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Southern Ontario winter '13-'14 Discussion part II


Ottawa Blizzard

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I think the cloud cover played a big role in keeping overnight temps warmer than guidance.

 

Yes certainly. Wind only dropped to 10km/h at its lowest as well.

 

Forecast low for tonight is -18C. We'll see if we can make that. Either way the mean temperature is still plummeting for this month (-9.8C).

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The fact that the East Coast, specifically the NE, is about to get another major snowstorm really ticks you off. Some interior regions may pick up 40-50cm once its all said and done. Even NYC has a chance at getting 15-25cm  :axe: Consistent snow cover is rare for areas in the NE, but I wouldn't complain if I'm getting a ****ing blizzard every 2 weeks. 

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The fact that the East Coast, specifically the NE, is about to get another major snowstorm really ticks you off. Some interior regions may pick up 40-50cm once its all said and done. Even NYC has a chance at getting 15-25cm  :axe: Consistent snow cover is rare for areas in the NE, but I wouldn't complain if I'm getting a ****ing blizzard every 2 weeks. 

 

Has this winter really been that exceptional for them? Last I saw Boston was at 45" which, while above normal, is on par with what downtown Toronto has seen.

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Unless the D6-7 storm can form some sort of block I don't think anything is going to save us from at least 2-3 days of true torching late next week.

Do you think we should still be able to manage the coldest winter in 20 years or is this the dreaded day after day of 10 degree weather you were mentioning?

 

Looks a bit like the mid- February 1994 torch.

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The 12z Euro seems to have 2 metre temperatures up to only the mid to upper 20s in our region on the 20th and 21st of the month.

 

EURO has a bit of a blocking feature over the Maritimes at 240 which keeps the warm at bay for an extra 1-2 days compared to the GFS. But everything is transient so the torch would move into our region just beyond D10.

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EURO has a bit of a blocking feature over the Maritimes at 240 which keeps the warm at bay for an extra 1-2 days compared to the GFS. But everything is transient so the torch would move into our region just beyond D10.

I'll make an early call and say we hit 10c for at least one day, followed by -10c before the month ends.

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I'll make an early call and say we hit 10c for at least one day, followed by -10c before the month ends.

Winter is surely going out with a bang in the deep south. Im not sure where you guys stand but from a weather enthusiast point of view Im giving this winter a solid A. 66 and counting days with snow on the ground here and multiple -20C and lower. Deep freeze all the way to Florida. Numerous snowfall and cold records falling in the US. Even the deep south will end up with two massive snowstorms. This has been a winter everyone will talk about for years 

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EURO has a bit of a blocking feature over the Maritimes at 240 which keeps the warm at bay for an extra 1-2 days compared to the GFS. But everything is transient so the torch would move into our region just beyond D10.

The January warmth if I recall looked a lot stronger (50s here) at first but slowly was beat down to (low 40s).  I am not too sure what to make of this one.  There will be warmth but exactly exact details will be worked out over the next several days.  The next 5 will be below freezing.  This effects of this big EC storm and all the several waves following are going to keep the models changing (hopefully for the better (colder that is) :unsure: ).

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Winter is surely going out with a bang in the deep south. Im not sure where you guys stand but from a weather enthusiast point of view Im giving this winter a solid A. 66 and counting days with snow on the ground here and multiple -20C and lower. Deep freeze all the way to Florida. Numerous snowfall and cold records falling in the US. Even the deep south will end up with two massive snowstorms. This has been a winter everyone will talk about for years 

I'm giving it an A- or an A.

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They've been rocking lately. Not sure I've ever seen that kind of discrepancy between Toronto and KW so consistently. It's been what, 4 or 5 times this month already?

Yeah, it's incredible. They're down to -25c now. It must be the rural location of the airport. Kind of like Watertown in northern new York.

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Yeah, it's incredible. They're down to -25c now. It must be the rural location of the airport. Kind of like Watertown in northern new York.

 

Don't think the airport being rural has too much to do with it considering the airport is -25 and the University of Waterloo in the centre of the city is at -27. Other nights the airport is colder than UW.

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Don't think the airport being rural has too much to do with it considering the airport is -25 and the University of Waterloo in the centre of the city is at -27. Other nights the airport is colder than UW.

I don't have an answer then. What's the topography like there? Is K/W in a valley location?

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