Toronto4 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 The cold has certainly underperformed. Our forecast low last night was -20. We made it to minus 13. London, Ontario's forecast high today was minus 15. They've already surpassed that. I think the cloud cover played a big role in keeping overnight temps warmer than guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 11, 2014 Author Share Posted February 11, 2014 I think the cloud cover played a big role in keeping overnight temps warmer than guidance. My thoughts exactly. Ottawa is down to -21c with clear skies as is Chicago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I think the cloud cover played a big role in keeping overnight temps warmer than guidance. Yes certainly. Wind only dropped to 10km/h at its lowest as well. Forecast low for tonight is -18C. We'll see if we can make that. Either way the mean temperature is still plummeting for this month (-9.8C). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I think we should take some guesses to see when the consecutive days end at pearson. Ill say March 11th. and for fun Ill say my piles in the shade make it to early april Victoria Day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 The fact that the East Coast, specifically the NE, is about to get another major snowstorm really ticks you off. Some interior regions may pick up 40-50cm once its all said and done. Even NYC has a chance at getting 15-25cm Consistent snow cover is rare for areas in the NE, but I wouldn't complain if I'm getting a ****ing blizzard every 2 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 The biggest snowfall event IMBY this entire winter was 16 cm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 The fact that the East Coast, specifically the NE, is about to get another major snowstorm really ticks you off. Some interior regions may pick up 40-50cm once its all said and done. Even NYC has a chance at getting 15-25cm Consistent snow cover is rare for areas in the NE, but I wouldn't complain if I'm getting a ****ing blizzard every 2 weeks. Has this winter really been that exceptional for them? Last I saw Boston was at 45" which, while above normal, is on par with what downtown Toronto has seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 The biggest snowfall event IMBY this entire winter was 16 cm Dec 14th or Feb 5? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Unless the D6-7 storm can form some sort of block I don't think anything is going to save us from at least 2-3 days of true torching late next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 11, 2014 Author Share Posted February 11, 2014 Unless the D6-7 storm can form some sort of block I don't think anything is going to save us from at least 2-3 days of true torching late next week. Not good news at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Not good news at all. Meh, it was inevitable. Haven't really torched since early December IIRC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 11, 2014 Author Share Posted February 11, 2014 Unless the D6-7 storm can form some sort of block I don't think anything is going to save us from at least 2-3 days of true torching late next week. Do you think we should still be able to manage the coldest winter in 20 years or is this the dreaded day after day of 10 degree weather you were mentioning? Looks a bit like the mid- February 1994 torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Unless the D6-7 storm can form some sort of block I don't think anything is going to save us from at least 2-3 days of true torching late next week. Anwar Knight of CTV Toronto just called for highs of 6-8C in about 8-10 days. Bold call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 11, 2014 Author Share Posted February 11, 2014 Anwar Knight of CTV Toronto just called for highs of 6-8C in about 8-10 days. Bold call. Not an unreasonable call though. During the February 1994 torch, we made it up to 12c. Much of our snowpack might be toast if this comes with high dew points. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 11, 2014 Author Share Posted February 11, 2014 The 12z Euro seems to have 2 metre temperatures up to only the mid to upper 20s in our region on the 20th and 21st of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Anwar Knight of CTV Toronto just called for highs of 6-8C in about 8-10 days. Bold call. If 850s get to AOA +8c, I could see it. It'll depend on how much snowpack we have left which will depend on what that D6 system does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 11, 2014 Author Share Posted February 11, 2014 If 850s get to AOA +8c, I could see it. It'll depend on how much snowpack we have left which will depend on what that D6 system does. GFS seems to think it will be snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 The 12z Euro seems to have 2 metre temperatures up to only the mid to upper 20s in our region on the 20th and 21st of the month. EURO has a bit of a blocking feature over the Maritimes at 240 which keeps the warm at bay for an extra 1-2 days compared to the GFS. But everything is transient so the torch would move into our region just beyond D10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 GFS seems to think it will be snow. Both OP GFS and the EURO are showing some fun solutions atm. Too bad it's 144+ out but at least there's consensus... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 12, 2014 Author Share Posted February 12, 2014 EURO has a bit of a blocking feature over the Maritimes at 240 which keeps the warm at bay for an extra 1-2 days compared to the GFS. But everything is transient so the torch would move into our region just beyond D10. I'll make an early call and say we hit 10c for at least one day, followed by -10c before the month ends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I'll make an early call and say we hit 10c for at least one day, followed by -10c before the month ends. Winter is surely going out with a bang in the deep south. Im not sure where you guys stand but from a weather enthusiast point of view Im giving this winter a solid A. 66 and counting days with snow on the ground here and multiple -20C and lower. Deep freeze all the way to Florida. Numerous snowfall and cold records falling in the US. Even the deep south will end up with two massive snowstorms. This has been a winter everyone will talk about for years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 EURO has a bit of a blocking feature over the Maritimes at 240 which keeps the warm at bay for an extra 1-2 days compared to the GFS. But everything is transient so the torch would move into our region just beyond D10. The January warmth if I recall looked a lot stronger (50s here) at first but slowly was beat down to (low 40s). I am not too sure what to make of this one. There will be warmth but exactly exact details will be worked out over the next several days. The next 5 will be below freezing. This effects of this big EC storm and all the several waves following are going to keep the models changing (hopefully for the better (colder that is) ). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 12, 2014 Author Share Posted February 12, 2014 Winter is surely going out with a bang in the deep south. Im not sure where you guys stand but from a weather enthusiast point of view Im giving this winter a solid A. 66 and counting days with snow on the ground here and multiple -20C and lower. Deep freeze all the way to Florida. Numerous snowfall and cold records falling in the US. Even the deep south will end up with two massive snowstorms. This has been a winter everyone will talk about for years I'm giving it an A- or an A. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 12, 2014 Author Share Posted February 12, 2014 Looks like I'm experiencing raditional cooling under clear skies and deep snow cover. I'm down to -14.0c. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Looks like I'm experiencing raditional cooling under clear skies and deep snow cover. I'm down to -14.0c. Lol. It would appear you are. Winds lower tonight, better shot at 0F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 12, 2014 Author Share Posted February 12, 2014 Lol. It would appear you are. Winds lower tonight, better shot at 0F. Waterloo airport is already down to -24c! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Waterloo airport is already down to -24c! They've been rocking lately. Not sure I've ever seen that kind of discrepancy between Toronto and KW so consistently. It's been what, 4 or 5 times this month already? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 12, 2014 Author Share Posted February 12, 2014 They've been rocking lately. Not sure I've ever seen that kind of discrepancy between Toronto and KW so consistently. It's been what, 4 or 5 times this month already? Yeah, it's incredible. They're down to -25c now. It must be the rural location of the airport. Kind of like Watertown in northern new York. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Yeah, it's incredible. They're down to -25c now. It must be the rural location of the airport. Kind of like Watertown in northern new York. Don't think the airport being rural has too much to do with it considering the airport is -25 and the University of Waterloo in the centre of the city is at -27. Other nights the airport is colder than UW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 12, 2014 Author Share Posted February 12, 2014 Don't think the airport being rural has too much to do with it considering the airport is -25 and the University of Waterloo in the centre of the city is at -27. Other nights the airport is colder than UW. I don't have an answer then. What's the topography like there? Is K/W in a valley location? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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