Siberian-Snowcover-Myth Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 If this weekend is on life support, I think you should go ahead and pull the plug. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redskinsnut Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 If this weekend is on life support, I think you should go ahead and pull the plug. Did the unicorn sign a living will? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 thru 39 hrs, NAM is flatter with the southern wave and stronger with the confluence (that was mia on Monday I might add) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Did the unicorn sign a living will? we're not going to let the unicorn die, rather suffer a slow, long and painful death Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 we're not going to let the unicorn die, rather suffer a slow, long and painful death Are you sure we can't put him down humanely with a dose of 00z EURO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Are you sure we can't put him down humanely with a dose of 00z EURO? nope....no third party payer insurance like over there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwonder Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Will the GFS do it's dastardly deed and put the final nail in the coffin? OR.... Will Dr. No save the unicorn and allow Ji to ride him off into the wild and wonderful snow of glory? Stay tuned for another round of As the Models Turn! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 What is fascinating about Washington weather is how we chase 7 day leads on the models. We were all pumped up about this weekend about 3-4 days ago. Now, we are getting enthused about another 7 day lead, next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 What is fascinating about Washington weather is how we chase 7 day leads on the models. We were all pumped up about this weekend about 3-4 days ago. Now, we are getting enthused about another 7 day lead, next week. It's true, we live in the world of digital snow, which is always 7 days away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 runs so far this evening along with earlier runs pretty much seal the deal that the Fri/Sat wave can be waived bye-bye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 I wouldn't put too much stock in the NAM being correct at such a range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 I wouldn't put too much stock in the NAM being correct at such a range. not just NAM as another SREF run came out and went the other way, but I also said considering the models from earlier today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 not just NAM as another SREF run came out and went the other way, but I also said considering the models from earlier today Don't you think that the models are having an especially hard time for this weekend's storm though? There are major changes with each run for each model for the past three days. We may not have a real consensus on what happens Sunday until Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Don't you think that the models are having an especially hard time for this weekend's storm though? There are major changes with each run for each model for the past three days. We may not have a real consensus on what happens Sunday until Friday. not when they all come to an agreement as they have seemingly done wrt to Sat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 not just NAM as another SREF run came out and went the other way, but I also said considering the models from earlier today Still a reasonable chance at light snow on Saturday. Might not be good enough for some, but it sure beats partly sunny and 44. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 What is fascinating about Washington weather is how we chase 7 day leads on the models. We were all pumped up about this weekend about 3-4 days ago. Now, we are getting enthused about another 7 day lead, next week. I have tempered expectations on any lead. Yesterday it looked like a warming trend for a bit, then models all turned colder right before show time. ?? Mother Nature happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
5speed6 Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 I'm flying to Texas next Thursday to help my fiancee drive home. Every time I fly to Houston, it gets weird out here (I was stranded there by Sandy, as an example). Book it, weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Gfs has a new dance in mind with the 2 streams. I punt nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Gfs has a new dance in mind with the 2 streams. I punt nothing agreed. and this is what separates the mets from the wannabe's. i've been following nws the last couple days and they haven't wavered with the weekend potential. right now, the forecast is that some snow is likely. will it? who knows, but they must see something that most hobbyists don't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Dare I say that the GFS so far looks......identical to 18z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Dare I say that the GFS so far looks......identical to 18z? has some light snow similar to Euro <1", at least thru 90 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshfsu123 Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Definitely starting to giv up on a major storm for this weekend - but 2-4 inches system would be nice. If the models continue to create a system for next week, that could become a real threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 1pm Sunday temps at BWI from Euro 12z....30 0Z GFS.....41 wtf? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swiscaster Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 I have noticed LWX's continuous bullish forecast for the weekend the past few days--snow chances of 30-60% for Saturday, Saturday night, and Sunday. Kind of un-LWX-like. If you add up the percentages, they are saying there is 100% chance it will snow this weekend. Not sure about that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 I have noticed LWX's continuous bullish forecast for the weekend the past few days--snow chances of 30-60% for Saturday, Saturday night, and Sunday. Kind of un-LWX-like. If you add up the percentages, they are saying there is 100% chance it will snow this weekend. Not sure about that... ummm that's not how that works lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 runs so far this evening along with earlier runs pretty much seal the deal that the Fri/Sat wave can be waived bye-bye the fri/sat wave was never really the one to watch, it is running way out ahead of all the upper level support. It is the reason we have no storm Sun/Mon though as it takes all the WAA way OTS and screws up the flow behind it. We need that system diving down to be more consolidated also. I am starting to think the bigger issue is the two vorts dampening each other out in the northern stream. We need one of them to take over and dig. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Getting kinda tingly here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Dare I say.looks even better for unicorn redemption storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Off to bed, setup at 132 looks nice, its not 300 hours out, its got a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Dare I say that the GFS so far looks......identical to 18z? It's a complicated forecast. Verbatim is disjointed. It could easily be a no nevermind. But the interaction is clearly not resolved. All it takes it one piece of the 3 to find a pocket of op. I just want to score an inch or 2. There is upside and downside. The bottom line is we still don't know. It's fun. At least to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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