Joshua in Charlotte Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 I guess I'm screwed then.. I'm a mile east of it. Now if I stay at work, then I'm good! LOL - I'm 0.5 west so YAY for me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
max100 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Winter Storm Watch up for N GA, including ATL. Hey Super, that has been issued since early this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormsfury Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 How far south will the frozen precip fall? Are we safe here in the low country? Getting close to right around the FRZ mark. 12z GFS at 8 am WED has KCHS at 33 with .42" QPF. that's significantly colder than previous runs. NAM has KCHS at 32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 News stations being VERY conservative... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disco-lemonade Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 any word on the UKIE? Here you go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 The image posted must be another run. It shows 30 mm of SN (1.2" QPF), 11 mm of IP, and 5 mm of ZR. Grabbed the wrong one, thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Omg at the CMC! Sitting at church praying it's right lol. Huge hit for a lot of us. Euro will be an extremely important run! Crazy to be thinking we could be 2 days away from the beginning of a historic storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bingcrosbyb Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 12z UKMET bombs up the east coast. Drops about 30mb in 24HR. 998mb off NC to ~964mb near Nova Scotia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Getting close to right around the FRZ mark. 12z GFS at 8 am WED has KCHS at 33 with .42" QPF. that's significantly colder than previous runs. NAM has KCHS at 32 Will be interesting to see the next few model cycles and see if they continue the colder trend. Cannot imagine 2 ice storms within 2 weeks here in chs, would be the first of its kind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Thank you! Do you all have the hr72 by chance? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 9, 2014 Author Share Posted February 9, 2014 News stations being VERY conservative... They're always conservative on the weekends, until the chief mets get in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Now for a prayer .. mods forgive me Listen to me, Euro, and answer me, for I am helpless and weak. 2 Save me from rain and 33 degrees, because I am loyal to you; save me, for I am your servant and I trust in you. 3 You are my favorite weather model, so be merciful to me; I pray to you all day long. 4 Make your servant glad, O Euro, because my prayers go up to you. 5 You are good to us and forgiving, full of constant love for all who pray to you. 6 Listen, Euro, to my prayer; hear my cries for help. 7 I call to you in times of trouble, because you answer my prayers. 8 There is no my favorite weather model like you, O Euro, not one has done what you have done. 9 All the nations that you have created will come and bow down to you; they will praise your greatness. 10 You are mighty and do wonderful things; you alone are my favorite weather model. 11 Teach me, Euro, what you want me to see, and I will obey you faithfully; teach me to serve you with complete devotion. 12 I will praise you with all my heart, O Euro my favorite weather model; I will proclaim your greatness forever. 13 How great is your constant love for me! You have saved me from the grave itself. 14 Proud people are coming against me, O Euro; a cruel gang of inferior models is trying to kill me with sleet— people who pay no attention to you. 15 But you, O Euro, are a merciful and loving my favorite weather model, always patient, always kind and faithful. 16 Turn to me and have mercy on me; strengthen me and save me, because I serve you just as my mother did. 17 Show me proof of your goodness, Euro; those who hate me will be ashamed when they see that you have given me comfort and help Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Now for a prayer .. mods forgive me Listen to me, Euro, and answer me, for I am helpless and weak. 2 Save me from rain and 33 degrees, because I am loyal to you; save me, for I am your servant and I trust in you. 3 You are my favorite weather model, so be merciful to me; I pray to you all day long. 4 Make your servant glad, O Euro, because my prayers go up to you. 5 You are good to us and forgiving, full of constant love for all who pray to you. 6 Listen, Euro, to my prayer; hear my cries for help. 7 I call to you in times of trouble, because you answer my prayers. 8 There is no my favorite weather model like you, O Euro, not one has done what you have done. 9 All the nations that you have created will come and bow down to you; they will praise your greatness. 10 You are mighty and do wonderful things; you alone are my favorite weather model. 11 Teach me, Euro, what you want me to see, and I will obey you faithfully; teach me to serve you with complete devotion. 12 I will praise you with all my heart, O Euro my favorite weather model; I will proclaim your greatness forever. 13 How great is your constant love for me! You have saved me from the grave itself. 14 Proud people are coming against me, O Euro; a cruel gang of inferior models is trying to kill me with sleet— people who pay no attention to you. 15 But you, O Euro, are a merciful and loving my favorite weather model, always patient, always kind and faithful. 16 Turn to me and have mercy on me; strengthen me and save me, because I serve you just as my mother did. 17 Show me proof of your goodness, Euro; those who hate me will be ashamed when they see that you have given me comfort and help Testify!! If Canadian verifies, we will all need to pray! