Lookout Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 HR54 the euro looks about the same...it actually appears the 2nd shortwave is a little bit stronger over VEGAS Still a little colder than the 0z run. And certainly colder than the nam at 850mb through hour 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Looks faster w/ the wave at 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 I'm almost sure, based on 48, that 12Z Euro will NOT amp the 1st wave and bring it further east like the 12Z NAM. We'll see. Looks like 0Z Euro. Agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Still a little colder than the 0z run. And certainly colder than the nam at 850mb through hour 60. I am looking at 2m temps for now, and I agree, its a little colder this run so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Wetter over AK @66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Snow all over S half of TN and SW NC by 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 @72 the Euro has less overrunning making it into NC compared to the 00z. Back in the east though that low looks like it's cranking more moisture with and temps look a little cooler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Still a little colder than the 0z run. And certainly colder than the nam at 850mb through hour 60. Major IP/ZR developing on 2/11 in N GA and spreading SW on 12Z Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Definately colder through hour 72. 0c 850mb isotherm runs from rome to athens to washington to south of columbia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 @78 much wetter over AL with good snows breaking out over WNC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Precip shield up to NC/VA line by 78... slower with initial precip and colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 This will more than likely, like what Larry said, be pretty close to the 00z euro Looks a little slower this run as well through hour 84. Colder at 2m for us here in GA Colder at 850 as well. Wedging looks better this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Very similar to 0z just a bit slower Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 @84 moisture is further south. This is an I-85 special for NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 By 90 Euro snowfall map is 4-6 south of I-40 in NC and 6-8 in upstate SC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 freezing surface temps make it to atlanta by hour 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 By hour 96 it's 6-8 south of I-40 and 8-10 in the upstate. BOOM! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsandhills Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 @84 moisture is further south. This is an I-85 special for NC. Does it seem to make it south enough to effect FAY? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Wow great run for western nc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 by hour 96 an inch liquid has fallen from north ga to gsp and columbia. Most of that is frozen or freezing in north ga and the northern half of sc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 By hour 96 it's 6-8 south of I-40 and 8-10 in the upstate. BOOM! It's basically identical to the 0z as far as precip totals for our area along 85. Definitely some 12" snow totals possible in this setup. Exciting times! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Looks about the same at 2m, maybe a little warmer here, but very close at hour 102 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 The 32F line literally skips over Lexington county and gets CAE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 By hour 96 it's 6-8 south of I-40 and 8-10 in the upstate. BOOM!I am loving these trends! It is about time we had an "85 special"! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Wow great run for western nc. I see that it's an 85 special so I'm guessing you're referring to sw NC? Doesn't sound promising for N foothills and N mtns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 It's basically identical to the 0z as far as precip totals for our area along 85. Definitely some 12" snow totals possible in this setup. Exciting times! Yes long duration event as well. It's sleeting and light ZR even at hour 108 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 This will more than likely, like what Larry said, be pretty close to the 00z euro Looks a little slower this run as well through hour 84. Colder at 2m for us here in GA Colder at 850 as well. Wedging looks better this run 1.25-1.5" total qpf ATL-AHN from 2 waves (mainly 1st), much of which would be IP/ZR after initial rain. Euro 2 meter temp.'s too warm. Get down to MCN later in 1st wave and in 2nd wave for ~1.50" qpf total, rain and then mainly ZR down there imo. 1" of ZR there? So, Euro holds serve for GA at least. 8th run in a row with major winter storm for SE. Edit: another look at MCN's 850's and position of sfc low tells me it will be close to 32/sig. ZR but may stay just above for much of 2nd wave. +7 850's a little warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Verbatim its 35-38 and heavy azz rain, but take a little out of that its very heavy ZR around here. NGA gets hits hard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 In terms of sensible weather, south carolina gets hit hard with freezing rain..especially central areas around columbia. Just about everything falls in north ga. Looks like 3 to 6 inches of snow/sleet in north ga outside the mountains followed by 0.30 to 0.50 of freezing rain. Looks like mostly snow, or snow/sleet in the extreme northern part of the upstate with several inches of snow in a lot of freezing rain for sc. hard to gauge how much since we can't see the entire column. It could end up being more sleet than freezing rain for a lot of areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 So is this a situation where the surface temps could be a few degrees above freezing, but start out as snow and the temps fall to upper 20s with a transition to sleet and zr? For NGA and upstate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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