H2O Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Of course. It's our moses operandi. Vets know the drill...we will probably mix. I'll take heavy accums with some mixing. sleet sandwich will taste good to me. At least we are talking about a day 10 storm holding until day 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 We often see a brief intrusion of warm ocean air in setups like this. Minor detail to see this far out but worth keeping an eye on Yes but with all the cold we have had this year... how much below are the oceans temp? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Exciting. Need wxbell to load Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattskiva Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Enjoy the ride this week...this is the BIG ONE for the season. What's the timing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Is this a sun night event now? More like an all day Sunday from morning to night time event Ninja'd by zwyts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNO Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 The big coastal storms often have some mixing issues for DCA...but this will be your biggest hit of the season...lock it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 it takes the low from central Alabama to Macon GA... That's Tenman's signature snowstorm track. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Euro is a big hit...close for me and Wes...but big hit We'd at least see snow even if we might mix with sleet for awhile if taken literally. A good run but too thing stand out. One we need the vortex just north of Nova scotia to remain nice and strong and two, change the timing between the northern and southern streams and the evolution would be different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I don't care if europe comes after me.... West based block....check Strong vort neutral @ MS river....check 50/50.....check Boom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichaelScott Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Exciting. Need wxbell to load Definitely, but I'm guessing our temps could be a bit on the marginal side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Where does R/Sn line setup? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 gonna be a long 6 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I don't care if europe comes after me.... West based block....check Strong vort neutral @ MS river....check 50/50.....check Boom euroh5.JPG That 500mb map is gorgeous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 4-6" storm for RVA Would be pretty typical of our mixed bag KU's around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 could be the best b-day ever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 That 500mb map is gorgeous. yeah. Classic bomb setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 That 500mb map is gorgeous. Dropping it in the archives for sure. Well, if it pans out. If we bust them I'm setting my computer on fire and quitting this dumb useless hobby. We're not that far out either. GFS has similar h5 patterns just not perfect. I'm still good with a front end thump / dryslot all the way. That's still probably more favorable than the euro but man some clues are getting dropped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 could be the best b-day ever ecmwf_snow_24_washdc_28.png Do you promise to be in your birthday suit if this comes to fruition?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichaelScott Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 probably a 6" event for lynchburg as depicted...more just to the west Thanks. That sounds pretty typical for this type of storm. I'm happy to get anything at this point. Just want to make it to 10" on the season lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 could be the best b-day ever ecmwf_snow_24_washdc_28.png And this would be a 12:1 storm if we don't mix.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Do you promise to be in your birthday suit if this comes to fruition?. youre a weird dude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 by euro run tonight, a day 5 event touche! going to be a long 5 days ps. posted mini-wheat pics in the obs thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Do you promise to be in your birthday suit if this comes to fruition?. Dude, after last night posts like this give me vertigo and anxiety at the same time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 "I BELIEVE IN UNICORNS!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I don't care if europe comes after me.... West based block....check Strong vort neutral @ MS river....check 50/50.....check Boom euroh5.JPG For whatever it's worth, I agree. The more that low anomalies can undercut the block, the better the cold locks in and likely the slower the storm. It's all there for a great storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 While front running snows are likely, Iwould still heed caution this far out, especially since there could be more phasing or the southern vort could start tilting earlier than EURO...Def the best chance for a BIG snowstorm, but I'm being very cautious with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 by euro run tonight, a day 5 event yes, and you know how well we do around here being the bull's eye in them sorry, somebody had to say it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 While front running snows are likely, Iwould still heed caution this far out, especially since there could be more phasing or the southern vort could start tilting earlier than EURO...Def the best chance for a BIG snowstorm, but I'm being very cautious with this one. You are always so bullish and this one time where it looks great you are bearish?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 yes, and you know how well we do around here being the bull's eye in them sorry, somebody had to say it eh.. philly will need snow replenishment by then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 While front running snows are likely, Iwould still heed caution this far out, especially since there could be more phasing or the southern vort could start tilting earlier than EURO...Def the best chance for a BIG snowstorm, but I'm being very cautious with this one. The only thing that matters is the interaction among the two PVs and the block in-between. They will force the changes we see with whatever confluence sets up. Should the eastern PV (Quebec) be slower and/or force low anomalies on back side to cut underneath, this becomes a KU. If the western PV does something totally drastic (my biggest fear) and ruins the block, then this thing goes the way of all the others this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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