boo radley Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 1:03 AM, Laurel Highlands Wx said: Their discussion seemed to hint that the LSV was in pretty good shape for at least an advisory snowfall but not entirely confident yet. That's what I got out of it, southern strip of counties look safe for adv. criteria and not wanting to up pops too high elsewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 It's odd when horst is more bullish than ctp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Those who hug the gfs are on edge. So far the euro has been consistent, until it changes I'm good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 1:01 AM, NeffsvilleWx said: Ctp says no event??? Eh...I can kind of understand their reasoning. If the ECMWF trends towards the GFS, then we're pretty much SOL here. However, if the GFS trends towards the ECMWF, then we have a serious storm. Very delicate situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Something to chew on while we wait for the 00z models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boo radley Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Well put Superstorm this is a situation where it could turn really big in a hurry, or the euro collapses to the GFS and it's off the table. Way different then a SWFE where we know its going to hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Here it is folks the all awaited S&S snow map for an event that has no agreement and is still two days away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 More fun... Blizzard of 2014.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 1:08 AM, Superstorm93 said: Something to chew on while we wait for the 00z models. ScreenHunter_65 Feb. 10 19.47.png Hey Zak....can you believe it?? AccuWx just plagiarized YOUR forecast!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Energy entering BC now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 1:10 AM, Wmsptwx said: Well put Superstorm this is a situation where it could turn really big in a hurry, or the euro collapses to the GFS and it's off the table. Way different then a SWFE where we know its going to hit. Or Nam will be king Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 1:18 AM, CarlislePaWx said: Hey Zak....can you believe it?? AccuWx just plagiarized YOUR forecast!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boo radley Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 SREF looks the same. .1 UNV and IPT .25 most of LSV and .5 ish Lehigh Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 SREF doesn't have much QPF for the LHV, but the spread is quite nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 1:32 AM, Superstorm93 said: SREF doesn't have much QPF for the LHV, but the spread is quite nice. sref_namer_069_mslp (1).gif No new info into it. 03Z will have the 0Z data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Even of Harrisburg gets 2' snow, THIS EVENT IS NOT A BLIZZARD. God I hate people sometimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 1:33 AM, EasternUSWX said: No new info into it. 03Z will have the 0Z data. This is true. Plus I wouldn't really trust the SREF until maybe this time tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 1:33 AM, canderson said: Even of Harrisburg gets 2' snow, THIS EVENT IS NOT A BLIZZARD. God I hate people sometimes. Well if the Euro is right, places will see a blizzard. IDK where though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 For the SREFs to have a a coastal near 1000mb this far out, that's decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 NAM is starting, lets hope for a bit more NW than 18Z to continue the trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 1:33 AM, canderson said: Even of Harrisburg gets 2' snow, THIS EVENT IS NOT A BLIZZARD. God I hate people sometimes. Agreed at least this far inland at the moment. BTW, whose forecast map was that from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 1:36 AM, EasternUSWX said: Well if the Euro is right, places will see a blizzard. IDK where though.Did it really have winds up to 35? Seemed they were more 15-20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 1:32 AM, Superstorm93 said: SREF doesn't have much QPF for the LHV, but the spread is quite nice. sref_namer_069_mslp (1).gif What does 'spread' refer to. I slept thru statistics 101 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 People are honestly getting ridiculous with these maps and terms. A power company blamed the polar vortex for increased wattage rates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 1:45 AM, rochesterdave said: What does 'spread' refer to. I slept thru statistics 101 The SREF is a model made up other individual models. The spread refers to the other individual models being NW of the mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 1:44 AM, canderson said: Did it really have winds up to 35? Seemed they were more 15-20. Gust to criteria. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick G Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 1:46 AM, sauss06 said: People are honestly getting ridiculous with these maps and terms. A power company blamed the polar vortex for increased wattage rates and hospitals will be blaming the winter of 2014 for the baby boom in 9 months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boo radley Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 NAM leans toward GFS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 2:40 AM, Eskimo Joe said: NAM is a solid hit from DC -> Harrisburg (9" - 13"). Even Williamsport scrapes 6". What NAM are you looking at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boo radley Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 2:40 AM, Eskimo Joe said: NAM is a solid hit from DC -> Harrisburg (9" - 13"). Even Williamsport scrapes 6". Ummm...no, unless I'm looking at the wrong thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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