Snowstorms Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Latest GFS has a nice 10+cm snowstorm for the GTA Monday Night thru Tuesday. Temperatures are marginal but I have feeling we can work in some CAD with that HP across Quebec, which may drive in cool temperatures from the NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Wouldn't be a Snowstorms post without cold air damming worked in. -16C IMBY, -11 @ YYZ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 13, 2014 Author Share Posted February 13, 2014 Wouldn't be a Snowstorms post without cold air damming worked in. -16C IMBY, -11 @ YYZ Ii have a feeling that a lot of people in Ontario are doing a lot of "cold air damning" this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Ii have a feeling that a lot of people in Ontario are doing a lot of "cold air damning" this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Parts of the Mid ATL. and NE could end up seeing 40+cm by Sunday night if the models are correct. -_- The downside to there respective locations is inconsistent snow cover but they have the best climo when it comes to Big Daddy storms. And I wouldn't mind that at all. This winter for the GTA will go down as being sh!t in the snow department if we dont see atleast another 30cm by the end of March. This is frustrating! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Parts of the Mid ATL. and NE could end up seeing 40+cm by Sunday night if the models are correct. -_- The downside to there respective locations is inconsistent snow cover but they have the best climo when it comes to Big Daddy storms. And I wouldn't mind that at all. This winter for the GTA will go down as being sh!t in the snow department if we dont see atleast another 30cm by the end of March. This is frustrating! lol, if this winter is **** in terms of snow, what are 2011-12 and 2009-10? I will agree with the frustrating part, seeing what's going on to our SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 lol, if this winter is **** in terms of snow, what are 2011-12 and 2009-10? I will agree with the frustrating part, seeing what's going on to our SW. Maybe I got out of hand with that post, my apologizes lol. And in my personal opinion, I dont consider 2009-10 and 2011-12 as being "winters". More like an extended Fall or early Spring, lol. And you probably feel the same way. Two of the driest winters on record occuring within a 2-3 year period is unheard of in this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 13, 2014 Author Share Posted February 13, 2014 We've had snow cover non stop for over two months now and even had snow on the ground in late November. That's a huge positive in my books. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toronto4 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 The winter of 1995-96 was a decent one from the outside, but if you look deep, there could have been more. Most of the big storms affected the US East Coast that winter (eg. Blizzard of '96 on Jan 7) and there were more frequent and intense torch periods, mid-January and late February. On Jan 18th, it got up to 14C in Toronto. A lot of the snow that winter fell in November (31 cm) and April (20 cm). December had 27 cm, January 20 cm and February only 13 cm. March was good with 33 cm, though we got screwed by the March 20th storm (forecasts were calling for 20-25 cm the day before, but only 10 cm of wet snow fell). This winter, so far, beats 1995-96 by a wide margin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toronto4 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 We've had snow cover non stop for over two months now and even had snow on the ground in late November. That's a huge positive in my books. Very impressive for sure. Best part about it now is that depths are more respectable (20+ cm). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Don't breathe too hard City of Toronto12:20 PM EST Thursday 13 February 2014Special air quality statement forCity of Toronto continuedHigh air quality health index values today.Today is a day with high air quality health index (AQHI) values of 7 to 9 from Hamilton to the Greater Toronto area. This is due to elevated levels of nitrogen dioxide in the air as the result of light winds and a stagnant air mass. As the winds pick up today the air quality health index values will improve to moderate values but there is a risk that the values may go back up tonight near 7.Issued jointly: Environment Canada and the Ontario Ministry of the Environment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Great lakes ice coverage has surged to 88.4%. Wonder if we can hit the 78-79 record of 94.7% with the pending warmup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Great lakes ice coverage has surged to 88.4%. Wonder if we can hit the 78-79 record of 94.7% with the pending warmup. lice-00.gif Cold falls back in shortly after so maybe we can push 90%. Would be a nice marker to hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 It amazes me how deep L. Ontario is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 lol, if this winter is **** in terms of snow, what are 2011-12 and 2009-10? I will agree with the frustrating part, seeing what's going on to our SW. My God, 2011-2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Latest GFS has 12-18cm for the GTA with the upcoming storm on Tuesday. Atleast the long weekend is nice haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 14, 2014 Author Share Posted February 14, 2014 Latest GFS has 12-18cm for the GTA for the storm on Tuesday fwiw. That would be awesome. We'll lose it during the torch, but at least it will add to our snowfall totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 That would be awesome. We'll lose it during the torch, but at least it will add to our snowfall totals. If the thaw lasts no more than 3-5 days and isnt overly warm, our snow pack will stay relatively intact. The 10-15cm on Tuesday would certainly help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 14, 2014 Author Share Posted February 14, 2014 If we get the cold to return the last week of February and get some overnight lows in the minus teens, I think this February could end up as the coldest of the century thus far, possibly the coldest since 1979. The three to beat are February 2007 and 1993,tied with a mean of -8.4 Celsius, and 1994, with a mean of -8.3 Celsius. