stormtracker Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 we have a pretty good idea...and it will involve a lot of rain or a miss for us and 40N getting nailed...it is becoming pretty clear.. If there is uncertainty or small room for error, we will lose 95% of the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Thanks Debbie Downer. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 It is Deb, but that is the best call. You won't get your hopes up. Just think rain and anything else is a bonus. That is what I usually do and it keeps me from letting snow turn me into a baby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 This could be one of the most epic weeks of Feb rain on record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dtk Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 cras nailed the boxing day storm tho...it has its uses When the heck did it become okay to start posting/discussing the CRAS and DGEX again? They have no (practical) use. None. Zero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 we have a pretty good idea...and it will involve a lot of rain or a miss for us and 40N getting nailed...it is becoming pretty clear.. And thankfully you will track it till the bitter rainy end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 This could be one of the most epic weeks of Feb rain on record. Yeah and if you go back to that Euro eps control run that went viral last week, take the 40" of snow it gave us for the first 10 days of the month, and using 10:1 ratio, 4 inches of rain is about right. Other than temps, nailed it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I'm just happy the models haven't locked into a really bad solution yet. Still in the game baby! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 And thankfully you will track it till the bitter rainy end Nah, today's 12z runs will bring back the snowy runs and we will rejoice... only to be crushed tonight in the 00z runs which will bring rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Nah, today's 12z runs will bring back the snowy runs and we will rejoice... only to be crushed tonight in the 00z runs which will bring rain Rinse and repeat until the last few runs show snow until the very last run that shows 38 and rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 This could be one of the most epic weeks of Feb rain on record. Spring will be pretty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 You think the Miller B scenario is the one we need to fear, not the GL low/Apps runner? If its not gonna be a Miller A. I would almost rather have it run way west. As long as we have some cold air entrenched. We can steal some overrun with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I do not know why everyone is down... it is still over 5 days away. I have been very happy with the winter so far. I have had 3 5+ inches storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I do not know why everyone is down... it is still over 5 days away. I have been very happy with the winter so far. I have had 3 5+ inches storms I've had two 5"+ storms this year, so I'm good. That said, DC has not and DC weather drives the mood of the board overlords Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I do not know why everyone is down... it is still over 5 days away. I have been very happy with the winter so far. I have had 3 5+ inches storms If you live SE of I-95 you know why we are down. It most likely won't work out here. However I am still positive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Just so I am sure, we are following the 522dm closed h5 low in Washington at 75, right? Thats the h5 energy to bring about our storm? Or is it the h5 energy in MT at 87? I just want to be sure what to watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Sometimes I think the problem isn't the models -its the atmosphere. It hasn't made up its mind yet due to chaos ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 This run is a disaster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Paq Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Margusity's latest Facebook comment: "The Sunday storm remains me of the Feb 18th 1979 storm. Pattern was a lot like what we have. I was in High School watching the snow pile up outside." What is he seeing that would make him say that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I've had two 5"+ storms this year, so I'm good. That said, DC has not and DC weather drives the mood of the board overlordsIt's cool how everyone can troll us but we can't wish we had a few more inches of snow.Winter has been fine thus far if it also finishes strong. On cold it's set I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Margusity's latest Facebook comment: "The Sunday storm remains me of the Feb 18th 1979 storm. Pattern was a lot like what we have. I was in High School watching the snow pile up outside." What is he seeing that would make him say that? dollar signs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 it's got that frontrunning low...the initial phase is a complete whiff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 WAY OTS....next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Uhoh. No Phase at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 WAY OTS....next it has the second low, but it is up in Toledo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 WAY OTS....nextSee ya dec 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 the northern stream phase way too late...so we get a low up in OV...northern stream robbery...should be just in time though to give philly a whack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Is a Toledo to Erie track a good one for DC/Balt? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Ots. Right where we want gfs at this range. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 the northern stream phase way too late...so we get a low up in OV...northern stream robbery...should be just in time though to give philly a whack Nobody's getting a whack with that mess. It is not even wound up at all. What a disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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