Damage In Tolland Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 It's not falling apart which is a good sign. I'd be quite happy with the high end of BOX 1-2" map. lolYeah. I noticed even the conservative tv stations last nite upped their amounts this morning . 1-2 for most and a few will see 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Yeah. I noticed even the conservative tv stations last nite upped their amounts this morning . 1-2 for most and a few will see 3 Well, NWS Albany still confident of a light accumulating snow event over a wide area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 A lot of nice observations in PA with a few S+ obs. Models show the omega fizzling as this thing heads east... also there's a bit of instability out there in PA that won't be present here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 radar continues to expand around here and visibilities are slowly dropping with some new light covering. Snowy day, not much accumulation but wintry appeal. Hoping this band refires for another quick inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 No changes on new BOX map 1-2..and a few lucky folks will spot 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 That box map actually just took away the 2-4 over cape Ann but otherwise no changes on map. They may have changed % chances up or down for 4" on other map Ill go w the under Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Weenie flakes here at the Pit. 22.4/11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 RAP and 4knam are great for cape ann to me... HRRR says not so fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 A nice burst of snow with good snow growth. Visibility probably around 3/4 of a mile. There's likely some orographic enhancement going on around here as shown on the radar imagery. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Going to go with a coating here. I'll be shocked if we see an inch. Some will though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 York County maine sees a nice event according to some models maybe a spot 3". HRRR is much less. Who knows with these events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 BOX is thinking on the same page STILL EXPECTING UP TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW FROM THIS FAST-MOVINGSYSTEM. A FEW AREAS WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED. NEAR SHORELOCATIONS...PARTICULARLY AROUND CAPE COD AND CAPE ANN...AS BETTERICE NUCLEATION IS APPARENT. THERE REMAINS THREAT FOR A VERYLOCALLY FOCUSED INVERTED INSTABILITY TROUGH TO SETUP SOMEWHERE INTHE VICINITY OF CAPE ANN AND THE NORTH SHORE AS THE MOREWIDESPREAD SNOWFALL DRAWS TO A CLOSE. THIS ADDED DEFORMATION MAYENHANCE LIFT WITHIN THE SNOW GROWTH REGION.THE KEY WILL BE THE EXACT LOCATION OF THIS BAND ONCEESTABLISHED...A FEATURE MESOSCALE GUIDANCE AGREES WILL OCCUR...BUTDISAGREES WITH SPATIALLY. A SLIGHT ADJUSTMENT FARTHER OFFSHORE ORTO THE NORTH WOULD DIMINISH THE ADDED SNOWFALL GREATLY. GIVEN ALLTHESE OTHER MESOSCALE FEATURES HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDEDSNOWFALL POTENTIALLY EXCEEDING ADVISORY LEVELS...BUT SOMEUNCERTAINTY REMAINS IN THEIR EXACT LOCATIONS. WILL CONTINUE WITH ASPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR MUCH OF THE EASTERN SHORELINE WHICHHIGHLIGHTS THE POSSIBILITY THAT AN ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED WITHISOLATED POCKETS OF 3-5 INCH TOTALS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 I don't really see this trough setting up in MA, but more perhaps cstl ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 I don't really see this trough setting up in MA, but more perhaps cstl ME. York cnty. Portland? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Hadn't realized it but flakes are flying now. 1-2 here we go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Light snow falling in Southie. Back up to Andover soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Upstream obs look pretty meh. 2 SM in MSV and 1 1/2 SM at MGJ. Radar pretty lackluster in SE NY... the heaviest looks like it's sliding through NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Light snow here. Quick coating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Upstream obs look pretty meh. 2 SM in MSV and 1 1/2 SM at MGJ. Radar pretty lackluster in SE NY... the heaviest looks like it's sliding through NJ. Looks like it sort of blossoms as it enters SNE and moves east but is better north and east of you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Upstream obs look pretty meh. 2 SM in MSV and 1 1/2 SM at MGJ. Radar pretty lackluster in SE NY... the heaviest looks like it's sliding through NJ. Yeah well modeled that the best precip snuck under us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Radar looks nice out to the west near BGM and ENY and Pa. Some mod bursts. Might be a few good surprises tonight for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Radar looks nice out to the west near BGM and ENY and Pa. Some mod bursts. Might be a few good surprises tonight for us When does radar not look nice to you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 When does radar not look nice to you? Spitting weenie flakes in melrose Call the national gaurd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Coating to an inch would be my best guess based on radar and short term guidance. Rap has it mostly moving across between now and 03z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 .07 QPF produced 1.7 in Chicago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Looks like it sort of blossoms as it enters SNE and moves east but is better north and east of you All models actually show it fizzling as it moves out of PA/NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Yeah well modeled that the best precip snuck under us. Yup... you can see that heavier band sneaking south from ABE to NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Light snow has started. Expecting maybe an inch at the most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 All models actually show it fizzling as it moves out of PA/NY.As you trolled me with earlier today. Meteorology not modelolgy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 As you trolled me with earlier today. Meteorology not modelolgy Umm... radar and obs are matching up nearly perfectly with short range guidance. A bit of a slam dunk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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