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Latest GGEM is similar to the GFS. Shows 12-18cm for the GTA as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Euro/GFS agree on 3-4" of wet snow across most of the GTA with the upcoming system. The CMC has more of an amped solution and puts down 6-8" across the GTA, with up to a foot near london. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Sent off an e-mail about the downtown station. Two weeks without an update. It's not just normal lag. Something's up. I look at how quickly F6 data gets updated by the NWS and it's hard not to be envious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toronto4 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Sent off an e-mail about the downtown station. Two weeks without an update. It's not just normal lag. Something's up. I look at how quickly F6 data gets updated by the NWS and it's hard not to be envious. I did the same a few days ago and Environment Canada told me the downtown TO observer will enter the Feb. data at a later date. Hopefully this will force EC to send the observer a gentle reminder to enter the data ASAP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 I did the same a few days ago and Environment Canada told me the downtown TO observer will enter the Feb. data at a later date. Hopefully this will force EC to send the observer a gentle reminder to enter the data ASAP. I got no problem with multiple emails. Hopefully they get the hint that people actually care about this stuff. And what a disgraceful answer. They'll enter it at a later date. Maybe next week. Maybe in April. EC makes it difficult for me not to loathe them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 I got no problem with multiple emails. Hopefully they get the hint that people actually care about this stuff. And what a disgraceful answer. They'll enter it at a later date. Maybe next week. Maybe in April. EC makes it difficult for me not to loathe them. A few weather weenies on an American weather board probably won't push them over the edge haha. Now if some businesses or other levels of government (municipalities) started making some noise, I'm sure they would update the data ASAP. What makes me despise EC (at times) is simply their lack of transparency. What makes me envious is going to weather.gov or any other NOAA sites and seeing how much info is publicly available and easy to access. Would love it if Environment Canada issued AFD's... would that be so much to ask? I'm sure they have to type their thoughts out somewhere anyway, why not post it to the web? Even Special Weather Statements and Event Summaries are so canned and contain very little information in terms of a meteorological synopsis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 A few weather weenies on an American weather board probably won't push them over the edge haha. Now if some businesses or other levels of government (municipalities) started making some noise, I'm sure they would update the data ASAP. What makes me despise EC (at times) is simply their lack of transparency. What makes me envious is going to weather.gov or any other NOAA sites and seeing how much info is publicly available and easy to access. Would love it if Environment Canada issued AFD's... would that be so much to ask? I'm sure they have to type their thoughts out somewhere anyway, why not post it to the web? Even Special Weather Statements and Event Summaries are so canned and contain very little information in terms of a meteorological synopsis. They used to have the daily weather synopsis, which they scrapped in September of 2001. It wasn't as technical as an NWS AFD but you at least got some insight into their forecasts. EC does have a general model diagnostic discussion, which you can find here: http://meteocentre.com/cgi-bin/get_prod?STN=CWAO&NUM=01&PROD=FXCN&HR=09 It's hit an miss. Sometimes there's substantive meteorological discussion. Other times it's just a summary of what the various models are progging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 14, 2014 Author Share Posted February 14, 2014 Take a look at this live streaming camera from Quebec City where they are getting hit hard by snow! http://www.ville.quebec.qc.ca/webcameras/index.aspx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toronto4 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 I got no problem with multiple emails. Hopefully they get the hint that people actually care about this stuff. And what a disgraceful answer. They'll enter it at a later date. Maybe next week. Maybe in April. EC makes it difficult for me not to loathe them. It's tough since the downtown measurements this season have been spot on. Let's hope this continues once the observer finally gets the chance to enter the numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 They used to have the daily weather synopsis, which they scrapped in September of 2001. It wasn't as technical as an NWS AFD but you at least got some insight into their forecasts. EC does have a general model diagnostic discussion, which you can find here: http://meteocentre.com/cgi-bin/get_prod?STN=CWAO&NUM=01&PROD=FXCN&HR=09 It's hit an miss. Sometimes there's substantive meteorological discussion. Other times it's just a summary of what the various models are progging. Good link, thanks! Didn't even know this existed or was accessible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 The latest Euro shows 8-12cm for the GTA. GGEM/GFS show similar amounts as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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