Atownwx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Eyeballing the radar it looks the low is heading directly to lake erie. Thinking more mix than snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Eyeballing the radar it looks the low is heading directly to lake erie. Thinking more mix than snow? No. Let things play out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 I have a good feeling about this one. I think I - 70 north sees a solid 3-5 inches. Wouldn't surprise me at all to see most of AGH country with 4-5 with lollipop reports of 6 inches just north of the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 17, 2014 Author Share Posted February 17, 2014 I have a good feeling about this one. I think I - 70 north sees a solid 3-5 inches. Wouldn't surprise me at all to see most of AGH country with 4-5 with lollipop reports of 6 inches just north of the city. Cobb data for KPIT and KAGC is showing about 5.5 inches for both locations so your gut feeling may be onto something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southpark Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Why is it that all models seem to be showing western pa as staying all snow, yet the NWS has us mixing for several hours? What are they seeing that the models are not? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Why is it that all models seem to be showing western pa as staying all snow, yet the NWS has us mixing for several hours? What are they seeing that the models are not? This type of setup is conducive to mixing issues and....for whatever reason....is historically undermodeled in terms of warm air intruding That said I think we see mostly snow with this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Why is it that all models seem to be showing western pa as staying all snow, yet the NWS has us mixing for several hours? What are they seeing that the models are not? I think where you and I are at, we'll see some mixing in the beginning for the reasons Burghblizz mentioned. The warmer air seems to get to us more times than not with these setups. I don't think it will last long once the low gets closer and colder air filters in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 I won't complain when I don't get as much snow as you boys to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cwc Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Why is it that all models seem to be showing western pa as staying all snow, yet the NWS has us mixing for several hours? What are they seeing that the models are not? from KPIT's 3:44 PM discussion: PCPN TYPES WERE FCST USING CRITICAL THICKNESSES AND MDL SOUNDINGS. CONCERNED MDLS MAY BE OVERDOING THE OMEGA IN THE WARM AIR ADVCTN...WHICH WOULD RESULT IN LESS DYNAMIC COOLING AND ALLOWING FOR MORE MIXED PCPN...ESP FM PIT SWD...SO INCLUDED A LITTLE MORE OF A MIX ESP AT THE ONSET. A BRF PD OF MXG IS ALSO PSBL AS THE FIRST ROUND OF PCPN MOVES THRU THE RGN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 How much mixing are we talking about here? I can't stand when we get ice and then snow on top. It just causes everything to be difficult. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 How much mixing are we talking about here? I can't stand when we get ice and then snow on top. It just causes everything to be difficult. http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-video/midwest-snow-moves-to-east-coast-by-morning/655578741001 Bernie again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 I think where you and I are at, we'll see some mixing in the beginning for the reasons Burghblizz mentioned. The warmer air seems to get to us more times than not with these setups. I don't think it will last long once the low gets closer and colder air filters in. They might be looking upstream and seeing the freezing rain in OH too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Currently sitting at 32 degrees. A little bit above what was forecasted. Hopefully any mix we do recieve will be short lived. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 They called for 1-2 yesterday from the main slug of moisture, then another half inch from snow showers through the night. We ended up with a 2.5 total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-video/midwest-snow-moves-to-east-coast-by-morning/655578741001 Bernie again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Just trying to help you out. You seem passionate about the weather and I'd hate to see you get banned over something stupid. I appreciate it ! really I do !! I have always said neither I nor any Meteorologist or Model is in control of what weather happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Looks like we will start a little ahead of schedule. Nice batch of precip headed our way. Scratch that, starting right on time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 I don't understand what that post by kPIT. Meant ?? What's bad about it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 That is the last thing I want to hear that it has started a head of schedule. I am at work and sounds like my drive home might, excuse my french, suck ass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 I see some pretty heavy returns in the southern half of Ohio. That might be where the sleet is mixing in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 That is the last thing I want to hear that it has started a head of schedule. I am at work and sounds like my drive home might, excuse my french, suck ass. I thought I read somehwere that it would be starting between 9-12. In the advisory it says 7-10 though. Looks like it will start a little after 7. When are you done working? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 9/9:30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 9/9:30 Might be a little sketchy, be safe! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Ok thanks. !!!!!! I'm perplexed. I don't know what expect from this. I will give my 2 predictions 2-5 aldghenmy county. 4-7. 1/80 corridor. Includes u. Mr Youngstown. Allentwx. And nice warm up on wensday and Thursday and Friday. Will be nice to. C. A miniamal defrost mode. It's like we were in Russia. Olympics. And they are having are usaul winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SirSonic Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 I will make my call for the area. South of the city will likely get a 2-4 inch snow, Pittsburgh Metro 3-6 inches, and then maybe an isolated 7 to 8 inch total up along I-80. It just adds to the snow pack, yet we will see melting starting tomorrow during the day then we could have a threat of severe thunderstorms on thursday into friday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Lol. I am far from a met. No one in my family is a met. However, I just want to read the forum, and make some observations. I don't want to read constant bashing. God knows the nws and locals deserve criticism sometimes, but the nws has been really good do far this year. Getting called for 1-2 and getting 2.5 is not a bust. 000 FXUS61 KPBZ 161511 AFDPBZ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA 1011 AM EST SUN FEB 16 2014 .SYNOPSIS... A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES WILL BRING PERIODIC PRECIPITATION THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEK. A GRADUAL WARMING TREND IS ALSO EXPECTED. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... A SHRTWV OVR OH WL TRACK E SPREADING LGT SNW INTO THE RGN. UPR SPPRT AND DEEP MOISTURE IS LMTD...AND ACCUMS ARE EXPD TO BE GENLY LESS THAN AN INCH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Good call super sonic. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cwc Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 000 FXUS61 KPBZ 161511 AFDPBZ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA 1011 AM EST SUN FEB 16 2014 .SYNOPSIS... A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES WILL BRING PERIODIC PRECIPITATION THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEK. A GRADUAL WARMING TREND IS ALSO EXPECTED. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... A SHRTWV OVR OH WL TRACK E SPREADING LGT SNW INTO THE RGN. UPR SPPRT AND DEEP MOISTURE IS LMTD...AND ACCUMS ARE EXPD TO BE GENLY LESS THAN AN INCH Dude .. the ratio turned out to be 125:1. Get over it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Thought this was kind of funny. Just to lighten the mood. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Radar is amped up coming into the West Virginia panhandle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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