burrel2 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 NAM definitely not a good run for "NW" sections of nc/sc. Hopefully it remains an outlier You don’t consider 6 inches of snow on the ground and still snowing at hour 84 as good???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Out to 69 everything is shifted south. Don't know if that northern energy can make it in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Look at the HP building behind it.. it's def more consolidated with the energy in the s/w Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Bastardi placing more weight on the ECMWF in his morning video to clients. Carolinas are covered but the big ticket he thinks is how the NE gets the largest snows from this. Still we don't get left out and if Bastardi is correct, most in the Carolinas will be pleased. Last night his partner Ryan M. Said to discount last nights euro! Aren't they in the same company? Wxbell? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormsfury Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 NAM bukfit on the cusp at KCHS including +RN at 32 hour 78. Potentially areas just inland from the Charleston airport need to really pay attention. http://68.226.77.253/text/NAMSFC/NAM_kchs.txt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpStateCAD Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 "GFS" moisture fetch definitely more south east almost identical to the "NAM" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 @75 colder, not as wet for NC compared to 6z on the SFC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Less overrunning... N Plains energy about to phase it and pull it all north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Is that a 1018 low at hr 78 off SC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Still looks like a good 4-8 inch event across much of the state. GFS keeps it all snow from upstate to CLT to RDU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 GFS botching the phase and has two separate lows and can't get it going.. it'll be well stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Less overrunning... N Plains energy about to phase it and pull it all north Less overrunning... N Plains energy about to phase it and pull it all north If that energy can phase a little sooner this would be huge. It still looks like an awesome event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpStateCAD Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 You don’t consider 6 inches of snow on the ground and still snowing at hour 84 as good???? Have only looked at the maps and it looks like we do have maybe a half an inch of precipitation over the 2day stretch. If all snow I would gladly take it. But it was not a good trend. Precipitation wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Interesting that this run has that strong area of convection/heavy precip like the nam. This will need to be watched because it could interrupt moisture over north ga/sc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 If that energy can phase a little sooner this would be huge. It still looks like an awesome event. Yeah.. didn't quite make it.. but once again that's a GFS fault. Euro/NAM had it going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Still looks like a good 4-8 inch event across much of the state. GFS keeps it all snow from upstate to CLT to RDU. That is good news. Let's hope the system continues to get a better sample as we head into the 00 runs tonight. 4-8 would be awesome for all! Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 GFS botching the phase and has two separate lows and can't get it going.. it'll be well stronger. Even taking this run at face value it gives CLT 30 hours of snowfall ranging from light to moderate back to light. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 DEF. Colder at 850 and 2m Lookout, as you said. ITs going to phase a bit too late this run, but I think we have some growing consensus, colder trends at 850 and 2m and some sort of phasing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillerA Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Even taking this run at face value it gives CLT 30 hours of snowfall ranging from light to moderate back to light. Starting Tuesday night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Trying to learn and understand here. So now are we seeing less with the overrunning and looks more like what we do get is Wednesday instead of Tuesday now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Guys I think Euro is not in fantasy land as people were saying earlier this looks more an more like a monster phase getting going. Granted it may not go far inland as Euro depicted but nonetheless if the GFS were to phase just a little earlier it would be looking good for everyone including myself. Just have to hope the northern stream energy can dig just a tad earlier still good tho as Burger pointed out for NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 There was a nice little jog north with the first wave precip 12z GFS vs. 6z. .25 line got up into N.C. I-85 corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 GEFS individual panels are going to have some bombs on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 wow..believe it or not, the gfs has it going from sleet to more or less a snow sounding in athens by hour 72. Only area above freezing is around 850mb and it's only 0.8c. if precip is heavy enough that is probably snow..at the least it's not freezing rain which is good news for yours truly. Very strong sleet sounding in atlanta by that time..although precip is almost over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Like burger, I'll take this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 There was a nice little jog north with the first wave precip 12z GFS vs. 6z. .25 line got up into N.C. I-85 corridor. ok, so to summarze, it looks over night trends have pushed the cold air more south but the precip as well? Sounds like it is attending to a similar solution as we had two weeks ago. Totally different set up, but similar result. That would be... disapointing.... So the qpf trended both north and south. Glad we've got that covered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 ok, so to summarze, it looks over night trends have pushed the cold air more south but the precip as well? Sounds like it is attending to a similar solution as we had two weeks ago. Totally different set up, but similar result. That would be... disapointing....The Nam shunted the precip south the GFS to me still looks good and is only a tick away from becoming a beast with a slightly earlier phase thus tucking it in and spreading the heavier precip inland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bingcrosbyb Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Via James Spann's Twitter Main band between US 278 and I-20 in Alabama. Definitely another move south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Like burger, I'll take this run. Yep if folks in NC on our side complain about this run they need to get a life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Yep if folks in NC on our side complain about this run they need to get a life. It's easily warning criteria and possibly up to half a foot for the city. If you can find something to complain about there, I can't help you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.