yoda Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Just so I am sure, we are following the 522dm closed h5 low in Washington at 75, right? Thats the h5 energy to bring about our storm? Or is it the h5 energy in MT at 87? I just want to be sure what to watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Sometimes I think the problem isn't the models -its the atmosphere. It hasn't made up its mind yet due to chaos ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Paq Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Margusity's latest Facebook comment: "The Sunday storm remains me of the Feb 18th 1979 storm. Pattern was a lot like what we have. I was in High School watching the snow pile up outside." What is he seeing that would make him say that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I've had two 5"+ storms this year, so I'm good. That said, DC has not and DC weather drives the mood of the board overlordsIt's cool how everyone can troll us but we can't wish we had a few more inches of snow.Winter has been fine thus far if it also finishes strong. On cold it's set I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 WAY OTS....next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Uhoh. No Phase at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 WAY OTS....nextSee ya dec 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Ots. Right where we want gfs at this range. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 the northern stream phase way too late...so we get a low up in OV...northern stream robbery...should be just in time though to give philly a whack Nobody's getting a whack with that mess. It is not even wound up at all. What a disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 The secondary forms over Wes's house With the primary still hanging on north of Buffalo. This run is awesome in awfulness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Nobody's getting a whack with that mess. It is not even wound up at all. What a disaster. Probably could still get NYC - SNE, obviously not a good look for us. But hey the GFS is still wobbling a lot run-to-run so onto the EURO we go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 The secondary forms over Wes's house that's a good spot.....for Boston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Lol. For some reason, this doesn't bother me or makes me pessimistic. Cmc will save the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Screw job Miller B. Not a Virginia winter... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Lol. For some reason, this doesn't bother me or makes me pessimistic. Cmc JMA will save the day fyp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Lol. For some reason, this doesn't bother me or makes me pessimistic. Cmc will save the day Yeah me too. It's not like the GFS has been deadly at 140 hours with complicated set ups recently. Once the EURO locks on to a Miller B screwjob that's when our writing is on the wall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Probably could still get NYC - SNE, obviously not a good look for us. But hey the GFS is still wobbling a lot run-to-run so onto the EURO we go. Yes I guess it's trying to get wound up in time for NY and BOS. Ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 So it snows rains for 48hrs straight? Ok GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Saratoga Springs road trip?...it's beautiful up there...can get a place on Lake George Congratulations Adirondacks! May as well head even farther north, great cross-country skiing and snowshoeing up near Lake Placid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 So it snows for 48hrs straight? Ok GFS. My guess is it finally feels the block and that's why it models to sit and dump on Boston for 2 days. I would guess they are all Feb. 78 chatter up in their thread on that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 My guess is it finally feels the block and that's why it models to sit and dump on Boston for 2 days. I would guess they are all Feb. 78 chatter up in their thread on that run. I was actually speaking about the light stuff for 24hrs before the main storm arrives. But BL temps are quite warm still, so it's probably light rain on Saturday. What a wackadoodle run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 3 runs, 3 different evolutions on the GFS. Typical, and still completely unresolved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 So it snows rains for 48hrs straight? Ok GFS. see, the CFS2 was right....with its precip forecast at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 You know I will never blow smoke up your @$$, and the trends the last 24 hours are not good, but there is a chance things evolve back towards a better scenario. The Euro could be having issues holding the STJ energy back too much, like its bias, and the GFS seems to be throwing too much into the front runner and leaving nothing behind for what to me looks like the main vort digging in behind. Sometimes the energy really does run out ahead, but just looking at evolution on the 12z GFS it seems wrong to me. All that energy diving in behind, and the GFS runs the initial surface low OTS then puts all its eggs in the northern stream system. If that STJ system does not hand off all its energy OTS and has more left behind I think we see more of a gulf low develop and this looks more like it did a few days ago. I will admit this new trend is bad but its possible its doing the normal 3-5 day thing where models lose the correct solution they had at day 7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Euro will save us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 assuming the GFS is somewhere near the right idea (ha), this would actually be a good one to chase...cheap flights to albany and then find the jackpot from there Taking this run verbatim I'd head a little SW from Albany into higher elevation Catskill areas for a jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Don Cherry's Jacket Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 3 runs, 3 different evolutions on the GFS. Typical, and still completely unresolved. Have any of the models been consistent run to run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 12z GGEM says nope to everyone.. even BOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Margusity's latest Facebook comment: "The Sunday storm remains me of the Feb 18th 1979 storm. Pattern was a lot like what we have. I was in High School watching the snow pile up outside." What is he seeing that would make him say that? He is awful, all the hype of JB and none of the skill, but Feb 79 actually has been showing up in some of the analogs, so maybe he just saw that and ran with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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