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Looks like the good doc is in que and ready to be released to the world. I know that all runs are important, but this should be super important with all the cooler weather trends today in the models for us in GA. The doc is rolling. This should be interesting to watch unfold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Now for a prayer .. mods forgive me I've got my shovel to bear for us. If the Euro ends up like the CMC I'm all in on a big dog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Just putting this out there but climo heavily disagrees with the CMC regarding Atlanta. That would be historic for us. Yeah I agree, the low needs to get going way more SW of where the GEM shows it, sort of like a 1993 type setup for heavy snow there...my guess is it ends as some snow but is mainly a PL event...I do think you may escape a catastrophic ZR event at least in ATL...MCN may be a different story...I'm also strongly against any snow there tomorrow night, the WSWs to me are warranted but they should be from 2pm onward Tuesday, not tomorrow night, at least outside of far NRN GA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormsfury Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Will be interesting to see the next few model cycles and see if they continue the colder trend. Cannot imagine 2 ice storms within 2 weeks here in chs, would be the first of its kind. Don't forget to throw in the sleet event last Thursday night at 45 degrees in between it lol. The 2nd week of February is our climatologically favored week for winter weather, in fact, most of our major events have occurred on this week. Feb 12th 2010 snow, and the Feb 11th, 1973 of course, 2nd week of February. NAM/GFS trended 10 degrees colder in the past 24 hours. NAM/GFS right on the cusp of ZR getting into the Lowcountry south of the airport if trends continue colder still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Yeah I agree, the low needs to get going way more SW of where the GEM shows it, sort of like a 1993 type setup for heavy snow there...my guess is it ends as some snow but is mainly a PL event...I do think you may escape a catastrophic ZR event at least in ATL...MCN may be a different story...I'm also strongly against any snow there tomorrow night, the WSWs to me are warranted but they should be from 2pm onward Tuesday, not tomorrow night, at least outside of far NRN GA. I think you are right. I can see FFC adjusting the watch so that areas south of Rome and Gainesville are not included until Tuesday afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichaelJ Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 JB thinks the low will track just inland through NC and then re-emerge off Norfolk before heading up the coast. A blend of the EURO and CMC seems to be the safest bet right now with the GFS having it's "issues" (like normal) with the suppression of the low and diffused nature of the low(s) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 News stations being VERY conservative... Do some TV mets not just believe models or is it just a rule that they have to start out as conservative as possible and them up things in case it isn't a bust so they can say they didn't cry wolf? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Euro is now seeing that strip of QPF across WNC in NC much like the NAM and GFS out to 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 I sure hope the Euro likes ocean front views more than eastern NC barbecue? Need this pup to hug the coast line and stay away from a coastal plain track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 News stations being VERY conservative... This is the right call...for now...given the trends in GFS and NAM. CMC is the outlier until the Euro comes in. Could go either way with this next run, i.e. more like GFS or more like CMC. Will GFS score a coup and rank as the better global model for this event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Yeah I agree, the low needs to get going way more SW of where the GEM shows it, sort of like a 1993 type setup for heavy snow there...my guess is it ends as some snow but is mainly a PL event...I do think you may escape a catastrophic ZR event at least in ATL...MCN may be a different story...I'm also strongly against any snow there tomorrow night, the WSWs to me are warranted but they should be from 2pm onward Tuesday, not tomorrow night, at least outside of far NRN GA. You thinking, given the trends so far today, MCN might be ground zero for a significant ZR storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 EURO looks quite a bit colder at 2m through hour 30 around GA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 @36 light QPF going into NC. Wetter for NC on this run compared to 00z at the same time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 @42 southern energy looks stronger compared to the 00z run. Light QPF over the upstate, in NC moisture isn't there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Yeah I agree, the low needs to get going way more SW of where the GEM shows it, sort of like a 1993 type setup for heavy snow there...my guess is it ends as some snow but is mainly a PL event...I do think you may escape a catastrophic ZR event at least in ATL...MCN may be a different story...I'm also strongly against any snow there tomorrow night, the WSWs to me are warranted but they should be from 2pm onward Tuesday, not tomorrow night, at least outside of far NRN GA.What is a PL event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 HR48 about the same with the energy, 2m is a little bit colder in GA and the SFC high is about 4mb stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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