Ralph Wiggum Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 I went to punt this threat and had the ball pulled out from under my feet...the threat is clearly on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 I went to punt this threat and had the ball pulled out from under my feet...the threat is clearly on! Umm yea the towel throwers must be loosening up they're throwing arms. Too early to say i give up ralph! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 In the month where historically the most snow falls and inside a snowy Winter. With a track from OBX northeast Lol At all the towel throwers Because R/S line hugging 5 days out paul Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Umm yea the towel throwers must be loosening up they're throwing arms. Too early to say i give up ralph!I'm all in for this one! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 We want to see the energy stronger down south in order to have a more dynamic event at this latitude. Precip is moderate at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 18z GFS looks like garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Low to Bermuda Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alwaysready126 Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 There's good reason to be pessimistic. Where's the cold air? February of 2012 was meteorologically the snowiest month of the winter too. If the pattern isn't conducive and there is a lack of cold air, ,averages don't matter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 If the GFS is correct the only thing we'll have to worry about is mostly sunny or partly cloudy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 The pattern has changed with the collapse of the -EPO. The models are finally getting a handle on this fact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 The GFS just did you a favor. In 6 hours it went from a rained to slp east of the GA coast. When a model does that it should turn ur attention to the models that are showing you continuity. U guys swing way too much with one op rUn The euro op and ensembles are where u Wana be you never ignore guidance unless it's a total outlier Jma ukmet euro are all at OBX. Go from there And someone asked where's the cold air ? It just has to be cold enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Low to Bermuda I was looking for the storm and did not see it. GFS was on fire earlier in the season. Hopefully this is not the trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 The GFS just did you a favor. In 6 hours it went from a rained to slp east of the GA coast. When a model does that it should turn ur attention to the models that are showing you continuity. U guys swing way too much with one op rUn The euro op and ensembles are where u Wana be you never ignore guidance unless it's a total outlier Jma ukmet euro are all at OBX. Go from there And someone asked where's the cold air ? It just has to be cold enough. also this storm deepens rapidly it will only help lower the temps via more intense rates. not in a bad spot right now paul Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjvesnow Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 The GFS just did you a favor. In 6 hours it went from a rained to slp east of the GA coast. When a model does that it should turn ur attention to the models that are showing you continuity. U guys swing way too much with one op rUn The euro op and ensembles are where u Wana be you never ignore guidance unless it's a total outlier Jma ukmet euro are all at OBX. Go from there And someone asked where's the cold air ? It just has to be cold enough. Any clue what the QPF was on the ensembles? Heard it was more than the op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Any clue what the QPF was on the ensembles? Heard it was more than the op. I only see the surface. Yank and allsnow get QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Very hard to pin down a low track or intensity given how chaotic the pattern is. It could still be a cutter, or an OTS nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 I was looking for the storm and did not see it. GFS was on fire earlier in the season. Hopefully this is not the trend. The GFS has been miserable now since about the 20th of January once we went back to more northern stream domination Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alwaysready126 Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 What does it mean when ducks fly north east.....I know its ot but I never saw that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Very hard to pin down a low track or intensity given how chaotic the pattern is. It could still be a cutter, or an OTS nothing. But at least the euro has had some consistency with this storm...the gfs has been all over the place Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 I actually see the gfs starting to trend toward the Euro. It has to do with what's going on at hour 72 down toward the gulf and it's clearly trending more amplified with that energy, which will ultimately be the system the Euro shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 What does it mean when ducks fly north east.....I know its ot but I never saw that. They saw some open water over there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 also this storm deepens rapidly it will only help lower the temps via more intense rates. not in a bad spot right now paul[/also this storm deepens rapidly it will only help lower the temps via more intense rates. not in a bad spot right now paul Its not the best set up aloft , but u have to see how that evolves over the next 48 hours. I'm indifferent right now . Its too far to really know anything more than there's a good probability a systems off OBX. After that too far for me to see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 18z gfs lmao....what storm? I would toss it, has no support Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 18z gfs lmao....what storm? I would toss it, has no support I wouldn't. Just another solution on the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 I wouldn't. Just another solution on the table.when dt says toss it, I toss the model out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 when dt says toss it, I toss the model out Dt says toss when it shows no snow for Richmond Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlogix Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Low to Bermuda back in the day - the further east the GFS was the better the chance of a snowstorm...LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Finally get 1 GFS ensemble member which actually has a EURO-esque evolution. Baby steps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 The ensemble mean is well OTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 back in the day - the further east the GFS was the better the chance of a snowstorm...LOL 4.5 - 5 days out I myself would rather see OTS solutions then coast huggers especially considering the NW trends this winter so far as we approach the events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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