clueless Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Models may trend warmer. I like ZR pics from other places, not my house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Models may trend warmer. I like ZR pics from other places, not my house. Agreed. I hope that the ZR stays away from DCA. Therefore, I'm rooting for the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 If it rained right now it would be an ice storm Because it's not 30 yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Because it's not 30 yet? Right...25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Who is better...LWX or Mt Holly? LWX with a freezing rain advisory for the western shore. Mt Holly with a WWA for the eastern shore with up to an inch of snow/sleet and <.10 of ZR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 NAM looks quite warm. 850c line in upstate NY (by which I mean Westchester) by dawn tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 NAM looks quite warm. 850c line in upstate NY (by which I mean Westchester) by dawn tomorrow. All about the 10M temp... 850c line means nothing with FZ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 All about the 10M temp... 850c line means nothing with FZ. Rgr, but some folks were talking about starting with sleet or even snow... if NAM verified, I don't see that happening except at elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Rgr, but some folks were talking about starting with sleet or even snow... if NAM verified, I don't see that happening except at elevation. Why would elevation matter? The whole reason you wouldn't see snow is that it is warmer the higher up you go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Why would elevation matter? The whole reason you wouldn't see snow is that it is warmer the higher up you go. Actually, that's a good point... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 NAM is ticking warmer at the surface each run. GFS is warm. The sun is out and feels hot. There won't be an ice storm except for far NW locations, and I don't mean Leesburg and Parkton. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 NAM is ticking warmer at the surface each run. GFS is warm. The sun is out and feels hot. There won't be an ice storm except for far NW locations, and I don't mean Leesburg and Parkton. LOL You and I will take our 32.5* rain and like it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 NAM is ticking warmer at the surface each run. GFS is warm. The sun is out and feels hot. There won't be an ice storm except for far NW locations, and I don't mean Leesburg and Parkton. LOL As long as areas do not get over 35 or so today... with the CAD tonight and the frozen ground... I think there will be a good amount of FZ... and there is no sun at night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Based on soundings, precip comes in as sleet for the metro areas and lasts for a few hours. Then it turns to rain, and although temps are still probably 30-32F in the vicinity of the urban corridor, I doubt it's very icy. Out toward the mountains the surface temps are colder, but even there they're not THAT cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bodhi Cove Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Who is better...LWX or Mt Holly? LWX with a freezing rain advisory for the western shore. Mt Holly with a WWA for the eastern shore with up to an inch of snow/sleet and <.10 of ZR. I'll put it this way, I'm in Middle River (Western Shore- LWX.) My mother is in Still Pond (Eastern Shore - Mt. Holly, even though her p&c references KTMN.) As the crow flies we are separated by 19 miles of Bay. Since the two offices are frequently disparate in their forecasts, I've taken to blending the two, for a happy medium of sorts. Sometimes LWX nails it, other times Mt. Holly wins the game. *shrugs* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Good coordination NWS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Good coordination NWS! 1782292_615663225167164_100416323_o.png Many times it seems like the 3 offices, Sterling, Pitt, and Mt. Holly don't talk to each other at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Good coordination NWS! 1782292_615663225167164_100416323_o.png Where do you get that from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Good coordination NWS! 1782292_615663225167164_100416323_o.png Haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Where do you get that from? LWX posted it on FB and Twitter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Many times it seems like the 3 offices, Sterling, Pitt, and Mt. Holly don't talk to each other at all.NWS is great but they are so government it hurts. All this push for better comms to the public and they can't event talk to eachother. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Good coordination NWS! 1782292_615663225167164_100416323_o.png .31 dares not cross in south central PA or it'll get its ass kicked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 DC/BWI at or just under 32 by 06z tonight...IAD 30/31... MRB upper 20s (around 32 by 09z) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I'd love for the ice to fail completely at my house Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Well Dt's first guess map gives me 1-3 of snow followed by heavy sleet. I would take that over ZR in a heartbeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jnis Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Currently 28 with filtered sun here...it looks like high temps will be close to verifying here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Rap2 has the DCA 34 me 32 scenario later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 nice gradient tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Jyo holding at 32....I wonder if we can steal a sleet burst out of this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 What does the 12Z Euro show for this POS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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