Mailman Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 4" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Yea snowpack is nice from the nickel and dimes....worried about flooding for sure if that next week thaw and rain holds up....... Prob a nice 8-10" on the ground here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 4 Inches here in West Newton Too JV sucks as usual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 5" here in Monroeville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Well this escalated quickly. Gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 The Euro from Wxbell has us at around 4-6 inches. This includes a lot of PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 The Euro from Wxbell has us at around 4-6 inches. This includes a lot of PA So JV & Channel 2 will say 1-2 AGAIN ?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 So JV & Channel 2 will say 1-2 AGAIN ?? If this solution pans out they will bust hard. Every single model has us atleast 2-4. The Euro is bullish for close to 7. Also I have read that the warm up is getting beaten down with each run. So we may not see 60s but 40s most likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 If this solution pans out they will bust hard. Every single model has us atleast 2-4. The Euro is bullish for close to 7. Also I have read that the warm up is getting beaten down with each run. So we may not see 60s but 40s most likely. Sarcasm That what JB has said every time a warmup is forecast it is not as warm & for Not as long Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 AREA FORECAST DISCUSSIONNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA101 PM EST SAT FEB 15 2014.SYNOPSIS...A SERIES OF CROSSING DISTURBANCES WILL BRING PERIODIC PRECIPITATIONPROBABILITIES THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. WARMER WEATHER IS INDICATEDFOR NEXT WEEK.&&.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...STEADY SNW HAS ENDED AS SFC LOW PRES EXITS THE NC COAST...AND THEREMAINING ADVYS/WRNGS HAVE BEEN CANCELLED. SCT SNW SHWRS ALG ANUPR TROF AXIS CROSSING THE RGN WL CONT INTO THE AFTN...THOUGH NOADDNL SGFNT ACCUMS ARE EXPD. WITH COLD AIR ADVCTN TDA...EXP NRSTEADY TEMPS.&&.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY/...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN TONIGHT IN THE WAKE OF THE EXITING CLIPPERSYSTEM...BUT ANOTHER DISTURBANCE WILL BE KNOCKING ON OUR DOOR FORSUNDAY. ANOTHER...MORE FEEBLE WAVE WILL MOVE QUICKLY OUT OF THE NRNPLAINS CROSSING THE SRN GREAT LAKES TONIGHT. AS IT DOES...THEDEEPENING LOW OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL WORK TO DE-AMPLIFY THESHORT WAVE...EVENTUALLY PHASING IT INTO THE MORE DOMINANT UPPER LOW.DIFFERENCES EXIST IN NUMERICAL MODELS ON WHEN EXACTLY THIS PHASINGOCCURS...AND THEREFORE TIMING AND INTENSITY OF THE DISTURBANCE ISSTILL SOMEWHAT IN QUESTION. HAVE PUSHED BACK THE ONSET OF POPS...ANDBECAUSE OF THE TIMING ISSUES AND THE OVERALL LACK OFMOISTURE...STILL ONLY LIMITING POPS TO THE CHC RANGE. TEMPERATURESWILL STILL BE BELOW FREEZING THROUGH SUNDAY...SO SNOW ISEXPECTED...BUT SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION IS NOT. Govt. Clowns NEVER EVER Learn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 What do you mean by this? Lol. Seems pretty reasonable to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 What do you mean by this? Lol. Seems pretty reasonable to me. SO SNOW IS EXPECTED...BUT SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION IS NOT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Joe Bastardi@BigJoeBastardi The door is closing on warmup for many in lakes, northeast, northern plains a rear guard snowstorms and coming new cold regime cut the time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tsteel Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 SO SNOW IS EXPECTED...BUT SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION IS NOT.[/quote Define significant. Of course Jeff Verzyla will call it a "nuisance" snow again come Monday. Tired of that term. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 When is there supposed to be significant snow though? At best we get 3-5 inches from the monday storm and I don't think they consider that significant. NWS has been really good so far this year if you ask me. Sorry didn't see that about the euro run, 4-6 might be the low range for significant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tsteel Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 When is there supposed to be significant snow though? At best we get 3-5 inches from the monday storm and I don't think they consider that significant. NWS has been really good so far this year if you ask me. They have been better than the local stations for the past two storms. Only one time this year did the nws bust really low for me, that was the time they called for 1-2" with a mix and I got 7". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 I don't even bother with the local stations anymore, not worth it. They've missed a few calls, but all in all I think they've done pretty well. I certainly wouldn't call them clowns, that term is reserved for JV. