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Pittsburgh/Western PA Weather II


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So JV & Channel 2 will say 1-2 AGAIN ??

If this solution pans out they will bust hard. Every single model has us atleast 2-4. The Euro is bullish for close to 7. Also I have read that the warm up is getting beaten down with each run. So we may not see 60s but 40s most likely.

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If this solution pans out they will bust hard. Every single model has us atleast 2-4. The Euro is bullish for close to 7. Also I have read that the warm up is getting beaten down with each run. So we may not see 60s but 40s most likely.

Sarcasm :thumbsup:  That what JB has said every time a warmup is forecast it is not as warm & for Not as long 

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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
101 PM EST SAT FEB 15 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A SERIES OF CROSSING DISTURBANCES WILL BRING PERIODIC PRECIPITATION
PROBABILITIES THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. WARMER WEATHER IS INDICATED
FOR NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
STEADY SNW HAS ENDED AS SFC LOW PRES EXITS THE NC COAST...AND THE
REMAINING ADVYS/WRNGS HAVE BEEN CANCELLED. SCT SNW SHWRS ALG AN
UPR TROF AXIS CROSSING THE RGN WL CONT INTO THE AFTN...THOUGH NO
ADDNL SGFNT ACCUMS ARE EXPD. WITH COLD AIR ADVCTN TDA...EXP NR
STEADY TEMPS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN TONIGHT IN THE WAKE OF THE EXITING CLIPPER
SYSTEM...BUT ANOTHER DISTURBANCE WILL BE KNOCKING ON OUR DOOR FOR
SUNDAY. ANOTHER...MORE FEEBLE WAVE WILL MOVE QUICKLY OUT OF THE NRN
PLAINS CROSSING THE SRN GREAT LAKES TONIGHT. AS IT DOES...THE
DEEPENING LOW OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL WORK TO DE-AMPLIFY THE
SHORT WAVE...EVENTUALLY PHASING IT INTO THE MORE DOMINANT UPPER LOW.
DIFFERENCES EXIST IN NUMERICAL MODELS ON WHEN EXACTLY THIS PHASING
OCCURS...AND THEREFORE TIMING AND INTENSITY OF THE DISTURBANCE IS
STILL SOMEWHAT IN QUESTION. HAVE PUSHED BACK THE ONSET OF POPS...AND
BECAUSE OF THE TIMING ISSUES AND THE OVERALL LACK OF
MOISTURE...STILL ONLY LIMITING POPS TO THE CHC RANGE. TEMPERATURES
WILL STILL BE BELOW FREEZING THROUGH SUNDAY...SO SNOW IS
EXPECTED...BUT SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION IS NOT.
 
 
Govt. Clowns NEVER EVER Learn 
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When is there supposed to be significant snow though? At best we get 3-5 inches from the monday storm and I don't think they consider that significant. NWS has been really good so far this year if you ask me.

They have been better than the local stations for the past two storms. Only one time this year did the nws bust really low for me, that was the time they called for 1-2" with a mix and I got 7".

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This past storm NWS had me forecasted for 1-3 before any flakes fell. I had likely chances most of the week leading up to it as well. It will be interesting to see what comes of monday. Of course if any mixing is involved at the onset that could put a damper on anything significant, that's probably their thinking at the time. 

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SO SNOW IS

EXPECTED...BUT SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION IS NOT.

Look at the sentence before this. I think they mean no significant accumulation thru Sunday.

 

STILL ONLY LIMITING POPS TO THE CHC RANGE. TEMPERATURES

WILL STILL BE BELOW FREEZING THROUGH SUNDAY...SO SNOW IS

EXPECTED...BUT SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION IS NOT.

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saying the NWS Pgh. is good compared to 2,4,11 Is damning them with faint Praise, The Local Channels have so De-Emphasized sports & weather that they just hire handsome Guys & Cute women who got their Meteorology degree out of a box of Crackerjacks 

 

Well their also exponentially better than accuweather, TWC, intellicast, wunderground, or any other site that just spits out model outputs. Which they should be since their main focus is our region. 

 

The NWS that is, I agree with you about the local stations. It seems that in this media age there are a lot of outlying factors that go into their forecasts, that unfortunately don't have anything to do with the actual weather. 

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He's truly the worst. He's more worried about becoming a sports anchor at some point in his career, it's well known that's his dream. Maybe he's tanking on purpose to get out sooner, haha jk. 

follow him on Twitter he pontificates on all kinds of Pgh. sports & I am thinking shouldn't you be looking at the New Models ??

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SO SNOW IS

EXPECTED...BUT SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION IS NOT.

I just think they hadn't updated the discussion yet. Now it says this:

THE NEXT SHRTWV IS PROGGED FOR A MON NGT/TUE PASSAGE. SOME

SGFNT DIFFERENCES EXIST IN THE STRENGTH OF THIS SYSTEM...WITH THE

GFS THE WEAKEST OF THE MDLS. PREFERRED A ECMWF/SREF BLEND...ALLOWING

FOR A STRONGER AND SLOWER SYSTEM THAN THE GFS. SVRL INCHES OF SNW

ARE PSBL...WITH THE GREATEST AMTS IN THE RIDGES AND N OF PIT.

CRITICAL THICKNESSES/MDL SOUNDINGS INDICATE SOME RAIN WL MIX

IN...AND A BRIEF PD OF FREEZING RAIN IS ALSO PSBL MAINLY ACRS E

CNTRL OH AND SW PA. INCLUDED JUST A CHC OF THIS IN THE FCST WITH

UNCERTAINTY IN THE DETAILS. THIS SYSTEM SHOULD EXIT TUE WITH DRY

WEA RTNG BY LT AFTN.

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I just think they hadn't updated the discussion yet. Now it says this:

THE NEXT SHRTWV IS PROGGED FOR A MON NGT/TUE PASSAGE. SOME

SGFNT DIFFERENCES EXIST IN THE STRENGTH OF THIS SYSTEM...WITH THE

GFS THE WEAKEST OF THE MDLS. PREFERRED A ECMWF/SREF BLEND...ALLOWING

FOR A STRONGER AND SLOWER SYSTEM THAN THE GFS. SVRL INCHES OF SNW

ARE PSBL...WITH THE GREATEST AMTS IN THE RIDGES AND N OF PIT.

CRITICAL THICKNESSES/MDL SOUNDINGS INDICATE SOME RAIN WL MIX

IN...AND A BRIEF PD OF FREEZING RAIN IS ALSO PSBL MAINLY ACRS E

CNTRL OH AND SW PA. INCLUDED JUST A CHC OF THIS IN THE FCST WITH

UNCERTAINTY IN THE DETAILS. THIS SYSTEM SHOULD EXIT TUE WITH DRY

WEA RTNG BY LT AFTN.

no that one is from 1:06 or something the New one is 3 PM something 

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