A-L-E-K Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 yeah it's better than the persistent lobe of arctic air but there is no sign of actual warmth beyond fleeting shots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 Big wet system (on the GFS) for the western areas of the sub forum next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 Don't like the look of the NAEFS...slowly been showing cooler weather in the long range...yucky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 we've seen this happen soooo many times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 Just got back from Boyne last night. Just incredible to see that much snow still on the ground in MI. South of West Branch there are plenty of bare spots in the farm fields but still major piles and drifts and still snow cover in wooded areas. North of West Branch to Grayling is mostly decent snow cover ... north of Grayling is still mid-winter. My trip these past 3 days felt like end of February instead of end of March!!! I would like to see a 2 day slow and steady soaker with 50's. Fresh snow is no match for the late March sun, but the massive season long snowpack hasn't budged in depth all week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 From what I have seen talked about a rapid change to Nino typically means a cooler than normal spring in the GLs. Looks like it could be the never-ending-story for us. There have been some hints in the models of a -NAO and -AO with possibly +PNA coming in April ... now that would be incredible (no; it is not what I personally want). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherdavewi Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 Just got back from Boyne last night. Just incredible to see that much snow still on the ground in MI. South of West Branch there are plenty of bare spots in the farm fields but still major piles and drifts and still snow cover in wooded areas. North of West Branch to Grayling is mostly decent snow cover ... north of Grayling is still mid-winter. My trip these past 3 days felt like end of February instead of end of March!!! I can fully second that! Can't believe how much snow is still around these parts, and with more surely coming the next week or two based on the overall expected pattern. Here's a pic I took this morning, just after the low of -6 here at the house. At least the sun is out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 Amazing picture. Looks like something from January! Teleconnections haven't acted very predictable for awhile except the EPO, so about anything could happen later in the spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 right, but your entering the warm season and teleconnectors start behaving differently, definitely by May. The -NAO is not your friend. I have no doubt you're gonna be strutt'n around and flex'n like Anthony Weiner in a locker room with a camera phone on the first 70 degree day in May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 right, but your entering the warm season and teleconnectors start behaving differently, definitely by May. The -NAO is not your friend. Cool since you are talking about a warm April then I know my post is a lock!!! FYI ... Yes I know come June a -NAO can mean warmth in MI but last I check I was talking April in my post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 GFS showing a major rain maker next week to start off April. A little snow far NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDude Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 GFS showing a major rain maker next week to start off April. A little snow far NW. Hope so. Need a lot of rain to wash this muck away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 OK...i'm ready for summer. I want to put away the boots, gloves, hats, jackets..just forget about them for a long time. I hate 70F+ dew points, but at this point i'd rather run the AC then the furnace... NAEFS=fail http://weather.gc.ca/ensemble/naefs/semaine2_combinee_e.html we'll be lucky to leaf out in April at this rate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 long range looks worse every day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 long range looks worse every day A series of lows moving over or south of us certainly does not scream warmth. We'll have to savor Sunday because it may be a while before we see 60 again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 GFS doesn't scream warmth, but not really cold either. Looks like a fairly zonal flow with rain systems through the extended. Snow accumulation is pushed towards the Canadian border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 long range looks worse every day CFS continues to say lock it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 With the 12z ECMWF for next week...I'll be bagging tors down south, while there's a snow/ice-storm up here. Seems about right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 Clown map. Yuk! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 ^ fantasy storm no doubt on the EURO! lol Thing of it is, the 850mb levels are above freezing in the local region until almost 186 hours. Trashy Wxbell snow map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 With the 12z ECMWF for next week...I'll be bagging tors down south, while there's a snow/ice-storm up here. Seems about right. worst Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hoosierwx Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 This is against the rules. It's supposed to be cold winter- warm spring, warm winter-cold spring. Does anyone have a number or e-mail address for those responsible? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted March 27, 2014 Author Share Posted March 27, 2014 18z GFS also showing a very potent setup at 168 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 Still a lot of moisture with that storm 7-8 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 28, 2014 Share Posted March 28, 2014 Becoming Geos favorite image Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 28, 2014 Share Posted March 28, 2014 Becoming Geos favorite image Hey, we need the moisture. Too much dry snow this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 28, 2014 Share Posted March 28, 2014 Hey, we need the moisture. Too much dry snow this winter. At ORD DJF precip was 7.24", which is above the average of 5.77" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 28, 2014 Share Posted March 28, 2014 At ORD DJF precip was 7.24", which is above the average of 5.77" Well at least in the last 60 days areas of the sub forum have been drying out. Chicago and immediate surrounding areas are the exception. Just realized how dry it is downstate. Met winter wasn't too bad except for southern WI and central IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 28, 2014 Share Posted March 28, 2014 After this system next week, the GFS shows a zonal flow straight through till 384 hours. Parade of rain storms. Been showing the same thing for the last several runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 28, 2014 Share Posted March 28, 2014 After this system next week, the GFS shows a zonal flow straight through till 384 hours. Parade of rain storms. Been showing the same thing for the last several runs. I wouldn't write off the wintry potential of that storm toward the end of next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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