DCAlexandria Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 I would never put a good ole fashion Cleveland Steamer at 0% Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k94 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Here are the current odds I give this system in my totally subjective estimation based on my previous tracking experiences and flipping through KU. MA Special ~ 2/17/1979: 20% Inland runner ~ 2/142007: 30% NYC North ~ 2/8/1969: 30% HECS ~ 3/4/1960: 30% Out to sea ~ CMC 12z -10% ARW Cleveland Superbomb: 0% Odds of PHL hitting jackpot? Probable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Odds of PHL hitting jackpot? Probable. I clearly made those numbers up and they don't even make sense. But yeah, given the way this year is going, maybe PHL could score the Jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 00z NAM looks bleh at 84, luckily I don't use the NAM. After looking over the SREF and yesterdays Euro I am indifferent about the lead shortwave. The Cold front is too far southwest for it to do much help. The difference on the 21z sref is that most of the members that amp up the western ridge, look like they are going to extrapolate into a storm This setup is probably just a matter of getting the slightest amplification over Oregon Friday night and it's dumping by Sunday. The multiple shortwaves ejecting are mostly a distraction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Hmmm... I dunno if this is going to look good... h5 energy is a bit further northeast at 96 on 00z then it was at 18z at 102 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Hmmm... I dunno if this is going to look good... h5 energy is a bit further northeast at 96 on 00z then it was at 18z at 102 More than a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Hmmm... I dunno if this is going to look good... h5 energy is a bit further northeast at 96 on 00z then it was at 18z at 102 Yeah, at 99 hours, the h5 energy is on the border of IL/MO versus a closed h5 at the intersection of NE, MO, KS. Not as much digging on this run so far either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 More than a bit. Yeah, you can tell by 102... this is going to be ugly methinks.. esp with a closed h5 low over Chicago at 105 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Bowling ball over Chicago at 105. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 off hour runs = good 0z, 12z ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Nice clipper-like piece of junk for 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Just a small/tiny/minuscule change from 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Least I can get some sleep tonight. Seriously though, for some odd reason, this doesn't really put me down much. New solution every run...literally every single new run...no consistency. 6z will give us lucky 7's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 at least new england gets a storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 at least new england gets a storm Surely can't deny them... they are due Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 next I'm starting to get the feeling you should rephrase "next" to "next year" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 I'm starting to get the feeling you should rephrase "next" to "next year" LOL, Mitch. I've never seen you like this. You are whipped. It'll snow this weekend. The Euro was hands down the best on the last storm at this range. As long as it gives us something, we will be fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 I'm starting to get the feeling you should rephrase "next" to "next year" it's only february 4th...I don't give up ever, but I dont really start to give up until around March 7th....so I have 4-5 weeks left.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 it's only february 4th...I don't give up ever, but I dont really start to give up until around March 7th....so I have 4-5 weeks left.... There will be a next every 3 days or so in this pattern. One at a time at short leads is all we got. With as close as 18z was latitude wise I almost expected a north track. Does it hold? I kinda doubt it for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 it's only february 4th...I don't give up ever, but I dont really start to give up until around March 7th....so I have 4-5 weeks left.... I pretty much lose interest come 3/1 sure, I'll be here after that if there's another tease threat on or after 3/1, but it disappears so quickly after it falls that I can't get as excited I'd be tickled pink if today's Euro worked out and I don't believe the GFS is capable of reaching the right solution, except by accident, at this range, so I'm still all in but the routine gets old come 2/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Well its giving us another long range tease to look at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5, 2014 Author Share Posted February 5, 2014 Can't wait till El Niño Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Me posting the euro snow map yesterday effectively killed this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Me posting the euro snow map yesterday effectively killed this it's all about you now, isn't it.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 it's all about you now, isn't it....For one shining moment or two. If it's a bust you guys can call it a unicorn or whatever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Me posting the euro snow map yesterday effectively killed this Nah, the details just haven't been worked out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 GFS somehow managed to pull a blizzard Feb 13-14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 HaHa full phase at 216. I must not get sucked in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5, 2014 Author Share Posted February 5, 2014 Fook my life Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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