A short CWG article on the next two winter threats.

[usedtobe]

I didn't see the Euro solution when I wrote the article but don't think it changes much. Tomorrow I'll probably do a longer article on the two threats. 

 

This is the best look in the Atlantic that we've had this year.  A big vortex near Nova Scotia to supply confluence and high heights to its north.  The downside is the models tend to have trouble locating northern stream vortices.  Weaken it or move is east a tad and the storm evolution would not end up as snowy as forecast by the euro.  For that reason,  I don't think even if I had seen the euro that I would have changed anything.

 

 

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2014/02/03/ice-risk-tuesday-night-into-wednesday-significant-storm-possible-this-weekend/

[H2O]

good stuff as usual, Wes.  At least this storm didn't go poof from when it showed it at day 10

[usedtobe]

good stuff as usual, Wes.  At least this storm didn't go poof from when it showed it at day 10

The guy who first hyped it may end up looking OK. That sure would be Atlanis Morrissette ironic.

[Bob Chill]

Like the article Wes. Looking forward to your analysis of the key upper level features as we go forward. I'm fairly encouraged at what I see in the d3-4 range up in Canada. I just want a good snowstorm for everyone even if it shuts off and dryslots. A nice 4"+ for all would do wonders around here. 

[jnis]

Thanks again for another great article.