superjames1992 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Definitely strenghening the main system ... everything shifted west It seems like that's the main takeaway tonight from all of the modeling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 HR78 looks like GA is getting hit hard with ZR. 2m temps look about the same or even a smidge colder by 0z and 6z wed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 It's further south.. but the HP is farther west and building more behind it as a GOM low forms. Colder all around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Definitely strenghening the main system ... everything shifted west Is NC still looking to be in the game with this run John? Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 BIG changes with energy out west...hr 84 euro has backside energy coming down over OK and is about to tilt this sucker. I have a feeling this might explode. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 It's further south.. but the HP is farther west and building more behind it as a GOM low forms. Colder all around. Yeah, the HP is 1mb stronger than the 12z and as you mentioned further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 By 84 it's lifting north... snow over NC north of 85 it looks like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 By 90 the the HP is off shore and the cold air erodes. Sleet over most of NC. Meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacobr57 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 By 84 it's lifting north... snow over NC north of 85 it looks like Is the track of the main wave looking similar to the GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 I really don't know what to say about this run...there is about to be a bundle energy ball of hell in the SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Beyond that, WAA washes over and it's a big rain storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Low bombs INLAND... snow confined to the mtns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 The system explodes at hr 102 but inland and turns into rain for around CLT east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Tracks the low right through RDU, great run for the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 OH wonderful, it cripples the NE with a blizzard. Not sure I buy the inland track at all but if the HP slides out like it shows then maybe so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 And it pummels the NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 There were some changes on the 0z euro but overall I'd say it held. I'd like to see the track further east but there is time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Interested in the ensembles, inland track is a first since I've been following this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Eh, I mean it's still a major winter storm for the CAD regions. Some snow, major pingers, then perhaps rain... 2m temperatures are still in the upper 20s from I-85 westward at hr 102. But I'm not too happy at the moment. EDIT: OMG, that could be a HUGE ice storm here. I hope it's pingers instead.... EDIT #2: 31F at hr 108. Yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 OH wonderful, it cripples the NE with a blizzard. Not sure I buy the inland track at all but if the HP slides out like it shows then maybe so. JWow, Can you see if the blocking mechanism is gone (Baffin ridge) from this run vs the previous run? If the HP is stronger/colder and placed properly, then I do not see how this thing turns like it is showing? I cannot see any of the EURO maps, so I am trying to see what may be causing this. Thanks in advance for any analysis... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 This run certainly is much wetter for mid and NGA and colder at 850 and 2m. It has us around 35-36 which IMO means 30-32 with a stout wedge. its VERY wet. 2.5" total QPF. There is like 1-1.5" QPF in that 6z WED to 6z THUR time frame which would be either a really cold azz rain here or some devastating ZR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 It's a 4-6" deal I'd say for CLT.. then sleet/rain issue with the inland track of this nor'easter. If the low stays off shore or along the coast line.. the more snow we can add to the totals like the GEM has. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 I should note that the bombing coastal is pummeling central TN per the Euro. Nashville is getting clocked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 With a track like that I imagine the mountains and adjacent foothills would see a major winter storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 It's a 4-6" deal I'd say for CLT.. then sleet/rain issue with the inland track of this nor'easter. Would the inland track get the warmer air back to GSP, or would they be about the same as CLT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Larry, Lookout, I think the euro is probably over-doing the phased look at H5, but verbatim this run, IMO I think given the 2m warm bias MCN to ATL-AHN and AGS are in line to see a significant ZR storm when this arrives tue night into wed night..Thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Looks like the CAD regions stay below freezing for the entire storm. Wow. That inland runner is a disaster, but that could be a major ice storm. Maybe we can push that low off the coast and get some snow? We'll see. GSO gets 1" QPF, presumably all-frozen. It's probably a little bit of everything regarding P-types. Same with CLT, though CLT gets 1.2-1.3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Looks like the CAD regions stay below freezing for the entire storm. Wow. That inland runner is a disaster, but that could be a major ice storm. Maybe we can push that low off the coast and get some snow? We'll see. GSO gets 1" QPF, presumably all-frozen. It's probably a little bit of everything regarding P-types. Same with CLT, though CLT gets 1.2-1.3". How much of that falls as snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Mostly sleet with some snow for Atlanta and the northern burbs? I know the 12z was mainly IP/ZR, but if this run was colder we could see a bit of snow, right? I appreciate all the pbp tonight. Shows just about anything is still on the table for us in the SE! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 With a track like that I imagine the mountains and adjacent foothills would see a major winter storm Ya some big Changes from the Euro. Also after the storm another trough comes in and keeps it cold right through the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.