mappy Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 gonna be a long 6 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Where does R/Sn line setup? 4-6" storm for RVA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I don't care if europe comes after me.... West based block....check Strong vort neutral @ MS river....check 50/50.....check Boom euroh5.JPG That 500mb map is gorgeous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 4-6" storm for RVA Would be pretty typical of our mixed bag KU's around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Definitely, but I'm guessing our temps could be a bit on the marginal side. probably a 6" event for lynchburg as depicted...more just to the west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 could be the best b-day ever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 That 500mb map is gorgeous. yeah. Classic bomb setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 That 500mb map is gorgeous. Dropping it in the archives for sure. Well, if it pans out. If we bust them I'm setting my computer on fire and quitting this dumb useless hobby. We're not that far out either. GFS has similar h5 patterns just not perfect. I'm still good with a front end thump / dryslot all the way. That's still probably more favorable than the euro but man some clues are getting dropped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 could be the best b-day ever ecmwf_snow_24_washdc_28.png Do you promise to be in your birthday suit if this comes to fruition?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichaelScott Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 probably a 6" event for lynchburg as depicted...more just to the west Thanks. That sounds pretty typical for this type of storm. I'm happy to get anything at this point. Just want to make it to 10" on the season lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 could be the best b-day ever ecmwf_snow_24_washdc_28.png And this would be a 12:1 storm if we don't mix.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 by euro run tonight, a day 5 event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Do you promise to be in your birthday suit if this comes to fruition?. youre a weird dude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 by euro run tonight, a day 5 event touche! going to be a long 5 days ps. posted mini-wheat pics in the obs thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Do you promise to be in your birthday suit if this comes to fruition?. Dude, after last night posts like this give me vertigo and anxiety at the same time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 "I BELIEVE IN UNICORNS!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I don't care if europe comes after me.... West based block....check Strong vort neutral @ MS river....check 50/50.....check Boom euroh5.JPG For whatever it's worth, I agree. The more that low anomalies can undercut the block, the better the cold locks in and likely the slower the storm. It's all there for a great storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 While front running snows are likely, Iwould still heed caution this far out, especially since there could be more phasing or the southern vort could start tilting earlier than EURO...Def the best chance for a BIG snowstorm, but I'm being very cautious with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 While front running snows are likely, Iwould still heed caution this far out, especially since there could be more phasing or the southern vort could start tilting earlier than EURO...Def the best chance for a BIG snowstorm, but I'm being very cautious with this one. I worry we get overrun ahead of the trough/cold air and then changover/dryslot...still could get a moderate event that way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 by euro run tonight, a day 5 event yes, and you know how well we do around here being the bull's eye in them sorry, somebody had to say it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 While front running snows are likely, Iwould still heed caution this far out, especially since there could be more phasing or the southern vort could start tilting earlier than EURO...Def the best chance for a BIG snowstorm, but I'm being very cautious with this one. You are always so bullish and this one time where it looks great you are bearish?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 yes, and you know how well we do around here being the bull's eye in them sorry, somebody had to say it eh.. philly will need snow replenishment by then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 another all snow event at day9-10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 While front running snows are likely, Iwould still heed caution this far out, especially since there could be more phasing or the southern vort could start tilting earlier than EURO...Def the best chance for a BIG snowstorm, but I'm being very cautious with this one. The only thing that matters is the interaction among the two PVs and the block in-between. They will force the changes we see with whatever confluence sets up. Should the eastern PV (Quebec) be slower and/or force low anomalies on back side to cut underneath, this becomes a KU. If the western PV does something totally drastic (my biggest fear) and ruins the block, then this thing goes the way of all the others this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 For whatever it's worth, I agree. The more that low anomalies can undercut the block, the better the cold locks in and likely the slower the storm. It's all there for a great storm. We know the risks but It's solutions like this that help me accept less chance at getting screwed all together. I'd be totally happy with a transfer where the primary isn't knocking on lake erie's shores. I do think that the blocking signal getting stronger is pretty awesome. I've been expecting it to turn into a GL low and suck the whole mess to detroit. I'm in either way. I think the MA has a good shot at a widespread accum snow regardless of how it shakes out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 by euro run tonight, a day 5 event By euro tonight, hopefully there will still be an event. Seriously , though, I miss the days when the Euro would lock into an event 5-6 days out and steadily bring it home. It seems like it has been a while. Maybe the ride to the weekend won't be such a wild rollercoaster, but instead a nice crusie. At least Wes is entertaining the possibility that this system offers. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 "I BELIEVE IN UNICORNS!" There was one gross one in here last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 another all snow event at day9-10 #atmoshpericmemory But the hp is sliding and there is lp just n of the great lakes so.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 3, 2014 Author Share Posted February 3, 2014 90 % chance of at least some kind of storm this weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Definitely, but I'm guessing our temps could be a bit on the marginal side. Yeah..mixed bag of crap. Time to change. The Gfs was ideal last nite and much colder too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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