psuhoffman Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I think the 81 east peeps in here are going to like the GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Holy god what a change in moods. I woke up early for work and everybody seemed happy. It seems like a bit of a funeral, now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 A few hours later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Wow is that GGEM so close. Another 50-mile west trend and it's a ballgame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 4:36 PM, AllWeather said: And based off the early maps from our friends up north, the GGEM has shifted west slightly from 00z. Although its very tough to tell using their 4-panel maps. Canadian give s good thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 stand by DT in 5 on facebook saying he doesn't buy the GGEM. :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Notice how the NAM/GFS bomb out and really wrap the system up, thus the precip field is in a smaller but more robust field. The EURO/UKMET/Canadian, which has been consistent IMO, is not as wrapped up and therefore produces a more westward snow shield. It's a good 7" - 10" from I-78/I-81 to the Turnpike, then 10" - 13" from the Turnpike south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 4:52 PM, Eskimo Joe said: Notice how the NAM/GFS bomb out and really wrap the system up, thus the precip field is in a smaller but more robust field. The EURO/UKMET/Canadian, which has been consistent IMO, is not as wrapped up and therefore produces a more westward snow shield. It's a good 7" - 10" from I-78/I-81 to the Turnpike, then 10" - 13" from the Turnpike south. I'm guessing we get a moderate hit on the UK/CMC then (3-6")? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 From MidAtlantic thread: On 2/10/2014 at 5:08 PM, yoda said: GEFS: 60 hrs -- 1034 H in Nova Scotia and 1010 L just south of the Big Bend of FL 72 hrs -- 1008 L SE of Wilmington NC 84 hrs -- 994 L ESE of ACY ~250 miles (rough guess) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 5:15 PM, Eskimo Joe said: From MidAtlantic thread: Great Lakes low continues to remain relatively weak as well on GEFS edit: I guess that doesnt really mean a whole lot with it being an ensemble mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 5:04 PM, Wmsptwx said: Is there anyway for heaviest axis to set up right over our I 81 friends? Bc this is the outcome I would most enjoy. These yearly I 95 12 to 24 events are growing tiresome. Yearly? Name one the last three winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 5:20 PM, JamieOber said: Yearly? Name one the last three winters. Give it up, he isn't changing. Move on... It's been a very good winter and it looks to get even better. You might see snow in April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boo radley Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Last year 2/8/13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 4:42 PM, Atomixwx said: Holy god what a change in moods. I woke up early for work and everybody seemed happy. It seems like a bit of a funeral, now. Yeah im in OSHA safety training all day and i am trying to sneak peeks, i have no idea what is going on, hard to read theough this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boo radley Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 5:24 PM, maytownpawx said: Give it up, he isn't changing. Move on... It's been a very good winter and it looks to get even better. You might see snow in April. I've had a great winter with no complaints. I was only stating that I'd like to see the major event hit the LSV or NEPA vs. NYC and New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 5:25 PM, Wmsptwx said: Last year 2/8/13 I had 11" total for the entire winter last year. No big snows even close to here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 5:26 PM, Wmsptwx said: I've had a great winter with no complaints. I was only stating that I'd like to see the major event hit the LSV or NEPA vs. NYC and New England. With no complaints? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted February 10, 2014 Author Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 5:25 PM, Wmsptwx said: Last year 2/8/13 That was a New England special..I-95 from RIC-DCA-PHL had little to no snow from that. In any case...let's keep this thread on topic. Storm mode is in effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 5:20 PM, djr5001 said: Great Lakes low continues to remain relatively weak as well on GEFS edit: I guess that doesnt really mean a whole lot with it being an ensemble mean True. On 2/10/2014 at 5:26 PM, sauss06 said: Yeah im in OSHA safety training all day and i am trying to sneak peeks, i have no idea what is going on, hard to read theough this Bottom line: Storm still alive and well. Good potential someone gets double digits, but a sharp northwest edge. Start time will be overnight Wednesday -> Thursday so we get a good base down before sunrise. The next 12 hours will be key as northern stream energy gets over dense observation network. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 And that's ^^ the bottom line. Because Eskimo Joe... said so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 5:34 PM, Eskimo Joe said: True. Bottom line: Storm still alive and well. Good potential someone gets double digits, but a sharp northwest edge. Start time will be overnight Wednesday -> Thursday so we get a good base down before sunrise. The next 12 hours will be key as northern stream energy gets over dense observation network. By this do you mean the low that ends up in the GL kicking the storm east? Those looking for a further west track are hoping to see that slower and weaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 5:26 PM, sauss06 said: Yeah im in OSHA safety training all day and i am trying to sneak peeks, i have no idea what is going on, hard to read theough this I took that class last semester and it was rough. 6-9pm MWF. Some GFS members are really tucked in and stronger than the OP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 5:42 PM, RitualOfTheTrout said: By this do you mean the low that ends up in the GL kicking the storm east? Those looking for a further west track are hoping to see that slower and weaker. he means the energy will be moving over and area of land where the data collected from around there by way of balloon launches/observations/etc gets ingested into the 0 and 12z model runs so we may see the models then begin to get a better handle on how things will play out over the next few days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maeve Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 5:34 PM, Eskimo Joe said: True. Bottom line: Storm still alive and well. Good potential someone gets double digits, but a sharp northwest edge. Start time will be overnight Wednesday -> Thursday so we get a good base down before sunrise. The next 12 hours will be key as northern stream energy gets over dense observation network. For those of us who fall well below the amateur rank in understanding models, would you consider doing more frequent 'Bottom Line' udates? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 5:00 PM, PSUHazletonWx said: I'm guessing we get a moderate hit on the UK/CMC then (3-6")? Looks it. This is CMC with 10:1 ratio: http://phillywx.com/filedata/fetch?id=11662 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Euro will make this board crash.. OMGGGGG Crushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 12z Euro is stronger at H5 and at the surface through 72 hours..Don't have QPF numbers, but it's going to be a massive hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Virtually identical track to 00z run, but stronger earlier. LSV will likely get shellacked on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 The 12z Euro is just a hair farther west at hr 72 vs. 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I'm almost over 2" QPF all snow. Good day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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