Wow Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 The fetch is setting up.. from SE Tx to Raleigh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 The fetch is setting up.. from SE Tx to Raleigh Yep, looks more SE to NW banding instead of due east, which makes more sense and Euro like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Noticed that the steak of snow from OK to TN has vanished... bending toward the Euro solution it seems with a stronger southern wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 MTN's about to get pounded at 54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Snowing in west half of NC on Monday evening, less that 48 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 At 54... NC getting hammered. The conveyor belt of precip is clearly shown from HOU to RDU. Going to be a long one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Wow, so now we're looking at a potential start time of Monday night. That sure changes things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Heavy precip definitely shifted to N-GA, still nice precip everywhere else, and this is only through 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMA1973 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Rain on Thursday for most of central NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Heavy precip definitely shifted to N-GA I'm guessing the NAM moved a little further south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Hey guys since Jan 1988 has been tossed around a lot, I thought I woudl repost my case study on it http://www.americanwx.com/models/raleighwx/studies/Jan1988.html Alan, Nice writeup! One clarification: the 3-4" at ATL-AHN was largely IP. That's a major reason the accumulations were much lower than in places further NW. KATL had over 0.80" of liquid equivalent. So, in my mind the 4" of mainly IP was more like 8" of snow and it had at least that kind of impact. I'm thinking something similar could happen with this storm if it were to verify similarly to the 12Z Euro/CMC/UKMET/JMA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 I'm guessing the NAM moved a little further south? Well the precip shield pivoted from being due east to SW to NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 0z nam looks like it brings a ton of precip going from rain to snow it appears to me in extreme north Georgia. Atlanta is perilously close to getting in on the action. 2m temps don't look good for GA though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Wow.. way south by 63.. already pushing out to sea. Check out the vorts in the jet field to see why. It's a mad house! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Well the precip shield pivoted from being due east to SW to NE Oh okay thanks for the clarification. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Wow, so now we're looking at a potential start time of Monday night. That sure changes things.Yep, that cold better hurry! I'm telling y'all, seen it too many times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Ouch at 63, the precip shield slides SE, best snows in eastern NC, again, PGV jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Jackpot is coastal NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 The initial wave weakens with a late phase attempt of the polar s/w moving in which in the previous runs was pulling the precip shield farther north with a phase back over the midwest. Without that phase, everything gets booted off shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Jackpot is coastal NC 72hr QPF Over-running FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Jackpot is coastal NC Am I missing something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 6-8" over PGV, nice event for them, 3-5" everywhere else, still nice, inline with other modeling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Precip might have moved more east but still looks big. More in line with the Euro with totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Let's not go overboard. It was still a decent run for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Am I missing something? Not sure what that is, here is the NAM, actually your looking at a lower resolution NAM (32km), look at the 12km Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Let's not go overboard. It was still a decent run for most. Agreed, but still the NAM is usually to far NW at this range and overly wet, so that wasn't a good run if you take that into account. Not to worried, want to see the RGEM and the globals first. Also, want to see if the 4km NAM follows suit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Wow, so now we're looking at a potential start time of Monday night. That sure changes things. Over the last couple of runs if the nam comes close to verifying.. there may be a band ahead of the main precip in southern va/nc. Redevelopment on the Lee side our area-- a band of flurries light snow starting from lunch time Monday then gradually more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Worst run of the day and still get right at 5 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 The 84 hour image shows lots of precipitation building in the northern gulf. Perhaps round two? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Is now the time to say that the NAM isn't reliable? LOL, yes, just as unreliable at this range as showing a foot of snow across all of NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.