mappy Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Blah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 HRRR seems to place the 0*C line right along Rt 50 for the duration... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Unfortunately it seems nothing has come in colder than modeled this winter... Yes. A series of follies. Except for our really cold Jan 21 storm. That was awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Whoops LWX .NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...HIGH PRESSURE WILL COOL TEMPERATURES CONTINUES FOR FRIDAY. INITIALWEAK WAVE IN CONFLUENT FLOW ALOFT PUSHES THROUGH ON SATURDAY WITHSOME LIGHT SNOW POSSIBLE. SOMEWHAT INTERESTING 12Z GFS RUN FORSUNDAY WITH PRIMARY LOW TRACKING ACROSS OHIO RIVER VALLEY ANDSECONDARY COASTAL LOW TRACKING BETWEEN NORFOLK AND SOUTHERN MD.GRADIENT BEHIND THE LOW IS IMPRESSIVE AND HAVE BUMPED UP WINDS FORSUNDAY. PTYPE WITH THIS SYSTEM IN THE GFS LOOKS TO BE RAIN/SNOW MIXFOR THE EAST/SOUTHEAST AND IS SUPPORTED BY COASTAL LOW TRACK THISFAR NORTH. NORTH AND WEST OF THE METROS LOOKS MORE HAZARDOUS AS SNOWAND WINDS PICK UP SUNDAY. STILL BIG DIFFERENCES IN MODELS ANDCONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW...HOWEVER...BUT PRECIPITATION /POSSIBLYSIGNIFICANT/ WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM LOOKS LIKELY ON SUNDAY. ECMWFSHOWS A COUPLE OF LOWS PUSHING MORE OFFSHORE...BUT STILL MAINTAINSSOME PRECIP AND WIND WITH MAIN UPPER LOW LIFTING NORTHEAST ACROSSTHE MID ATLANTIC. ECMWF ALSO NOW COLDER AND SUPPORTS ALL SNOW FORSUNDAY. STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION THEN SETS IN FOR EARLY NEXT WEEKWITH WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES LOOKING LIKELY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Yes. A series of follies. Except for our really cold Jan 21 storm. That was awesome. Jan 2nd was colder than modeled. We were supposed to start as rain but were wire-wire snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Yup most of the big ice events i have experienced in my life have been light but long duration. We had a storm in NJ on Feb 14, 2007 where the temp was steady at 31.5 with moderate rain and a good portion of it froze. Sure there were some puddles but the cars were covered, roads were a skating rink, trees were frozen, and you could hear the classic "frozen branch" noise when the wind blew. Was a mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 More or less ice than December 8th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Whoops LWX . Click on "Highlight Changed Discussion" .NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE HAS EXPANDED INTO NEW ENGLAND...AND SURFACE MAP ALREADY SHOWS A HIGH PRESSURE WEDGE INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC. HIGH CLOUD DECK HAS BEEN IN PLACE ALL DAY...WITH STRATUS ALSO LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL SHENANDOAH VALLEY/FOOTHILLS. EXPECT STRATUS TO EXPAND NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. MEANWHILE...LOW PRESSURE EXISTS ALONG THE LOUISIANA COAST. THIS LOW WILL TRACK NORTHEAST UP THE APPALACHIANS TONIGHT AND THEN ACROSS THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC WEDNESDAY. REST OF TODAY WILL BE DRY...BUT AS LOW LEVELS MOISTEN AND LIFT INCREASES PRECIPITATION WILL DEVELOP DURING THE EARLY TO MID EVENING. DIDN/T DEVIATE TOO MUCH FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST FOR P-TYPE ONSET...POSSIBLY STARTING OUT AS SNOW/SLEET ACROSS THE NORTH/NORTHWEST PORTION OF THE CWA THEN TRANSITIONING TO FREEZING RAIN. ALWAYS HAVE TO WATCH OUT FOR WET BULBING AND MORE SNOW/SLEET AT THE ONSET...BUT STILL BELIEVE THE MAIN IMPACT OVER THE CWA WILL BE ICING FROM FREEZING RAIN. WINTER HEADLINES REMAIN AS IS...A QUARTER INCH OR MORE OF ICE IN THE WARNING...AND AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH IN THE ADVISORY. STILL EXPECT ALL RAIN FROM ORANGE OVER THE LOWER SOUTHERN MARYLAND...BUT SURFACE TEMPERATURE TRENDS WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED CLOSELY THIS EVENING IN CASE THE ADVISORY WOULD NEED TO BE EXPANDED FOR A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN. FREEZING RAIN WILL LINGER THE LONGEST NEAR THE MASON DIXON LINE WHERE COLD AIR WILL TAKE ITS TIME BEING ERODED. WARNING GOES UNTIL 1 PM IN THIS AREA. RAIN WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE AFTERNOON. ANOTHER ASPECT TO KEEP AN EYE ON WILL BE QPF AND POSSIBLE FLOODING. CURRENT QPF IS FORECAST TO BE UNDER 1 INCH...WHICH SHOULD LIMIT FLOOD POTENTIAL. SEE HYDRO SECTION BELOW. FOR TEMPERATURES...LEANED TOWARD A MAV/MET BLEND BUT UNDERCUT TEMPERATURES A LITTLE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING /ESPECIALLY VALLEYS/NEAR MASON DIXON LINE/ AS MODELS TEND TO WARM SURFACE TEMPERATURES A LITTLE TOO SOON IN A COLD WEDGE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 33-36 range in the weatherbug stations around me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 31.5 - 32.4 at various stations... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 31.5 - 32.4 at various stations... Nam still advertising thunder sleet lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVsnowlover Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Car says 28° here in Shepherdstown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Down to 34.2 from a high of 35.8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mosi76 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 So did most areas under perform on temps today? I just noticed that DCA dropped a degree to 38 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 32.9 at the weather station closest to my house, 38.5 at the weather station in Mt. Vernon neigborhood near my workplace in downtown Balt. Looks like that Mt. Vernon reading is the warm outlier, the other weather station readings inside the Beltway in Balt are 33 and 34 for the most part with one 35. Towson down to 32. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 28.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 28.9 I hope for sleet for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 So did most areas under perform on temps today? I just noticed that DCA dropped a degree to 38 Around here they appears generally on target.. my forecast last night was mid-30s to upper 30s locally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Around here they appears generally on target.. my forecast last night was mid-30s to upper 30s locally. Yea, I thought the forecasts were accurate within a degree or 2 pretty much everywhere. I agree about light precip. Light rain and 30 will stick. Maybe not traveled roads but just about everywhere else. I'm hoping for 28-29 @ onset just for fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 33/20 at BWI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 38/23 at DCA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 4, 2014 Author Share Posted February 4, 2014 29.4 here now, this ice storm may overperform yipee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Not that it would be a surprise to anyone, I wouldn't expect any real icing problems around DC proper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lpaschall Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 28.2 here. Most storms overperform IMBY :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVsnowlover Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 What kinda start time are we looking at out here in the panhandle? Hoping to make it home from work before it gets too bad. Don't mind driving in snow a bit, but ice is another story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jnis Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 31 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Not that it would be a surprise to anyone, I wouldn't expect any real icing problems around DC proper. Shew, that's a relief. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 38/23 at DCA Lol. I'm 10 miles northwest of DCA and I am at 33. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 About 30-31 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I had assumed this would freeze solid on the tarmac at DCA to the tune of .75" inches of ice accretion so I am glad snowfan let me know what would really happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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