Bob Chill Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 yeah...it's a neat little 1-2" event from like 8am - 2pm...and it is cold... High res dc map shows .2 swath right through dc and wes land. I'm in it too but on the northern edge. Nice run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 yeah...it's a neat little 1-2" event from like 8am - 2pm...and it is cold... Makes it down the 460 Corridor with 1-2 in LYH and ROA as well. I'd be happy with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Scratch my last post about .2. It's rounded. .17 actual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 yeah...it's a neat little 1-2" event from like 8am - 2pm...and it is cold... I don't know if it's the right solution but is a viable one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Scratch my last post about .2. It's rounded. .17 actual. Still nice to see.. some SnowTV as you so aptly nicknamed it before Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Still nice to see.. some SnowTV as you so aptly nicknamed it before I've been feeling 1-2 all along. But this run has the added bonus of it falling in a short period and not spread out. It's a good run. All we can do is hope it holds even if it's a small event. Plenty cold and falls during daylight. Would be a fun event. ETA: This is better than SnowTV. I define it as .5" or less. This a double or triple feature. I'm in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Maybe the solution would be to have a models only thread starting at hour 96 for all of the models. Call it Mid to Long Range Model Discussion Only. That way those of us who are tired of tracking events that are 7 days out only to be disappointed time and again can avoid the thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 the models have always been pretty bad at range.. it's a newish phenomenon that people look to d5-10 to get much from them. LOL. We live and die at models d5-10 out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 yeah...it's a neat little 1-2" event from like 8am - 2pm...and it is cold... Sounds similar to the Euro ens from last night. Was strongly hinting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 LOL. We live and die at models d5-10 out. Unless it's currently snowing or imminent. It's how we roll. If people don't want to track 5+ day stuff then don't read the threads. I chuckle at all the people who complain about volatile long leads. If you don't like it don't read it. Seems simple to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 I don't know if it's the right solution but is a viable one. Wes, there is another weak event Sunday evening..around 1"..it is a little warmer than Saturday so I think we'd want the precip to come in later in the day... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 A dusting at 90H on the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 We're done here. Last person turn out the lights. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Wes, there is another weak event Sunday evening..around 1"..it is a little warmer than Saturday so I think we'd want the precip to come in later in the day... It's had that two headed light snow idea for several runs now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 LOL. We live and die at models d5-10 out.People here aren't that normal plus there was never such a belief that much useful could come from d10ish as there is now. Those who focus on a pattern more than a storm are more useful in general. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 A dusting at 90H on the euro I think it is close to 0.10"...maybe Bob can confirm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Unless it's currently snowing or imminent. It's how we roll. If people don't want to track 5+ day stuff then don't read the threads. I chuckle at all the people who complain about volatile long leads. If you don't like it don't read it. Seems simple to me.I wasn't complaining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Sunday evening drops another tenth. This is a great run. Just lock it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 It's had that two headed light snow idea for several runs now. the models have had it for a while...This is more robust with the Saturday event than has been indicated before Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 I wasn't complaining. I know you weren't. You've been around these boards since the beginning of time. If it bothered you then you would have been gone before I even joined eastern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 the models have had it for a while...This is more robust with the Saturday event than has been indicated before True but sort of believeable if the southern stream impulse is stronger and lifts towards us. I was surprised the NAm didn't have us in precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 People here aren't that normal plus there was never such a belief that much useful could come from d10ish as there is now. Those who focus on a pattern more than a storm are more useful in general. five years ago, there was never discussion of operational models outside 144 hours...nobody ever took day 7 output seriously...that has changed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 I think it is close to 0.10"...maybe Bob can confirm For the northern folks it is, more me I think lighter than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Unless it's currently snowing or imminent. It's how we roll. If people don't want to track 5+ day stuff then don't read the threads. I chuckle at all the people who complain about volatile long leads. If you don't like it don't read it. Seems simple to me. Dude, you are one of the best. I admit I wear the frustration of the promise/but ultimate failure for all to see, but I love the discussions. Also, if you believe in the "Butterfly Effect" I think that we can "will" a better solution. I'm sure Ji would agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 True but sort of believeable if the southern stream impulse is stronger and lifts towards us. I was surprised the NAm didn't have us in precip. I like this solution better than trying to get the main compact area of precip associated with the coastal up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Euro really fired the wave on the boundary @ 96-102. That's new. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 five years ago, there was never discussion of operational models outside 144 hours...nobody ever took day 7 output seriously...that has changed I blame it somewhat on the facebook legions but also on the feb 6 event which showed up really early and stayed there. Sometimes with a strong blocking pattern the models can almost get beyond 144 hrs but usually be best they can do is give and idea of the basic pattern using some type of multiday ens mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Fwiw, i think people have seized on the oft thrown around notion of "models can see the big one" at longer range and go hunting for a feb 2010 redux. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Those who focus on a pattern more than a storm are more useful in general. Yes. This has been a good lesson for me this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Euro really fired the wave on the boundary @ 96-102. That's new. Just for clarification, is that for the next week event or Sunday evening? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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