cpasi Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 So it looks like we have (not gonna happen) Miller A on this eveings GFS for 145 hours - 171 hours out...crap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 FYI the EURO ensembles support a mid-atlantic snowstorm for next Wednesday. Yes, in some of the discussion a bit earlier it was mentioned they showed a mid-week event. I wonder if this run of the GFS is keying on the same thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Thank god...otherwise NYC might not have gotten nailed A Norlun will nail them with 6-10" no matter what. There's no escaping a decent event for NYC this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Majority of gefs members give us .25+ precip for 72 hours ending @ 1pm Monday. The solutions are spreading more as well. Uncertainty increased through the period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Paq Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Majority of gefs members give us .25+ precip for 72 hours ending @ 1pm Monday. The solutions are spreading more as well. Uncertainty increased through the period. Marginal surface temps on most or are some decently cold? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Majority of gefs members give us .25+ precip for 72 hours ending @ 1pm Monday. The solutions are spreading more as well. Uncertainty increased through the period. Most would do well to go to bed and forget about the weekend........... The frontrunner is too strong............. Mid and late next week presents real possibilities................................................................. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Most would do well to go to bed and forget about the weekend........... The frontrunner is too strong............. Mid and late next week presents real possibilities................................................................. Huh? No one here is riding the weekend event. That is not why we read the thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Huh? No one here is riding the weekend event. That is not why we read the thread. Cross your fingers for Tuesday through Wednesday of next week...............Otherwise, get down on your knees and pray for the weekend.......................... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
miller.b.time Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Most would do well to go to bed and forget about the weekend........... The frontrunner is too strong............. Mid and late next week presents real possibilities................................................................. Cross your fingers for Tuesday through Wednesday of next week...............Otherwise, get down on your knees and pray for the weekend.......................... Is your period key stuck or something................? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siberian-Snowcover-Myth Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 If this weekend is on life support, I think you should go ahead and pull the plug. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redskinsnut Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 If this weekend is on life support, I think you should go ahead and pull the plug. Did the unicorn sign a living will? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 thru 39 hrs, NAM is flatter with the southern wave and stronger with the confluence (that was mia on Monday I might add) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Did the unicorn sign a living will? we're not going to let the unicorn die, rather suffer a slow, long and painful death Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 we're not going to let the unicorn die, rather suffer a slow, long and painful death Are you sure we can't put him down humanely with a dose of 00z EURO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Are you sure we can't put him down humanely with a dose of 00z EURO? nope....no third party payer insurance like over there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwonder Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Will the GFS do it's dastardly deed and put the final nail in the coffin? OR.... Will Dr. No save the unicorn and allow Ji to ride him off into the wild and wonderful snow of glory? Stay tuned for another round of As the Models Turn! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 What is fascinating about Washington weather is how we chase 7 day leads on the models. We were all pumped up about this weekend about 3-4 days ago. Now, we are getting enthused about another 7 day lead, next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 What is fascinating about Washington weather is how we chase 7 day leads on the models. We were all pumped up about this weekend about 3-4 days ago. Now, we are getting enthused about another 7 day lead, next week. It's true, we live in the world of digital snow, which is always 7 days away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 runs so far this evening along with earlier runs pretty much seal the deal that the Fri/Sat wave can be waived bye-bye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 I wouldn't put too much stock in the NAM being correct at such a range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 I wouldn't put too much stock in the NAM being correct at such a range. not just NAM as another SREF run came out and went the other way, but I also said considering the models from earlier today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 not just NAM as another SREF run came out and went the other way, but I also said considering the models from earlier today Don't you think that the models are having an especially hard time for this weekend's storm though? There are major changes with each run for each model for the past three days. We may not have a real consensus on what happens Sunday until Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Don't you think that the models are having an especially hard time for this weekend's storm though? There are major changes with each run for each model for the past three days. We may not have a real consensus on what happens Sunday until Friday. not when they all come to an agreement as they have seemingly done wrt to Sat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 not just NAM as another SREF run came out and went the other way, but I also said considering the models from earlier today Still a reasonable chance at light snow on Saturday. Might not be good enough for some, but it sure beats partly sunny and 44. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 What is fascinating about Washington weather is how we chase 7 day leads on the models. We were all pumped up about this weekend about 3-4 days ago. Now, we are getting enthused about another 7 day lead, next week. I have tempered expectations on any lead. Yesterday it looked like a warming trend for a bit, then models all turned colder right before show time. ?? Mother Nature happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
5speed6 Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 I'm flying to Texas next Thursday to help my fiancee drive home. Every time I fly to Houston, it gets weird out here (I was stranded there by Sandy, as an example). Book it, weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Gfs has a new dance in mind with the 2 streams. I punt nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Gfs has a new dance in mind with the 2 streams. I punt nothing agreed. and this is what separates the mets from the wannabe's. i've been following nws the last couple days and they haven't wavered with the weekend potential. right now, the forecast is that some snow is likely. will it? who knows, but they must see something that most hobbyists don't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Dare I say that the GFS so far looks......identical to 18z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Dare I say that the GFS so far looks......identical to 18z? has some light snow similar to Euro <1", at least thru 90 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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