RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Per PennMan's request, starting a new thread. I've never started one before so if we score a big storm you have me to thank. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Ok. This place looks the same as 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Looks like Henry M is still on the big storm idea. I honestly think he is gonna bust hard. This might be a situation were the first storm sets the stage for the v-day storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Looks like Henry M is still on the big storm idea. I honestly think he is gonna bust hard. This might be a situation were the first storm sets the stage for the v-day storm. Strongly agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Looks like Henry M is still on the big storm idea. I honestly think he is gonna bust hard. This might be a situation were the first storm sets the stage for the v-day storm. Yep. If the models have lost the storm this long it likely isn't coming back. Henry is pretty awful, IMO. He did this with a huge historic apps mega bomb that was modeled a couple years ato that then fell off the models. He kept saying it would come back, going as far as to say a volcano eruption in Alaska was impacting the models. Needless to say our 30 inch storm with 40 mph winds never came, and he melted down when people called him out on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 12z GFS Still looking like a 2-4 inch event for the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 12z GFS Still looking like a 2-4 inch event for the weekend. Into really sure about that. It gives us about .15 qpf over 18 hours. That really won't add up at all unless ratios are about 20:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Two things before I head to class, not that it stops me from browsing. Anyway dennis bowman thinks we could see 3-5 through saturday and sunday. Also HM new video still has the idea we see a "sneaky snowstorm". He thinks it would be similar to mondays. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 lets hope ritual gave us good luck and here comes the 30" er!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 So... if there's no more 6"+ storms the rest of the season (I probably put the whammy on it now), would you guys be satisfied with this winter? I think I would be. Lots of cold, lots of smaller-moderate systems to track. No serious ice storm headaches. It's been fun. At last look.. it does seem that the Euro/GFS/Canadian are all showing something around Valentine's Day or so. Hopefully that continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 6, 2014 Author Share Posted February 6, 2014 Ok. This place looks the same as 1 You don't like what I've done with the place? No, the reason for a new thread is post count, once a thread gets up over 1000 posts it can put unnecessary strain on the server and we want things running optimally when the 2 footer shows up on the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 You don't like what I've done with the place? No, the reason for a new thread is post count, once a thread gets up over 1000 posts it can put unnecessary strain on the server and we want things running optimally when the 2 footer shows up on the models. I have faith in you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 I think Wes said it best in the MA forum - this pattern is very difficult to pin down. If we're going to get snow, chances are we won't know how or when until <48 hours from the onset of the event. It will be okay to watch the pattern develop, but honestly any storm that shows up is going to either disappear or completely evolve over the period. Will keep an eye out over the next couple weeks, but I would (obviously) prefer to have higher confidence in getting something of some significance. My "educated" guess says 5% chance right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 I was wondering why. That. Was important to start new ones periodically. , thanks for clearing that up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Why does the GFS lose the storm when it goes down into Texas and mexico/gulf? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Maybee it wants to stay down there for spring break. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psunate1977 Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 The sun may have been the road crews best friend today. With most communities conserving salt or being out the sun took care of roads throughout the day. Our road wasn't touched and was slick this morning. Now it's dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Why does the GFS lose the storm when it goes down into Texas and mexico/gulf? because it is F'd Up?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 So... if there's no more 6"+ storms the rest of the season (I probably put the whammy on it now), would you guys be satisfied with this winter? I think I would be. Lots of cold, lots of smaller-moderate systems to track. No serious ice storm headaches. It's been fun. At last look.. it does seem that the Euro/GFS/Canadian are all showing something around Valentine's Day or so. Hopefully that continues. I'll admit I was disappointed with all the missed oppurtunities in November and December, knowing dry and bitter cold was on the way. However the mega-squall we got a few Saturday's ago( just hours after the 3-5" clipper) helped me appreciate what we had, as opposed to what could have been. Being able to witness zero visibility, even for just a few minutes, was pretty awesome. So yeah, I'm good. ( I guess ) LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 So... if there's no more 6"+ storms the rest of the season (I probably put the whammy on it now), would you guys be satisfied with this winter? I think I would be. Lots of cold, lots of smaller-moderate systems to track. No serious ice storm headaches. It's been fun. At last look.. it does seem that the Euro/GFS/Canadian are all showing something around Valentine's Day or so. Hopefully that continues. Yes I am satisfied. Now I just want big snow storm or Spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tsteel Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 So... if there's no more 6"+ storms the rest of the season (I probably put the whammy on it now), would you guys be satisfied with this winter? I think I would be. Lots of cold, lots of smaller-moderate systems to track. No serious ice storm headaches. It's been fun. At last look.. it does seem that the Euro/GFS/Canadian are all showing something around Valentine's Day or so. Hopefully that continues. Definitely satisfied here.. Three 6"+ storms and plenty of 2-4" ones as well. 2011-12 only managed 19" of snow out at State College... This winter could have done much better, but still was above average anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 I would be happy with one 12 inch storm or better. Then. Spring. It been a long cold winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Ehh I am kind of satisfied but we missed out on some heavy snows here. I just want that one storm similar to march last year were we get 8 inches or more. It doesnt have to be a 2010 redux but something more than moderate. Still almost 2 months to go, still have a chance. Wonder what the 00z will show for all the storms tonight, hopefully something promising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Find it kind of odd that its been snowing around the area since about 6 but nws still has us at partly cloudy. Only amounted to about a half inch but still kinda weird. To answer your question, I am definitely happy with this winter. I don't see any reason why we won't near 60 inches. After experiencing the winters of 05-06, 06-07, anything above 40 inches is a win in my book. We may not have had the big one yet, but I can't recall a winter that has had such consistent snow cover and cold weather. Beats torching any day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psunate1977 Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 I don't know how anyone couldn't be happy with this winter. We are over our norm and over predictions. We didn't get a huge storm, but slit of snow which all adds up in the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Digger Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 I'm happy that I quit the snowplowing business, but I've missed a lot of work excavating, which hurts. If you guys are all happy though, let's move on to spring... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 I think it just depends on your perspective of what you want out of winter. I'm pretty much a storm guy, so I'm definitely not satisfied. Can't say I'm disappointed either since it has snowed a lot this winter overall, just lots of small amounts. I'm the kind of person that would take a foot or more of snow from a storm even if it meant getting nothing the rest of the winter. I don't think I've picked up more than 3 inches from any system this season. Just a lot of nickel and dimers in my backyard. I think getting all of these nuisance snows can be more of a pain than anything. Just enough snow to cause problems, but not enough to where you can just call work and take the day off and enjoy it. Again, that's just what I like. We're all different. Sent from my XT897 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lvfd404 Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 I guess I can say I'm pleased with this winter. I remember many torch winters and/or below avg. snowfall. But like blackandgold I am a storm guy as well. Just wanting that one bomb of a storm to come through. I just have many fond memories of the big storms and looking to have that happen again. Plus I bought new tires for my wifes Jeep and mine right before winter and want to really test them out . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 When it comes to snow, I'm never satisfied, haha! In fairness, the most snow I've ever seen in a given winter is about 50" total. I would like to spend a winter somewhere with more consistent big snowfalls (think a ski town somewhere with 300 to 400" per annum) to see if I could actually get sick of snow. I'm definitely about those big snows. Four years now since I've seen a decent size storm, so I'm getting that itch again. Really can't complain about this winter, though. Snow (even a little) always beats rain when it's cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Well Henry M busted hard with his latest storm. Not surprised he hasnt been great this year, not that he ever is. Whatever he says go with the opposite and you should be alright. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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