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 This past storm NWS had me forecasted for 1-3 before any flakes fell. I had likely chances most of the week leading up to it as well. It will be interesting to see what comes of monday. Of course if any mixing is involved at the onset that could put a damper on anything significant, that's probably their thinking at the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 saying the NWS Pgh. is good compared to 2,4,11 Is damning them with faint Praise, The Local Channels have so De-Emphasized sports & weather that they just hire handsome Guys & Cute women who got their Meteorology degree out of a box of Crackerjacks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 well he is the Head Clown that Drives the Clown Car He's truly the worst. He's more worried about becoming a sports anchor at some point in his career, it's well known that's his dream. Maybe he's tanking on purpose to get out sooner, haha jk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 SO SNOW IS EXPECTED...BUT SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION IS NOT. Look at the sentence before this. I think they mean no significant accumulation thru Sunday. STILL ONLY LIMITING POPS TO THE CHC RANGE. TEMPERATURES WILL STILL BE BELOW FREEZING THROUGH SUNDAY...SO SNOW IS EXPECTED...BUT SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION IS NOT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 saying the NWS Pgh. is good compared to 2,4,11 Is damning them with faint Praise, The Local Channels have so De-Emphasized sports & weather that they just hire handsome Guys & Cute women who got their Meteorology degree out of a box of Crackerjacks Well their also exponentially better than accuweather, TWC, intellicast, wunderground, or any other site that just spits out model outputs. Which they should be since their main focus is our region. The NWS that is, I agree with you about the local stations. It seems that in this media age there are a lot of outlying factors that go into their forecasts, that unfortunately don't have anything to do with the actual weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 He's truly the worst. He's more worried about becoming a sports anchor at some point in his career, it's well known that's his dream. Maybe he's tanking on purpose to get out sooner, haha jk. follow him on Twitter he pontificates on all kinds of Pgh. sports & I am thinking shouldn't you be looking at the New Models ?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 well I am old school & I grew used to DeNardo & Kudma & even John Parisi who worked their craft with significantly less info available, Now you have clowns Like JV Jon Burnett, Kevin Benson & who know who is next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 15, 2014 Author Share Posted February 15, 2014 Measured 2.5 new snow, looking at another 1 tomorrow then possibly several more inches Monday. Gonna start having to issue glaciar advisorieis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Measured 2.5 new snow, looking at another 1 tomorrow then possibly several more inches Monday. Gonna start having to issue glaciar advisorieis. aren't you the Guy who "Gave up" on winter ?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 15, 2014 Author Share Posted February 15, 2014 SO SNOW IS EXPECTED...BUT SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION IS NOT. I just think they hadn't updated the discussion yet. Now it says this: THE NEXT SHRTWV IS PROGGED FOR A MON NGT/TUE PASSAGE. SOME SGFNT DIFFERENCES EXIST IN THE STRENGTH OF THIS SYSTEM...WITH THE GFS THE WEAKEST OF THE MDLS. PREFERRED A ECMWF/SREF BLEND...ALLOWING FOR A STRONGER AND SLOWER SYSTEM THAN THE GFS. SVRL INCHES OF SNW ARE PSBL...WITH THE GREATEST AMTS IN THE RIDGES AND N OF PIT. CRITICAL THICKNESSES/MDL SOUNDINGS INDICATE SOME RAIN WL MIX IN...AND A BRIEF PD OF FREEZING RAIN IS ALSO PSBL MAINLY ACRS E CNTRL OH AND SW PA. INCLUDED JUST A CHC OF THIS IN THE FCST WITH UNCERTAINTY IN THE DETAILS. THIS SYSTEM SHOULD EXIT TUE WITH DRY WEA RTNG BY LT AFTN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 I just think they hadn't updated the discussion yet. Now it says this: THE NEXT SHRTWV IS PROGGED FOR A MON NGT/TUE PASSAGE. SOME SGFNT DIFFERENCES EXIST IN THE STRENGTH OF THIS SYSTEM...WITH THE GFS THE WEAKEST OF THE MDLS. PREFERRED A ECMWF/SREF BLEND...ALLOWING FOR A STRONGER AND SLOWER SYSTEM THAN THE GFS. SVRL INCHES OF SNW ARE PSBL...WITH THE GREATEST AMTS IN THE RIDGES AND N OF PIT. CRITICAL THICKNESSES/MDL SOUNDINGS INDICATE SOME RAIN WL MIX IN...AND A BRIEF PD OF FREEZING RAIN IS ALSO PSBL MAINLY ACRS E CNTRL OH AND SW PA. INCLUDED JUST A CHC OF THIS IN THE FCST WITH UNCERTAINTY IN THE DETAILS. THIS SYSTEM SHOULD EXIT TUE WITH DRY WEA RTNG BY LT AFTN. no that one is from 1:06 or something the New one is 3 PM something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 So we go from a possible week torch to maybe 6 inches and some above avg temps. Wow this winter does not want to break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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