Joshfsu123 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 If you read what someone posted from the NWS earlier today on the possible weekend storm, it gives you hope that the models may jump on board late with this storm. That said, 2 runs showing the same thing (for most part) on GFS is worrisome and 3 runs would become a trend. Hope the EURO gives us something good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 wide right...at least we get a little light snow on saturday trough looks better and the 700mb rh looked darn good on the Day 3 Plymouth map I would have thought an inch or two looking at those Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 wide right...at least we get a little light snow on saturday how much difference from the 0z run? Any better? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 how much difference from the 0z run? Any better? worse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 00z run had the second northern stream wave rushing in to amplify things more. This run is more separated, for sure. The southern wave with the SLP track is nearly identical to 00z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 00z run had the second northern stream wave rushing in to amplify things more. This run is more separated, for sure. The southern wave with the SLP track is nearly identical to 00z run. better or worse for the 2nd wave (why do I think I know this answer...) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 There are low anomalies undercutting the E PAC ridge and the Hudson Bay ridge so the timing of these are uncertain. In this case, the slower arrival reduced the QPF in the Northeast because it broadened the trough. Next up, EPS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 There are low anomalies undercutting the E PAC ridge and the Hudson Bay ridge so the timing of these are uncertain. In this case, the slower arrival reduced the QPF in the Northeast because it broadened the trough. Next up, EPS. Interestingly, the GFS had the northern stream waves behaving like the 00z ECMWF but lacked the southern wave both ECMWF runs have. Dizzying... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 better or worse for the 2nd wave (why do I think I know this answer...)It's got nothing to work with being so separated. We get a little light snow. Nobody gets much anywhere. Without some sort of interaction with the lead wave it becomes a no nevermind for everybody. It's too flat to pop anything. If it did it would be north of us anyways.More changes to follow I'm sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grhqofb5 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 I think it's been great. The optimist proclaims that we live in the best of all possible worlds; and the pessimist fears this is true. -James Branch Cabell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Little light snow showing up on monday now with a weak piece of energy zipping along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 There's no denying that the end of an Archambault series is more interesting for the Mid Atlantic than the beginning or middle... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 There's no denying that the end of an Archambault series is more interesting for the Mid Atlantic than the beginning or middle... You're such a tease..... Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nor Easter Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 -Euro 144H nice s/w moving over the South West -1006mb Low over Western Texas -1034 H Parked over the Lakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5, 2014 Author Share Posted February 5, 2014 -Euro 144H nice s/w moving over the South West -1006mb Low over Western Texas -1034 H Parked over the Lakes it showed the same thing a few days ago for this weekend..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 it showed the same thing a few days ago for this weekend..... i think sometimes we need to let a pattern run it's course, like this latest one. maybe next week will provide more options. mid-february can be a diesel period for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 it showed the same thing a few days ago for this weekend.....It did. But for now this run looks great. Lets hug it.The pesky low tracking the northern tier on last nights run has been replaced with a 1030 hp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 It did. But for now this run looks great. Lets hug it. Yes it does... eventually one of these storms will appear... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNO Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 i think sometimes we need to let a pattern run it's course, like this latest one. maybe next week will provide more options. mid-february can be a diesel period for us. Then we will be "trucking" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5, 2014 Author Share Posted February 5, 2014 It did. But for now this run looks great. Lets hug it. does look good but we have to start over again and be 7 days out lol. No patience Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 does look good but we have to start over again and be 7 days out lol. No patience One storm at a time. Weekend might give us an inch or 2. I know you hate that but I don't. Monday might dust us up too. Euro has been wet during the mid-late week (and warm) and gfs has been cold. Now the euro turned cold but still has the wet part. Not sure what else we can do other than accept the hands that are being dealt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5, 2014 Author Share Posted February 5, 2014 One storm at a time. Weekend might give us an inch or 2. I know you hate that but I don't. Monday might dust us up too. Euro has been wet during the mid-late week (and warm) and gfs has been cold. Now the euro turned cold but still has the wet part. Not sure what else we can do other than accept the hands that are being dealt. but we tracked the Feb 8-9 storm for 10 days for 5 flurries....you can understand the frustration. The best event was the Monday event which go the least hype from long range but we wasted 1.5 inches of qpf on 33 and rain. Its been just another frustrating winter and its tiresome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 does look good but we have to start over again and be 7 days out lol. No patience I'm feeling kind of the same way...I'm exhausted man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 but we tracked the Feb 8-9 storm for 10 days for 5 flurries....you can understand the frustration. The best event was the Monday event which go the least hype from long range but we wasted 1.5 inches of qpf on 33 and rain. Its been just another frustrating winter and its tiresome With the exception of 02-03, all winters are frustrating. 09-10 may have been record breaking and all but even then there was plenty of frustration. 02-03 was entertaining door to door imo. Haven't seen one since. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 I'm feeling kind of the same way...I'm exhausted man FYI -- you wrote the wrong code in your sig... its not [image][/image], replace it 216 looks so nice... 998 L in SC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nor Easter Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 By 192 1006 low along the Gulf Coast but whats looks to be a 992mb low coming down out of Canada into WI. Two strong S/w's are on the map, southern stream really digs in. Cant tell much more using instant weather maps. Way out there but by 216 995 low in the South East over SC and strong Great Lakes Low = warm look for now . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 but we tracked the Feb 8-9 storm for 10 days for 5 flurries....you can understand the frustration. The best event was the Monday event which go the least hype from long range but we wasted 1.5 inches of qpf on 33 and rain. Its been just another frustrating winter and its tiresome Ah, looks likes there's a GL low in there at 216 to screw us at just the right time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 FYI -- you wrote the wrong code in your sig... its not [image][/image], replace it 216 looks so nice... 998 L in SC I know, it's being looked at....scott! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Well, DT went out of his way yesterday to post about the Feb. 10-20 period beeing quiet and dull for the east coast, lol. We shall see. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 The optimist proclaims that we live in the best of all possible worlds; and the pessimist fears this is true. -James Branch Cabell you must live in Westminster or York Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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