North and we still get hammered but if we end up with 2-4...everyone will be complaining about how the mets suck and can't predict the weather. The problem is that the mets were the only ones that used to have access to the models. Now the long range models are being used to make specific forecasts by social media members. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 It's not all. Of them psu. There are a couple that think this. Is there forum. Just. Have tough skin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 He is asking where is LTG after he made a mockery of the map I made. Saying after the last GFS my map looks decent. I'm new here and got to ask, why do a few members have such hostility on here? None of us are pros or getting paid this is a hobby we all enjoy and we should help each other out. You're not new here. I've read this board for years, along with eastern and it is obvious you are the infamous pittsburgh rants.He would do the same thing as is going on right now...create multiple accounts to agree with him, and argue with himself also. And also, I'm sorry, when stink. Bug. Post sentences. Like this. It is. Very hard. To read. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Evreyone don't bash mets. There were a couple. People who hit them hard. And I haven't seen one around for a week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psunate1977 Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 You're not new here. I've read this board for years, along with eastern and it is obvious you are the infamous pittsburgh rants. Dude, I don't even know who that is. They can do a ip check on me if they want. I read here and signed up in Feb. I usually read Central Pa thread as I went to Penn State for my graduate 2 years ago, but moved to Pittsburgh NWS area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psunate1977 Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 You're not new here. I've read this board for years, along with eastern and it is obvious you are the infamous pittsburgh rants. He would do the same thing as is going on right now...create multiple accounts to agree with him, and argue with himself also. And also, I'm sorry, when stink. Bug. Post sentences. Like this. It is. Very hard. To read. Ok, where did I get mad that someone didn't agree with me?I got mad cause I took time to make and post a map, something I don't see on here and one guy three responses to it was calling me insane, said I was wish casting, etc.. Not a thanks or good job and then discuss. Last response to you BTW. I am herer to discuss and learn and help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 People should wait before they decide to jump off a bridge. Don't like putting too much stock into a 18z run that shifts like a couple hundred miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Box it out in banter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 I think tonight's models will be fully sampled, Also Weather balloons Going into storm at 7 pm ish . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 28, 2014 Author Share Posted February 28, 2014 People should wait before they decide to jump off a bridge. Don't like putting too much stock into a 18z run that shifts like a couple hundred miles. I agree with this. If we see this trend continue on 00z guidance its probably time to panic, jump ship, throw in the towel.. whatever you wanna call it. I will admit I have a sick feeling after seeing the 18z GFS, it looks similar to GGEM now. The news is all about this storm tonight, interviewing the mayor and public works directors. It would be ironic if the whole thing missed us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Obviously every model run should be considered. However, one thing we all know about southwest PA, is with our position west of the Mtns, warm air always wants to intrude. Usually this is a bad thing for us, but this time it actually could help us. Even with a stubborn PV, we still should get enough forcing from the warm jet to produce nice snowfall totals. IMHO based on our climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Obviously every model run should be considered. However, one thing we all know about southwest PA, is with our position west of the Mtns, warm air always wants to intrude. Usually this is a bad thing for us, but this time it actually could help us. Even with a stubborn PV, we still should get enough forcing from the warm jet to produce nice snowfall totals. IMHO just going on our climo. That's why I think this will still end up north. How often have we seen these things keep bumping north until we turn to rain after being forecasted all snow two days out? Of course, this will be the time it stays south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 If this thing busts I think I am gonna stop following winter storms. Glad it was a 18z run and not a 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 I really can't wait to c what models say tonight. I never been this excited for models ever, i also think this storm will be stronger and more amped than models depicting and will win the tug of war with the pv. At least ,for our area anyway . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Well one last thought before I head out. The low approaching California is at 975 which is a lot stronger than modeled so maybe thats throwing the models off. Anyway heres to the GFS going back to yesterdays solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Jma eye candy. It says no suppression Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Bernie come out with. A 7 pm video , he thinks this storm will have a lot of moisture with it and gfs is under doing the moisture . He explains about 3 things that he thinks could happen------??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psunate1977 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Take it for what's its worth, but CNN had us at 8-10" and I-95 corridor from DC to Philly getting 12-18" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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