canderson Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Zac, one thing to keep in mind is that region of Kentucky is notorious for zr events. Something about the typography creates a magnet for zr no where else sees. It's a document,enter thing someone posted on the old board, it was crazy. So while they are seeing a lot of zr you can't verbatim extrapolate that eastward as the thermal and typo differences are fairly profound. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Nws really needs to play up how bad this could be. My friend from chambersburg whose reasonably informed acted like no big deal. If that was done every time something *could* be that bad, they'd be accused of crying wolf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Always good to look downstream... Kinda concerning looking through the METARs in KY/IN/OH. Seems like they're getting raked down there. Cincinnati is reporting 1.5mi vis with Freezing Rain. No thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 23/20 I have a few snowflakes in the air Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Seriously. Mid Atlantic Weather, Storms, and Anomalies first raised this possibility a couple days ago wh he said he would not be surprised if there wasn't a "single tree left standing or person with power." Really? They should see my uncle's pics of the 2009 ice storm that hit Paducah and western KY. 1.5-1.75" of freezing rain with a steady wind. That completely debranched the majority of trees down there and you could see the effects of that a few years after that. Trees have finally begun to look normal again the last couple times i've been down. This could be quite a significant ice maker across the south, but it won't be to that level. The storms moving too rapidly for one, and the higher rates/sleet might limit ice accrual a bit. What the storm does have going for it impact wise is that this things gonna be rolling in the dead of night and the snow on the trees already adds to the weight on especially pine trees. I still expect some early snow and/or sleet to burn off some of the QPF. We'll probably see a swath of 0.5", but not sure on higher than that other than for some scattered spots. If this rolls in and starts off as freezing rain right off the bat, CTP will likely consider ice storm warnings and potentially greater than a half inch. But regardless, a half inch of ice will make a mess for sure. That Pre-Thanksgiving storm we had up here was around half an inch and Blair 911 was nonstop all night with road closures and trees/branches down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 5, 2014 Author Share Posted February 5, 2014 GR earth displaying reports of ZR starting in SW pa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 23.5 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 -1C 850mb temps here with surface temps at 27.8F Gonna be a close call for what type of precip falls for the first hour. EDIT: Reports of UP near the Mason Dixon line, so I'll say Lan Co. starts with IP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmister Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Anyone know the last time PA declared a State of Emergency for a winter storm? I noticed NJ already declared one in advance for tomorrow. I ask because my work only closes if there is a State of Emergency! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 5, 2014 Author Share Posted February 5, 2014 This thing is rolling in. Should be rocking by midnight, whatever we are going to be having. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Laurel Highlands Wx Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Looks like its doing something on the Bedford traffic camera can't tell. Any guesses? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Just re-vamed my P-Type radar color scheme. I liked how it turned out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Anyone know the last time PA declared a State of Emergency for a winter storm? I noticed NJ already declared one in advance for tomorrow. I ask because my work only closes if there is a State of Emergency! 2010? Or was it was during flooding, 2011 or 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 I love how all the automated AWOS stations are all like.... Ummmm.... I don't know what's going on here.. UP? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Since the HRRR is insistent on NYC getting more snow than UNV: if any of the three NYC stations record more snow than UNV does for this event - I will not post in any of the weather forums until 1 March. O/T only. This is NOT a NYC storm and I'm sick of them beating us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
irvingtwosmokes Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Snowing here now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 What's hrrr show up here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Snowing here now Was just about to post--the KJST ASOS is reporting -SN now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Precip on my doorstep what will it be lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Laurel Highlands Wx Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Looks like from traffic cameras: Snow up to Ebensburg Sleet? in Breezewood and Bedford Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmister Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Really liking the look of the radar with precip filling in quickly throughout Western PA. One of those situations where there is not much waiting between first flakes (pellets, drops) and heavy snow/sleet/(freezing) rain... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 5, 2014 Author Share Posted February 5, 2014 What's hrrr show up here? All snow. Heavy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 5, 2014 Author Share Posted February 5, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 At least in terms of location of the "bands", this does look to be setting up favorably for KUNV-KIPT. A nice stream of steady, moderate-to-heavy precip lined up all the way back to western KY, pointed right at us. Also, this is about two hours earlier than the HRRR (or about 1.5 hours earlier than the NAM) had the precip starting in KJST and the rest of the area that's now getting precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick G Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Not to brag... I have 4 monitors on one system. Two 21 inch touch, 15 inch and a 32 inch tv connected via HDMI. But then I am geek. Weather note most schools are closed. None of the storms lately have been big enough for me to break out the big guns. Time to crank it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Those with DP should fire it up. Already catching onto ZR reports SE of PBZ.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 That's actually a decent shift back south with the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 What's hrrr show up here? You can see for yourself here: http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/Welcome.cgi?dsKey=hrrr_jet&domain=t3&run_time=05+Feb+2014+-+00Z Total accumulated snow, scroll down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
irvingtwosmokes Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 At least for now, looks like Sleet/IR is running the ridges to the west and east of J'town. With a finger of snow in-between down the valley to Jerome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilliams75 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Sleet/fr.rain mix in Gettysburg. Nice glaze on the cars Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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