packbacker Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Wow, 6"+ for CLT and GSP, it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Looks like 00z Euro is too warm for ice or snow around the Midlands of SC on the first wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Euro much faster with southern energy when compared with CMC, looks like a SLP is forming off coast at 108. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Looks like 00z Euro is too warm for ice or snow around the Midlands of SC on the first wave. No, there is at least some ZR. Second wave gets you hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 CLT is legitimately 8-10" of snow on Euro through 102. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 No, there is at least some ZR. Second wave gets you hard. I just saw the 32 line. my god. KCAE gets slammed w/ ZR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 the euro is taking away some of the punch as far as moisture goes for the second system for areas further north. It's colder though, temps into the 20s but best moisture is to the south across south/central ga into sc where there is a lot of ice in south carolina...but it's still some additional icing for the cad areas..and very close to a lot more icing if that moisture is angled a bit more north. The euro sure makes for a complicated forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 So is the first wave just overrunning still or something else? And cold still holds for the 2 nd wave? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 the euro is taking away some of the punch as far as moisture goes for the second system. It's colder though, temps into the 20s but best moisture is to the south across south/central ga into sc..but it's still some additional icing for the cad areas..and very close to a lot more icing if that moisture is angled a bit more north. The euro sure makes for a complicated forecast. ZR nails you too man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CherokeeGA Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 I know down here in the "country" power poles in some spots will be really close to each other.. and then areas will be way further apart. So I guess it really just depends on where you live. It seems like the mountain type areas would have the most distance between poles though. Can anyone chime in on this? At least for everywhere in the mountains I have lived/visited, the poles tend to be quite close together and not very tall (spaced closely because of the hills and turns determining how the lines need to curve, and not as tall because of trees overhead and fewer wires needing to be carried). They also tend to be wooden instead of metal as they are in town and ATL proper. The only times I see them further apart in the mountain region are in valleys and other random spots where the road is long and straight, and of course down in the city they can be further apart because they use the larger metal poles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 the euro is taking away some of the punch as far as moisture goes for the second system for areas further north. It's colder though, temps into the 20s but best moisture is to the south across south/central ga into sc where there is a lot of ice in south carolina...but it's still some additional icing for the cad areas..and very close to a lot more icing if that moisture is angled a bit more north. The euro sure makes for a complicated forecast.Give me 6-10 inches from my area to Charlotte with the first punch, and I won't care about punch number two! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 The Euro literally has snow/sleet/frzn rain over the bulk of the area for 42 solid hours, granted the last 12 hours is light but still. Starts at roughly hour 84 and last through hour 126. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Can't see much on free maps, sounds like clt get hammered. Not sure about further northwest though. Big time zr farther south this run to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 ZR nails you too man. i'm right on the edge of the heavier freezing rain with the second system and on the edge of the ice/snow area of the first one. I'm not sure if I should be happy with this run or not LOL. Seriously...I've never seen a period of weather like the euro is forecasting here and one degree one way or the other makes the difference between something epic or not. The euro dumps 1 inch liquid over me, the southern upstate by 96 hours but I don't know what it would be LOl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 At least for everywhere in the mountains I have lived/visited, the poles tend to be quite close together and not very tall (spaced closely because of the hills and turns determining how the lines need to curve, and not as tall because of trees overhead and fewer wires needing to be carried). They also tend to be wooden instead of metal as they are in town and ATL proper. The only times I see them further apart in the mountain region are in valleys and other random spots where the road is long and straight, and of course down in the city they can be further apart because they use the larger metal poles. Thanks! My "vision" was 100% different for the mountains. Out here in my area; all our poles are wooden.. even into town until you get to "mains street" they are metal..but just recently done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 i'm right on the edge of the heavier freezing rain with the second system and on the edge of the ice/snow area of the first one. I'm not sure if I should be happy with this run or not LOL. Seriously...I've never seen a period of weather like the euro is forecasting here and one degree one way or the other makes the difference between something epic or not. The euro dumps 1 inch liquid over me, the southern upstate by 96 hours but I don't know what it would be LOl Msged you a scary sight. I think your area is on the map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 8, 2014 Author Share Posted February 8, 2014 The Euro literally has snow/sleet/frzn rain over the bulk of the area for 42 solid hours, granted the last 12 hours is light but still. Starts at roughly hour 84 and last through hour 126. Most events are very short lived... I don't remember an event that persisted for over 18 hours, much less near 2 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Most events are very short lived... I don't remember an event that persisted for over 12 hours, much less near 2 days. the thing here is that there are two "waves". not just one. I know KCAE earlier.. had a talk about snow monday night.. through thrusday or so.. here in SC. There seems to be a break between the two though. so the period wouldnt be "persistant" so to speak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Euro inside day 4 is pretty darn good, the day 3-4 over-running is on every global model now, Euro is most robust though. The snowfall map on WB is just to crazy to post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 8, 2014 Author Share Posted February 8, 2014 the thing here is that there are two "waves". not just one. I know KCAE earlier.. had a talk about snow monday night.. through thrusday or so.. here in SC. There seems to be a break between the two though. so the period wouldnt be "persistant" so to speak. If the second wave goes further north, then us folks that would get the ~ 6-11 inches would get a sheet of ice on top Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 8, 2014 Author Share Posted February 8, 2014 Euro inside day 4 is pretty darn good, the day 3-4 over-running is on every global model now, Euro is most robust though. The snowfall map on WB is just to crazy to post. Yea... we'd need to see the soundings to sort out this precip slop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Most events are very short lived... I don't remember an event that persisted for over 18 hours, much less near 2 days. It's hard to believe, and considering it's never happened, that I recall, it probably won't but the one thing that does look promising is the first wave of over-running that starts at 84 hours is on every global model, the Euro is most robust, the Euro is really tough inside day 3, if the 12z run has it tomorrow that will be telling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Euro inside day 4 is pretty darn good, the day 3-4 over-running is on every global model now, Euro is most robust though. The snowfall map on WB is just to crazy to post. How far north and west is the good precip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 12.8in IF all the precip is snow for charlotte. WOW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 8, 2014 Author Share Posted February 8, 2014 It's hard to believe, and considering it's never happened, that I recall, it probably won't but the one thing that does look promising is the first wave of over-running that starts at 84 hours is on every global model, the Euro is most robust, the Euro is really tough inside day 3, if the 12z run has it tomorrow that will be telling. The GFS was just getting it's act back together on 0z... so this time tomorrow should paint a much better picture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Wow.. great trend there.. pump up the first wave with most of the precip while the HP is in prime position with 850mb temps still cold enough to support snow. I-85 corridor gets pummeled. 1" QPF line runs from HKY to GSO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncskywarn Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 How does the Euro look for the Raleigh area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 How far north and west is the good precip? I-85 corridor jackpots with precip, but it looks like western NC mtns get 6" of all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 I-85 corridor jackpots with precip, but it looks like western NC mtns get 6" of all snow. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 8, 2014 Author Share Posted February 8, 2014 Wow.. great trend there.. pump up the first wave with most of the precip while the HP is in prime position. I-85 corridor gets pummeled. Indeed... February of 2004 was the last time this amount of snow was even a possibility this close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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